Astros vs Reds match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2

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Astros vs Reds match player stats Wednesday, September 4th 2024. Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2

HOU @ CIN

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Houston Astros at Cincinnati Reds
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Astros vs Reds Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Amed Rosario as the 16th-best hitter in the game as it relates to his BABIP ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 3rd-best ballpark in MLB for run-scoring.

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer Ks), and this game is expected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures on the schedule today at 83°.

Hitters such as Amed Rosario with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Spencer Arrighetti who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Amed Rosario will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 16th-best hitter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

The #6 field in baseball for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Yainer Diaz has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Jeremy Pena is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The 5th-shallowest LF fences among all major league parks are found in Great American Ball Park.

Ty France’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Spencer Arrighetti will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing batters in today’s game.

Spencer Arrighetti was on point in his last outing and conceded 0 ER.

Spencer Arrighetti has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his ERA this year; his 4.63 mark is considerably higher than his 4.07 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Spencer Arrighetti has recorded a .318 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the majors on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Spencer Arrighetti compiled a 12.6% Swinging Strike% this year.

Nick Martinez will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Nick Martinez must realize this, because he has gone to his non-fastballs a lot this year: 60% of the time, placing in the 78th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best venue in baseball for lefty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Mauricio Dubon has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.

T.J. Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

T.J. Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.5% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best park in the majors for righty home runs.

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The #2 venue in the game for boosting home runs to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

Batting from the opposite that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage today.

Jake Fraley pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Jose Altuve pulls many of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chas McCormick in the 79th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Chas McCormick has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Yordan Alvarez will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jeremy Pena has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 6.2% seasonal rate to 17.9% over the last 14 days.

When assessing his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Spencer Arrighetti in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

Spencer Arrighetti was rolling in his last GS and put up 11 strikeouts.

Spencer Arrighetti has posted a 27.3% strikeout rate this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Chas McCormick has had bad variance on his side given the .063 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Yainer Diaz ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Amed Rosario has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 5% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Over the last two weeks, Ben Gamel has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .350.

Negative Match Player Stats with Astros vs Reds Series Game 2

Amed Rosario is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Amed Rosario has a tough challenge today.

Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Amed Rosario’s launch angle this season (3.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 7.5° angle last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.268) may lead us to conclude that Amed Rosario has experienced some positive variance this year with his .298 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Yainer Diaz will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In the last week, Yainer Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Yainer Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 21.6% to 11.7%.

Over the past week, Yainer Diaz’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.7%.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jeremy Pena in today’s matchup.

Jeremy Pena’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 42.4% on the season to 22.7% over the past 7 days.

Jeremy Pena has displayed poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.26 K/BB rate.

Ty France is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Ty France will not have the upper hand today.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Spencer Arrighetti is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers today.

Shane Livensparger profiles as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone today.

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the best field in baseball for home runs.

Among all parks, Great American Ball Park’s RF dimensions are the 8th-shallowest.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 83 pitches in this matchup (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Nick Martinez has recorded an 18.4% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 12.6% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days.

In the past two weeks, Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.9°.

Despite posting a .352 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Elly De La Cruz has been lucky given the .019 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

Mauricio Dubon is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Mauricio Dubon has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Mauricio Dubon will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mauricio Dubon in today’s game.

Mauricio Dubon’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 87.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 83.7-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Ben Gamel is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

This year, Ben Gamel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 20% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Ben Gamel will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Ben Gamel’s quickness has decreased this season. His 27.56 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.91 ft/sec now.

Ben Gamel’s recent inconsistency with his launch angle – which has resulted in a 22.1° standard deviation over the last two weeks – is indicative of poor form at the plate.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

T.J. Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 40.4% on the season to 34.1% in the last two weeks.

T.J. Friedl has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 15.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Using Statcast data, T.J. Friedl ranks in the 17th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .224.

Checking in at the 19th percentile, T.J. Friedl has put up a .354 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

Spencer Arrighetti will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

In the last two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s 7.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.3) implies that Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck this year with his 25.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Fraley in the 14th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (62% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Jake Fraley has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

There has been a significant decline in Jake Fraley’s launch angle from last year’s 16.3° to 9.9° this season.

Jake Fraley has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is a good deal higher than his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 15th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Batting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Jonathan India encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph EV last year has fallen to 87.1-mph.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.3-mph over the last week.

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 45.6% on the season to 23.5% in the last week.

Hitting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Jose Altuve will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Jose Altuve has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 6.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the last week.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.8°, Jose Altuve has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.274) implies that Jose Altuve has been lucky this year with his .296 actual batting average.

Hitting from the same side that Spencer Arrighetti throws from, Spencer Steer will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past 7 days.

In the past 14 days, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 91.5 mph to 83.6 mph.

In the past 7 days, Spencer Steer’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 40.2%.

Sporting a .267 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer is positioned in the 21st percentile.

Jake Fraley’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 46.2% to 40%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.225) provides evidence that Jake Fraley has been lucky this year with his .268 actual batting average.

Chas McCormick is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.

This year, Chas McCormick has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Chas McCormick will be in a tough position today.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Chas McCormick in today’s matchup.

Chas McCormick’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 88-mph figure last year has fallen to 85.2-mph.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 48.3% to 41.6%.

Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Altuve has had positive variance on his side given the .015 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Yordan Alvarez hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yordan Alvarez in today’s game.

As it relates to his batting average, Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year. His .314 mark has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .289.

Jake Fraley’s 2.8% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 7th percentile this year.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jeremy Pena ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jeremy Pena’s launch angle recently (4.3° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 7.4° seasonal figure.

Over the last two weeks, Spencer Steer’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.4°.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Spencer Arrighetti in today’s matchup.

Cincinnati’s 87.8-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the majors: #29 overall.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.314) provides evidence that Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year with his .346 actual wOBA.

Yordan Alvarez’s launch angle lately (10.2° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 18.2° seasonal angle.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.387) suggests that Yordan Alvarez has been lucky this year with his .406 actual wOBA.

As it relates to his home run skill, Amed Rosario ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last week’s worth of games, Ben Gamel’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 7.1% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

With a .207 batting average this year, T.J. Friedl is positioned in the 9th percentile.

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