Phillies vs D-Backs match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 19th

|

PHI @ ARI

Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks Phillies vs D-BacksPhillies vs D-BacksPhillies vs D-BacksPhillies vs D-BacksPhillies vs D-BacksPhillies vs D-Backs

Phillies @ D-Backs Matchup Details

Teams : Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 19th
Time : 19/09/25 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for righty batting average.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tim Tawa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Tim Tawa grades out in the 90th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.7% rate this year).

Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Otto Kemp has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Otto Kemp ranks in the 75th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .329.

Otto Kemp’s 11.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to study power) ranks in the 79th percentile this year.

Otto Kemp’s 94.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 78th percentile this year.

Otto Kemp grades out in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (21% rate this year).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 13th-best batter in MLB.

Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The #2 park in the majors for boosting batting average to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

There has been a significant improvement in Ketel Marte’s launch angle from last year’s 9.3° to 15° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 3rd-best home run batter.

Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Kyle Schwarber has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 15.6% rate last season to 20.8% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 10th-best hitter in baseball.

Harrison Bader has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

The Barrel% of Harrison Bader has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.4% last year to 11.4% this year.

Harrison Bader has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season’s 90.2-mph average.

With a .359 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Harrison Bader has performed in the 88th percentile.

Posting a .468 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Harrison Bader finds himself in the 79th percentile.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Blaze Alexander, Tim Tawa, James McCann).

Taijuan Walker’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (70.7% compared to 59.8% last year) figures to work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s evaluation, Taijuan Walker’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 13th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball right now.

The #2 venue in the majors for boosting base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Taijuan Walker’s 2127-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 16th percentile among all starting pitchers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Max Kepler has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.2% rate last year to 12.2% this year.

Max Kepler has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.9-mph average to last year’s 88.8-mph EV.

Bryce Harper projects as the 12th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Bryce Harper’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13.3% to 19.3%.

By putting up a .374 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Bryce Harper grades out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates J.T. Realmuto’s true offensive ability to be a .332, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .020 gap between that figure and his actual .312 wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto is notably athletic, checking in at the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.36 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 3rd-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Brandon Marsh is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 80% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today’s game.

Brandon Marsh’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 46.6% to 52.5%.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Geraldo Perdomo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 13% to 20.5%.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Geraldo Perdomo has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .371.

By putting up a .366 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Geraldo Perdomo grades out in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Gabriel Moreno will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Gabriel Moreno has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season’s 89.6-mph average.

Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage today.

Jake McCarthy has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last year’s 87.1-mph average.

Jake McCarthy has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .202 rate is deflated compared to his .244 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.281) suggests that Jake McCarthy has experienced some negative variance this year with his .253 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 81st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Blaze Alexander’s BABIP talent is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blaze Alexander is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Blaze Alexander has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 3.4% rate last year to 13.4% this season.

Blaze Alexander has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.5-mph average to last year’s 89.2-mph EV.

Hitting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Alek Thomas will have an edge in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Alek Thomas’s footspeed has gotten better this year. His 27.8 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.35 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.9) may lead us to conclude that Alek Thomas has been unlucky this year with his 12.1 actual HR/600.

Ranking in the 80th percentile, Alek Thomas has hit 41.2% of his balls in the air this year with a velocity of at least 100 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 88th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge today.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Bryson Stott and his 18.9% rank in the 89th percentile this year.

Bryson Stott has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 84th percentile with a 1.61 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Corbin Carroll projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Corbin Carroll will have an edge today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Corbin Carroll will hold that advantage today.

Ryne Nelson’s four-seamer usage has spiked by 7.3% from last year to this one (56% to 63.3%) .

Ryne Nelson has been lucky this year, compiling a 3.34 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.29 — a 0.95 deviation.

Ryne Nelson has notched a .243 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest pitchers in the league on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

Philadelphia Phillies bats collectively rank near the top of Major League Baseball this year (5th-) when assessing their 89.8-mph average exit velocity.

The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Schwarber, Weston Wilson, Otto Kemp).

Among all starters, Ryne Nelson’s fastball velocity of 95 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.

Weston Wilson has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .292 rate is considerably lower than his .336 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Since the start of last season, Weston Wilson’s 12.6% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 87th percentile among his peers.

Weston Wilson’s 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile since the start of last season.

Weston Wilson’s 17.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball: 80th percentile.

Ranking in the 76th percentile, Weston Wilson has notched a .321 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Using Statcast metrics, Weston Wilson is in the 75th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .257.

Negatives with the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tim Tawa in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Tim Tawa is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF dimensions among all stadiums.

Chase Field has the 10th-highest fence height (on average) in MLB.

Taijuan Walker will hold the platoon advantage over Tim Tawa in today’s matchup.

With a .280 wOBA in the last week, Tim Tawa has been struggling at the plate.

The #6 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Otto Kemp faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense belongs to the Arizona Diamondbacks.

Otto Kemp will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Posting a 5.22 K/BB rate this year, Otto Kemp has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 25th percentile.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will bat from his worse side against Taijuan Walker in this game.

Ketel Marte pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 94-mph EV last year has fallen off to 90.7-mph.

Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .275 rate is quite a bit higher than his .255 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chase Field ranks as the #25 ballpark in the game for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Schwarber pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Kyle Schwarber will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (38.3) provides evidence that Kyle Schwarber has been very fortunate this year with his 46.5 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Schwarber’s true offensive talent to be a .373, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .023 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .396 wOBA.

In notching a .234 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Kyle Schwarber has performed in the 23rd percentile.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Harrison Bader meets a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Harrison Bader in today’s matchup.

Harrison Bader’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 15.7% to 12.3%.

When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taijuan Walker in the 4th percentile among all starters in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 5th-worst field in the majors for strikeouts.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Taijuan Walker today.

Among all starting pitchers, Taijuan Walker’s fastball velocity of 91.2 mph grades out in the 22nd percentile this year.

It may be smart to expect weaker performance for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the majors this year.

Taijuan Walker performed well in his previous game started and conceded 0 ER.

Recording 15 outs per start this year on average, Taijuan Walker checks in at the 25th percentile.

Max Kepler is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Max Kepler hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 84th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Max Kepler in today’s matchup.

Posting a .236 BABIP this year, Max Kepler grades out in the 0th percentile.

Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Bryce Harper has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 29.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 25.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.T. Realmuto today.

J.T. Realmuto hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Marsh today.

Despite posting a .342 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brandon Marsh has been lucky given the .019 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, posting a .371 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .316 — a .055 deviation.

Ranking in the 10th percentile, the hardest ball Geraldo Perdomo has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.2 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP ability is projected in the 21st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Gabriel Moreno will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Gabriel Moreno has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Gabriel Moreno has been lucky this year, compiling a .346 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .014 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Jake McCarthy’s launch angle this season (6.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 9.1° angle last season.

Jake McCarthy has compiled a .251 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Ranking in the 20th percentile, Jake McCarthy sits with a .231 BABIP this year.

Batting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Blaze Alexander will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Blaze Alexander has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Blaze Alexander has had some very good luck given the .029 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Using Statcast data, Alek Thomas is in the 9th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .285.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Alek Thomas ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 4° launch angle, which is one of the most groundball-inducing angles in the game.

Alek Thomas has been cold lately, posting a .287 wOBA in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The standard deviation of Alek Thomas’s launch angle this year (31.7°) is in the 2nd percentile. A high deviation like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

Bryson Stott is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

This year, Bryson Stott’s 4.8% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.

Corbin Carroll pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher stats in all categories, and Ryne Nelson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In his last outing, Ryne Nelson was in good form and conceded 2 ER.

Ryne Nelson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his previous outing and notched 2 Ks.

Weston Wilson is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Weston Wilson today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Weston Wilson in the 14th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Latest Arizona Diamondbacks Matches

Latest Philadelphia Phillies Matches