Giants @ Dodgers Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the San Francisco Giants Game Today

The #1 venue in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The 9th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB are found in Dodger Stadium.

Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in Major League Baseball.

Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Casey Schmitt will have an advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.330) suggests that Casey Schmitt has suffered from bad luck this year with his .309 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 7th-best field in baseball for RHB batting average.

Casey Schmitt grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (50.7% rate this year).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The #1 field in the league for boosting home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.277) suggests that Jung Hoo Lee has had bad variance on his side this year with his .262 actual batting average.

Dodger Stadium grades out as the #7 stadium in MLB for lefty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Sporting a 1.44 K/BB rate this year, Jung Hoo Lee has shown impressive plate discipline, checking in at the 91st percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.

Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The San Francisco Giants outfield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Rafael Devers’s 15.3% Barrel% (an advanced standard to assess power) ranks in the 92nd percentile this year.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Clayton Kershaw’s overall pitching skill is in the 81st percentile out of all SPs in Major League Baseball currently.

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Clayton Kershaw will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Clayton Kershaw’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (65% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Clayton Kershaw has put up a 3.64 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that is concerned with the variables most within a pitcher’s control) this year, placing in the 78th percentile.

The San Francisco Giants have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Willy Adames, Jerar Encarnacion, Patrick Bailey).

Clayton Kershaw has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.26 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.31 — a 1.04 K/9 difference.

Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Enrique Hernandez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

Mookie Betts will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray in today’s game.

Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Chapman ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Matt Chapman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Wilmer Flores is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Wilmer Flores will have an edge in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Tommy Edman is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Willy Adames will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 96th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Robbie Ray in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in the game.

Throwing 96.4 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Robbie Ray falls in the 96th percentile.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Patrick Bailey (the Giants’s expected catcher today) grades out as an elite pitch framer.

Because groundball batters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Robbie Ray (40.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

Placing in the 85th percentile, Robbie Ray put up a 12.6% Swinging Strike% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Teoscar Hernandez will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 16th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent.

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Miguel Rojas will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Miguel Rojas will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jerar Encarnacion will have the handedness advantage over Clayton Kershaw in today’s game.

When it comes to his batting average, Jerar Encarnacion has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .237 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .279.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 85th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Andy Pages will have the handedness advantage over Robbie Ray today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Heliot Ramos will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Heliot Ramos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Patrick Bailey’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 15.4% to 18.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Patrick Bailey’s true offensive ability to be a .281, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .017 difference between that figure and his actual .264 wOBA.

Patrick Bailey has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 8.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 12.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

The weather forecast calls for the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Casey Schmitt in today’s game.

Casey Schmitt has been very bad at hitting the ball to all fields (a key talent for batting average), placing in the 24th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.

Jung Hoo Lee is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 65% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Jung Hoo Lee meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jung Hoo Lee will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Jung Hoo Lee’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.9-mph mark last year has fallen off to 86.6-mph.

Robbie Ray will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today’s matchup.

Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 44.5 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 37.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.392) implies that Shohei Ohtani has been lucky this year with his .417 actual wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Rafael Devers’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 26.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.09 ft/sec now.

Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .364 mark is inflated compared to his .349 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Clayton Kershaw to throw 80 pitches today (8th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

It may be wise to expect positive regression for the San Francisco Giants offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 5th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

Lance Barksdale projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate today.

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

The San Francisco Giants have 7 bats in the projected offense that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in this matchup.

Clayton Kershaw didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and posted 2 Ks.

Clayton Kershaw’s 88.4-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 3rd percentile among all starting pitchers.

Enrique Hernandez’s BABIP talent is projected in the 8th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

With a .259 wOBA in the past two weeks’ worth of games, Enrique Hernandez has been struggling at the plate.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.1) provides evidence that Enrique Hernandez has experienced some positive variance this year with his 23.1 actual HR/600.

Extreme flyball bats like Mookie Betts tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

Mookie Betts’s 5.5% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power) grades out in the 22nd percentile this year.

Mookie Betts’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) has been 108.4 mph this year, placing in the 13th percentile.

Mookie Betts has recorded a .261 BABIP this year, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.

Matt Chapman’s footspeed has declined this year. His 28.66 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.1 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.329) provides evidence that Matt Chapman has been very fortunate this year with his .343 actual wOBA.

Matt Chapman has recorded a .233 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.7) may lead us to conclude that Matt Chapman has had some very good luck this year with his 25.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 1st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Wilmer Flores has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .306 figure is quite a bit higher than his .275 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

By putting up a .262 BABIP this year, Wilmer Flores has performed in the 15th percentile.

From last year to this one, Tommy Edman’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 17.1% to 12.5%.

Tommy Edman has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 20.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is considerably higher than his 8.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, Tommy Edman’s 4.2% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 14th percentile among his peers.

This year, Tommy Edman’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) grades out in the 13th percentile at 89.6 mph.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willy Adames in today’s matchup.

Willy Adames has put up a .226 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willy Adames has posted a .262 BABIP this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Robbie Ray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Robbie Ray’s 92.9-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a significant 1.1-mph decrease from last season’s 94-mph mark.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.3-mph EV last season has decreased to 93-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.8% to 38.8%.

Teoscar Hernandez has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 6th percentile with a 5.17 K/BB rate.

Hitting from the same side that Robbie Ray throws from, Freddie Freeman will not have the upper hand today.

Freddie Freeman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 20% to 16.3%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has been very fortunate this year. His .367 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.

When assessing his home run ability, Miguel Rojas ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Miguel Rojas is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.285) may lead us to conclude that Miguel Rojas has been lucky this year with his .310 actual wOBA.

This year, Miguel Rojas’s 4% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 13th percentile among his peers.

Miguel Rojas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jerar Encarnacion is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Jerar Encarnacion has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Jerar Encarnacion will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Jerar Encarnacion’s 5.8° launch angle (an advanced metric to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 12th percentile.

Andy Pages is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Andy Pages tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Robbie Ray.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Andy Pages’s true offensive talent to be a .327, indicating that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .011 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.

Andy Pages’s 90.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 22nd percentile this year.

Andy Pages has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 25.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 20.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos today.

Heliot Ramos has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 14.7% rate last season has fallen off to 8.6% this season.

Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.3-mph EV last year has dropped to 92.8-mph.

Heliot Ramos’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (8°) is significantly lower than his 15.8° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Patrick Bailey in the 19th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Patrick Bailey is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

The switch-hitting Patrick Bailey will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Clayton Kershaw,Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

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