Nationals vs Marlins match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Series Game 2

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Nationals vs Marlins match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Series Game 2

WSH @ MIA

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Marlins Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (67% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for LHB base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jose Tena will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.

Jose Tena has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park profiles as the #4 field in Major League Baseball for right-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andres Chaparro hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Andres Chaparro has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.3% seasonal rate to 11.1% over the last 7 days.

Andres Chaparro has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 87.4-mph figure.

Extreme flyball bats like Jacob Young generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Valente Bellozo.

Over the last 7 days, Jacob Young’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.7% up to 10%.

Ranking in the 83rd percentile, Jacob Young sits with a .323 BABIP this year.

As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Valente Bellozo in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (19.8°) is quite a bit better than his 15.1° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Keibert Ruiz’s true offensive ability to be a .291, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .033 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .258 wOBA.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Nick Fortes will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive skill to be a .269, indicating that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .029 deviation between that figure and his actual .240 wOBA.

Compared to the average pitcher, MacKenzie Gore has been given more leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.6 adjusted pitches each start.

The Miami Marlins projected lineup ranks as the 4th-weakest of the day in terms of overall offensive skill.

Dan Merzel projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in today’s game.

In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park’s right field fences are the 4th-deepest.

Dylan Crews is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in Major League Baseball.

Over the past 14 days, Dylan Crews’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 20% up to 20%.

Over the past 14 days, Dylan Crews has averaged an impressive 101.4-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced indicator of home run potential.

Xavier Edwards is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against MacKenzie Gore today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Xavier Edwards will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo today.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Gallo stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Joey Gallo has big-time HR ability (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (38.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Valente Bellozo has a pitch-to-contact profile (1st percentile K%) — great news for Gallo.

Joey Gallo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, rising from 38.8% on the season to 56.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.276) may lead us to conclude that Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck this year with his .258 actual batting average.

CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo today.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

CJ Abrams has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 91-mph over the last week.

CJ Abrams has compiled a .290 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 75th percentile.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Burger ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Jake Burger will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Joey Gallo as the game’s 7th-best home run batter.

Over the last 14 days, Joey Gallo’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.5-mph in recent games.

Over the past 14 days, Dylan Crews has been successful in optimizing the launch angle of his hardest hit balls to hit for power, compiling a 22.4° angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Andres Chaparro’s launch angle lately (32.7° over the last week) is considerably better than his 18.1° seasonal angle.

Jonah Bride is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jonah Bride will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

Jonah Bride will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ranking in the 75th percentile, Jonah Bride has notched a .322 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Connor Norby’s BABIP talent is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Connor Norby is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Connor Norby will have the handedness advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 8th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP skill.

James Wood is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

James Wood will hold the platoon advantage against Valente Bellozo in today’s matchup.

James Wood is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Connor Norby will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Connor Norby has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.6-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jose Tena hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 6th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Jose Tena are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Valente Bellozo.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Luis Garcia ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.

Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Valente Bellozo today.

Luis Garcia is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Extreme groundball bats like Luis Garcia are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Valente Bellozo.

Jonah Bride has shown favorable plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The Washington Nationals projected batting order profiles as the 3rd-weakest of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

It may be best to expect weaker performance for the Washington Nationals offense in the future, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Nick Fortes, the Marlins’s expected catcher in today’s game, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Otto Lopez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.

Otto Lopez’s launch angle lately (8.5° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 4.9° seasonal angle.

The Washington Nationals have 3 hitters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Joey Gallo, James Wood, Jose Tena).

In the past week’s worth of games, Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.6-mph of late.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects MacKenzie Gore in the 85th percentile when assessing his strikeout talent.

The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jesus Sanchez, Cristian Pache, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

James Wood hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 6th-shallowest CF fences today.

Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Marlins Series Game 2

LoanDepot Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

The LoanDepot Park roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Tena in today’s matchup.

Jose Tena has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph dropping to 87.5-mph over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 23rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Valente Bellozo will hold the platoon advantage against Andres Chaparro in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andres Chaparro in today’s game.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jacob Young ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Valente Bellozo throws from, Jacob Young will not have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Nick Fortes ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a lefty on the mound this year, Nick Fortes has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.

The #9 park in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

LoanDepot Park grades out as the #4 venue in the league for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

MacKenzie Gore will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Valente Bellozo will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Crews in today’s game.

Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Xavier Edwards has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 4th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Joey Gallo is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Joey Gallo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.4% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (98% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

CJ Abrams pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 4th-deepest RF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger’s launch angle recently (1.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12.8° seasonal angle.

As it relates to plate discipline, Jake Burger’s skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.47 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.

Nick Fortes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #9 ballpark in baseball for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

When assessing his home run ability, Jonah Bride ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

This year, Jonah Bride has been pinch hit for in 26% of his appearances when starting against southpaw.

Jonah Bride pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.7% down to 6.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Connor Norby’s true offensive ability to be a .301, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood in today’s game.

James Wood has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 11% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

James Wood has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.8-mph dropping to 85.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Otto Lopez is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card today.

Otto Lopez has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a lefty hurler this year.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Otto Lopez ranks in just the 3rd percentile with a 4.9° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in Major League Baseball.

Luis Garcia has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Garcia in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .334 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Luis Garcia has been very fortunate given the .017 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

Jonah Bride has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.5-mph dropping to 83-mph in the last two weeks.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Valente Bellozo’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 7th percentile out of all SPs in baseball right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Valente Bellozo to throw 84 pitches in this game (9th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Valente Bellozo (39.2% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 4 GB hitters in Washington’s projected lineup.

In his last GS, Valente Bellozo conceded a colossal 6 earned runs.

When it comes to his home run skill, Otto Lopez ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Valente Bellozo in the 15th percentile among all starters in the league.

The #8 venue in the league for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.

Over his previous 3 starts, Valente Bellozo has seen a substantial drop off in his fastball velocity: from 88.8 mph over the entire season to 87.7 mph lately.

Latest Miami Marlins Match Player Stats

Latest Washington Nationals Match Player Stats