Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

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Pirates vs Cardinals match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

PIT @ STL

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Todays Matchup Details

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals

Todays Game is on Monday, September 16th
16/09/24 19:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Pirates vs Cardinals Matchup Today

The #1 field in the league for suppressing home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Among all parks, Busch Stadium’s RF fences are the 2nd-deepest.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a significant edge over groundball hitters, Andre Pallante and his 59.4% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a good spot in today’s game squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Andre Pallante will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Pittsburgh has performed as the #29 club in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (13.6% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

Andrew McCutchen hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jared Triolo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last 7 days, Jared Triolo’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.6% up to 20%.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (65% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Pedro Pages will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the last 14 days, Pedro Pages has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 4.9% to 11.8%.

Over the last two weeks, Pedro Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.6-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph in recent games.

Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 38.9% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game.

Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Bailey Falter in today’s matchup.

Nick Gonzales is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year. His 8.9 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been a fair amount lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.1.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.

Masyn Winn will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Masyn Winn has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 89.7-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 86.8-mph figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Billy Cook, Joey Bart, Oneil Cruz).

In the last 7 days, Masyn Winn’s 30.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Extreme flyball bats like Nolan Arenado are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Bailey Falter.

Nolan Arenado will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Oneil Cruz is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jordan Walker will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Andre Pallante in this game.

Paul Goldschmidt has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 14 days.

Jared Triolo has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average in the past week to his seasonal figure of 90.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Jordan Walker has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.2-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal EV of 93.2-mph.

Thomas Saggese hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Thomas Saggese will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Thomas Saggese has hit one of the hardest balls in the game in the past week — 108.4-mph — which is a favorable proxy for recent form and raw power.

In the last week’s worth of games, Thomas Saggese’s swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 25% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP skill is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan De La Cruz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Placing in the 78th percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has put up a .270 batting average this year.

Paul Skenes will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Paul Skenes has been lucky this year, putting up a 2.10 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 2.89 — a 0.79 gap.

St. Louis has been the #2 offense in the league when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle band that tends to result the most in base hits (44.5% rate this year).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When assessing his strikeout talent, Paul Skenes projects as the 6th-best starting pitcher in the majors right now, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tallying 95.2 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Paul Skenes falls in the 91st percentile.

Paul Skenes was in good form in his last start and compiled 9 strikeouts.

Out of all SPs, Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity of 98.2 mph ranks in the 100th percentile this year.

Brendan Donovan will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Nick Gonzales has had some very poor luck this year. His .297 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Bryan De La Cruz’s true offensive talent to be a .311, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .028 deviation between that mark and his actual .283 wOBA.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Alec Burleson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, Nolan Arenado’s 63.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.5%.

Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo’s 30% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.7%.

Negative Match Player Stats with Pirates vs Cardinals

The Pittsburgh Pirates have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future, Busch Stadium has the 7th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the hottest weather on the slate at 83°.

The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has utilized his fastball a lot this year, though: 69.6% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst field in MLB for right-handed home runs.

HRs are generally less common at venues with deep fences, and Busch Stadium has the 5th-deepest among all major league stadiums.

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Paul Goldschmidt meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Posting a 3.79 K/BB rate this year, Paul Goldschmidt has displayed weak plate discipline, grading out in the 20th percentile.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Andrew McCutchen in today’s game.

Andrew McCutchen will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Andrew McCutchen’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88.6-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 84.2-mph over the past two weeks.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the worst stadium in the league for left-handed home runs.

Typically, batters like Lars Nootbaar who hit a lot of groundballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Bailey Falter.

Jared Triolo is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Jared Triolo today.

Jared Triolo has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Jared Triolo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

When assessing his home run ability, Isiah Kiner-Falefa ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Isiah Kiner-Falefa in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Isiah Kiner-Falefa tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Pedro Pages has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

10% of the time that Alec Burleson has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Alec Burleson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the past week.

Brendan Donovan has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Gonzales in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nick Gonzales today.

Nick Gonzales’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 87.3-mph seasonal average has dropped to 83.3-mph over the past 14 days.

As it relates to his home run skill, Masyn Winn ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Masyn Winn will have a tough matchup today.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 12th percentile among all starters in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Busch Stadium as the 6th-worst venue in the game for strikeouts.

Andre Pallante has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 6.77 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.58 — a 0.20 K/9 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Masyn Winn’s true offensive talent to be a .290, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .025 deviation between that figure and his actual .315 wOBA.

Masyn Winn’s 87.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to study power) grades out in the 6th percentile this year.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Nolan Arenado is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.8% rate (100th percentile).

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.8-mph figure last year has decreased to 86.1-mph.

Over the last 14 days, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 92.2-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Alec Burleson’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 89.6-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 85.7-mph in the last week.

Extreme flyball batters like Oneil Cruz generally hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.2% down to 11.1%.

Oneil Cruz has exhibited poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 16th percentile with a 4.02 K/BB rate.

Jordan Walker is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Jordan Walker has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Jordan Walker meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Bryan Reynolds in today’s game.

Grading out in the 15th percentile, Jared Triolo has notched a .283 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

In the last 7 days, Jordan Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Batting from the same side that Bailey Falter throws from, Thomas Saggese meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

With a .198 wOBA in the last 7 days, Thomas Saggese has been struggling at the plate.

Bryan De La Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan De La Cruz today.

Bryan De La Cruz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Bryan De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 88.8-mph figure last year has dropped off to 85.7-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the best starter in the league currently.

With 6 hitters of the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Paul Skenes should benefit from owning the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this matchup.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle of late (8.4° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 13.2° seasonal mark.

Brendan Donovan has averaged 12.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 25th percentile for power.

The St. Louis Cardinals (20.9 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy team of hitters on the slate today.

Nick Gonzales’s launch angle lately (7° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 12.8° seasonal mark.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Bryan De La Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.

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