D-Backs vs Rockies match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

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D-Backs vs Rockies match player stats Monday, September 16th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

ARI @ COL

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Todays Matchup Details

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies

Todays Game is on Monday, September 16th
16/09/24 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Rockies Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for lefty home runs.

Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to more offense.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Batting from the opposite that Bradley Blalock throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best stadium in the majors for run-scoring.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (95th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Bradley Blalock has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake McCarthy is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bradley Blalock today.

Merrill Kelly has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, tallying 4.2 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.

The Colorado Rockies projected batting order ranks as the weakest of the day in terms of overall offensive ability.

Merrill Kelly’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this year (66.3% compared to 57.8% last season) ought to work in his favor since they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Merrill Kelly’s 2395-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 81st percentile out of all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jordan Beck will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ezequiel Tovar’s BABIP talent is projected in the 83rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Pavin Smith may have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Joc Pederson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Charlie Blackmon is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Charlie Blackmon will hold the platoon advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

Coors Field grades out as the #1 ballpark in the majors for righty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the past 7 days, Jordan Beck’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.5% up to 12.5%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Brenton Doyle ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 42.4% on the season to 48.6% over the last two weeks.

Posting a .273 batting average this year, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 82nd percentile.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, rising from 13.6% on the season to 20% in the past week’s worth of games.

Geraldo Perdomo has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 80th percentile with a 1.91 K/BB rate.

The Colorado Rockies have 7 hitters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Aaron Schunk, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Jordan Beck, Jake Cave).

Given the 1.53 disparity between Merrill Kelly’s 6.95 K/9 and his 8.48 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in the majors this year in terms of strikeouts and figures to positively regress going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Coors Field projects as the #1 park in baseball for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Eugenio Suarez has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.2% seasonal rate to 25% in the last two weeks.

Michael Toglia will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage today.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats across the board, and Antonio Senzatela will hold that advantage today.

With a 1.33 discrepancy between Antonio Senzatela’s 4.70 K/9 and his 6.03 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and figures to see better results the rest of the season.

Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Rockies

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pavin Smith today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pavin Smith’s true offensive ability to be a .321, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .375 wOBA.

Zac Gallen will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brenton Doyle in today’s game.

Among all the teams playing today, the 3rd-best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Over the past week, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.9% down to 0%.

Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, compiling a .331 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .032 gap.

In terms of plate discipline, Brenton Doyle’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.66 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 24th percentile.

Ryan McMahon has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph dropping to 87.4-mph in the past two weeks.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card today.

Bradley Blalock will hold the platoon advantage over Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.

The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-best out of all the teams today.

Eugenio Suarez is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Colorado (#2-best of all teams today).

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eugenio Suarez in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Corbin Carroll in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, going from 40.3% to 35.1%.

Sporting a .250 BABIP this year, Corbin Carroll has performed in the 8th percentile.

Michael Toglia has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 16.7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.

Michael Toglia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 18.1% on the season to 0% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia’s true offensive ability to be a .298, providing some evidence that he has had some very good luck this year given the .033 difference between that mark and his actual .331 wOBA.

In notching a .203 batting average this year, Michael Toglia grades out in the 6th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Bradley Blalock throws from, Christian Walker will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Christian Walker today.

Christian Walker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 18.4% on the season to 0% in the last 14 days.

The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Bradley Blalock, Ketel Marte will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Ketel Marte’s launch angle of late (24.7° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 8.6° seasonal mark.

As it relates to his home runs, Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year. His 35.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.2.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy in today’s game.

Jake McCarthy’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 84.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 79.7-mph over the past 14 days.

Jake McCarthy’s launch angle of late (-1.6° in the last 14 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.5° seasonal figure.

It may be smart to expect better numbers for the Colorado Rockies offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the unluckiest offense in the majors this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Jose Herrera (the D-Backs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be a horrible pitch framer.

Coors Field projects as the #1 venue in Major League Baseball for batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jordan Beck is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Jordan Beck meets a tough challenge today.

Jordan Beck’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 85.8-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 80.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Jordan Beck has compiled a .264 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 21st percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Ezequiel Tovar has a tough challenge today.

Ezequiel Tovar’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, falling from 43.8% on the season to 16.7% in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has experienced some positive variance this year. His .318 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .283.

When it comes to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s skill is quite weak, posting a 9.36 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 1st percentile.

Pavin Smith’s BABIP ability is projected in the 14th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 44.6% on the season to 25% over the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .397 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Joc Pederson has had some very good luck given the .045 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .352.

Charlie Blackmon’s BABIP talent is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Charlie Blackmon’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 86.4-mph EV last year has fallen to 84.4-mph.

As it relates to his batting average, Charlie Blackmon has experienced some positive variance this year. His .251 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .215.

Ranking in the 17th percentile, Jordan Beck sports a .227 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.361) implies that Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year with his .384 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 15th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Bradley Blalock today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 88.6 mph to 85.2 mph.

Coors Field projects as the #30 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Merrill Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Grading out in the 25th percentile, Ryan McMahon has notched a .231 batting average this year.

Jake McCarthy has been lucky this year, notching a .336 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .303 — a .033 gap.

Placing in the 20th percentile for power, Charlie Blackmon has averaged 11.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 12th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .310 figure is a good deal higher than his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The Colorado Rockies as a unit place 24th- overall in MLB this year as far as the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 16.3% on the season to 12.5% over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 11.6°, Corbin Carroll has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.1°) over the past 14 days.

From last year to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.5% to 11.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Antonio Senzatela in the 4th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Antonio Senzatela to be on a bit of a short leash in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 83 pitches.

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