Brewers vs Cardinals match player stats | 2025 Friday, September 19th

|

MIL @ STL

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals Brewers vs CardinalsBrewers vs CardinalsBrewers vs CardinalsBrewers vs CardinalsBrewers vs CardinalsBrewers vs Cardinals

Brewers @ Cardinals Matchup Details

Teams : Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals
Series :
Date : Todays Game is on Friday, September 19th
Time : 19/09/25 20:15:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

Sal Frelick is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Busch Stadium has the 10th-lowest fences in the league.

According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting on the schedule today.

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Sal Frelick will have an advantage today.

Sal Frelick hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Jackson Chourio is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jackson Chourio hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Jackson Chourio’s launch angle this season (11.2°) is quite a bit better than his 7.5° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Thomas Saggese will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Thomas Saggese has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last year’s 27.86 ft/sec to 28.48 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

Thomas Saggese is in the 84th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (19.2% rate this year).

Caleb Durbin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Sporting a 1.54 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has demonstrated strong plate discipline, checking in at the 88th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Victor Scott II will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Victor Scott II will hold that advantage today.

Victor Scott II has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .215 figure is quite a bit lower than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Victor Scott II is remarkably athletic, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.22 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Jacob Misiorowski in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 4 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Thomas Saggese, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman, Jordan Walker).

Among all starters, Jacob Misiorowski’s fastball velocity of 98.6 mph is in the 100th percentile this year.

Jacob Misiorowski’s 2586-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 97th percentile among all starters.

Jacob Misiorowski has notched a 13% Swinging Strike rate this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Sonny Gray in the 93rd percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Pedro Pages (the Cardinals’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a good pitch framer.

Sonny Gray will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Sonny Gray’s 2499-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all starters.

Sonny Gray has recorded a 12.1% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Nolan Arenado will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Despite posting a .283 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nolan Arenado has been unlucky given the .021 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Christian Yelich is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.

Christian Yelich has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96.8-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season’s 91.5-mph average.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage today.

Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge in today’s game.

Brice Turang has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 2.5% rate last season to 8.2% this year.

Blake Perkins hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

This season, Blake Perkins has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93.3 mph compared to last year’s 90.6 mph mark.

Blake Perkins has notched a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 78th percentile.

Alec Burleson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Jacob Misiorowski in today’s game.

Alec Burleson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jordan Walker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s 7th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jordan Walker will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive ability to be a .308, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .054 disparity between that mark and his actual .254 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Negatives with the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

When it comes to his home run ability, Sal Frelick ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #4 field in the league for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Sal Frelick in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Sal Frelick has experienced some positive variance this year. His .296 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .260.

Posting a 8.800 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Sal Frelick is positioned in the 13th percentile for power.

The #4 park in MLB for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Jackson Chourio will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jackson Chourio in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio’s speed has fallen off this season. His 29.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.21 ft/sec now.

The #9 park in the majors for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

With a 3.68 K/BB rate this year, Jackson Chourio has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 21st percentile.

Thomas Saggese is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

Hitting from the same side that Jacob Misiorowski throws from, Thomas Saggese will be in a tough position today.

Thomas Saggese has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Among every team in action today, the 3rd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Milwaukee Brewers.

When it comes to his home run skill, Caleb Durbin ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Caleb Durbin is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Caleb Durbin will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Caleb Durbin in today’s matchup.

Caleb Durbin’s BABIP skill is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 20th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Victor Scott II is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Victor Scott II has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 25th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The #9 field in the game for suppressing BABIP to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jacob Misiorowski is projected to throw 79 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 6th-least of the day.

The #3 venue in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Busch Stadium.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jacob Misiorowski in today’s matchup.

Jacob Misiorowski’s high usage rate of his fastball (54.3% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Sonny Gray is projected to throw 84 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 13th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Sonny Gray’s 91.2-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph decrease from last season’s 92.3-mph mark.

Sonny Gray has used his cut-fastball 5.4% less often this season (12.4%) than he did last year (17.8%).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Jacob Misiorowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

In today’s matchup, Christian Yelich is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 40.6% rate (99th percentile).

Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Christian Yelich’s launch angle this year (1.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 5.1° mark last season.

Christian Yelich has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 29.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 17.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Christian Yelich has had some very good luck this year. His .349 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .334.

Jacob Misiorowski will have the handedness advantage over Ivan Herrera in today’s game.

Today, Ivan Herrera is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.2% rate (85th percentile).

From last year to this one, Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.3% to 12.6%.

Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brice Turang in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .346 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has experienced some positive variance given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .316.

As it relates to his home run ability, Blake Perkins ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blake Perkins is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the dish, Blake Perkins will bat from his weak side against Sonny Gray in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Blake Perkins today.

Blake Perkins’s launch angle this year (4.3°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.7° angle last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.321) suggests that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his .344 actual wOBA.

Grading out in the 11th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.53 ft/sec this year, Alec Burleson is not very athletic.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

Jacob Misiorowski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jordan Walker in today’s game.

Last season, Jordan Walker had a launch angle of 7.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 3.8°.

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Matches

Latest Milwaukee Brewers Matches