
PHI @ MIA






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, September 6th
06/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Marlins Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Brandon Marsh ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Brandon Marsh is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 91.4-mph over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Miami Marlins outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams today.
J.T. Realmuto has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past two weeks.
In the past 14 days, J.T. Realmuto’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Larry Vanover) behind the plate today.
J.T. Realmuto, the Phillies’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The #4 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.
Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Wheeler in today’s game.
With a 0.65 difference between Zack Wheeler’s 2.63 ERA and his 3.28 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in baseball this year and should see worse results going forward.
Connor Norby’s BABIP skill is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Connor Norby is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.
Connor Norby will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Trea Turner is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Over the past 14 days, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph recently.
In notching a .348 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 86th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects LoanDepot Park as the 4th-best stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP.
Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Edward Cabrera today.
Kody Clemens may have the upper hand against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.
Kody Clemens has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last year’s 90.9-mph EV.
When assessing his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ranking in the 80th percentile, Kody Clemens sports a .285 Isolated Power rate (ISO) since the start of last season.
Jonah Bride is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Bride will hold that advantage today.
Jonah Bride has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, ranking in the 89th percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Kyle Schwarber is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.
Compared to average, Zack Wheeler has been granted more leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an additional 8.2 adjusted pitches each start.
Griffin Conine will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today’s game.
Griffin Conine hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Griffin Conine will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Over the past two weeks, Griffin Conine’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 20%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today’s game.
In the past week, Jake Burger’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%.
When estimating his home run ability, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today’s game.
Kyle Stowers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Nick Fortes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive skill to be a .269, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .024 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .245 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Otto Lopez’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Otto Lopez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
In the last 7 days, Otto Lopez’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5% up to 12.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.
Jesus Sanchez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Jesus Sanchez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.9-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph EV.
Nick Castellanos’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
Over the last 7 days, Nick Castellanos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.7-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph lately.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game.
Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today’s game.
The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryce Harper has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Johan Rojas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.
Johan Rojas has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 29.35 ft/sec to 30.08 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
Johan Rojas has been unlucky this year, putting up a .256 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .276 — a .020 gap.
Griffin Conine has shown some good exit velocity indicators lately, averaging 106.6-mph on his flyballs over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today’s matchup.
The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Bryce Harper has notched a .377 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.
Kyle Schwarber has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 14.2% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the past 14 days.
Otto Lopez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph.
Otto Lopez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .272 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The 5th-best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Over his last 3 GS, Edward Cabrera has suffered a big fall off in his fastball spin rate: from 2245 rpm over the entire season to 2188 rpm of late.
Utilizing Statcast data, Jake Burger grades out in the 75th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .334.
By putting up a 30.100 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Jake Burger has performed in the 91st percentile for power.
In the last week’s worth of games, Bryson Stott’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.8-mph of late.
There has been a significant improvement in Bryson Stott’s launch angle from last year’s 9.9° to 14.3° this year.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, Zack Wheeler projects as the 18th-best pitcher in baseball currently, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The Miami Marlins have 5 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (David Hensley, Connor Norby, Jake Burger, Kyle Stowers, Griffin Conine).
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Edward Cabrera in the 82nd percentile among all SPs in the game.
Edward Cabrera’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (64.8% this year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 16th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.
Connor Norby’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls of late (30° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 25.6° seasonal mark.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nick Castellanos’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls lately (19° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly better than his 14° seasonal mark.
Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15% to 18.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Marlins Series Game 2
Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst field in the majors for left-handed home runs.
Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.
Brandon Marsh has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Brandon Marsh will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
Batting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, J.T. Realmuto has a tough challenge in today’s game.
J.T. Realmuto has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and will be challenged by the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zack Wheeler as the 6th-best pitcher in baseball currently.
The 3rd-worst projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Miami Marlins.
In the majors, LoanDepot Park’s right field dimensions are the 4th-deepest.
Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this matchup.
Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage over Connor Norby today.
In the last 7 days, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.
Connor Norby has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 76-mph over the last 7 days.
Connor Norby has been lucky this year, notching a .357 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .056 deviation.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst ballpark in the game for righty home runs.
Edward Cabrera will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.
In the past week, Trea Turner’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kody Clemens in the 12th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kody Clemens is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kody Clemens has been pulled from the game early 19% of the time.
Kody Clemens pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
In the last week, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.
When it comes to his home run ability, Jonah Bride ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonah Bride today.
Jonah Bride pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jonah Bride has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 80.8-mph over the past two weeks.
In today’s matchup, Kyle Schwarber is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Schwarber today.
From last season to this one, Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.5% to 13%.
Kyle Schwarber has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 32.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 29.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Griffin Conine in the 6th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Griffin Conine is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Griffin Conine has struggled to lift the ball lately, putting up a -1.4° launch angle in the past 14 days.
Zack Wheeler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jake Burger in today’s game.
Jake Burger pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Jake Burger has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 13% seasonal rate has fallen to 7.1% over the last 7 days.
Jake Burger has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.5-mph dropping to 85.4-mph over the past week.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 13°, Kyle Stowers has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.7°) in the last two weeks.
Placing in the 18th percentile, Kyle Stowers sports a .239 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.
When it comes to plate discipline, Kyle Stowers’s ability is quite weak, posting a 6.46 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 13th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Nick Fortes is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Zack Wheeler will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Fortes in today’s game.
Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
Otto Lopez is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Zack Wheeler will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Otto Lopez in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Otto Lopez’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.4%.
Ranking in the 6th percentile, Otto Lopez has put up a .265 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Jesus Sanchez has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.3%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Jesus Sanchez has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 13.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.
Jesus Sanchez has shown bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 17th percentile with a 4.02 K/BB rate.
Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Nick Castellanos has a tough challenge today.
Nick Castellanos has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s game.
Nick Castellanos has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 25th percentile with a 3.56 K/BB rate.
Today, Bryce Harper is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (90th percentile).
Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Bryce Harper has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 2.7% over the past two weeks.
Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 93.6-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 82.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
As it relates to his home run skill, Johan Rojas ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Johan Rojas has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.
Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Johan Rojas will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Griffin Conine ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Bryson Stott has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.
Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 14.3°, Bryson Stott has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.7°) in the last 14 days.
With a .265 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott is positioned in the 18th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 22nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
In the last 7 days, Jonah Bride’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.
When estimating his home run ability, Otto Lopez ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Edward Cabrera will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats across the board.
Edward Cabrera was on point in his last outing and allowed 1 ER.
Among all starting pitchers, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 95.6 mph grades out in the 95th percentile this year.
When assessing his home run ability, Bryson Stott ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
LoanDepot Park ranks as the #22 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Considering the 0.37 difference between Edward Cabrera’s 9.95 K/9 and his 9.58 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results going forward.
Trea Turner’s speed has dropped off this season. His 30.23 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.5 ft/sec now.
Tallying 14.2 outs per game per started this year on average, Edward Cabrera checks in at the 9th percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Johan Rojas ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) suggests that Kyle Schwarber has been lucky this year with his .248 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 9th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
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