
MIN @ CLE





Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 17th
17/09/24 18:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors’s 11th-best home run batter.
Byron Buxton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
The #8 venue in the league for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Andres Gimenez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The #8 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Andres Gimenez will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gavin Williams in today’s game.
In the last week, Trevor Larnach’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 25%.
Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.8) may lead us to conclude that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his 11.4 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Josh Naylor will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team playing today.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Brayan Rocchio will hold that advantage today.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 20.2% on the season to 44.4% in the last week.
Angel Martinez is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Matt Wallner projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Wallner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Gavin Williams throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand today.
As it relates to his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 89th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage over Zebby Matthews in today’s game.
Willi Castro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Zebby Matthews throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have an advantage in today’s game.
Power-wise, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 88th percentile, having hit 29.1 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lane Thomas in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Lane Thomas is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Lane Thomas pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Progressive Field has the shallowest LF fences among all stadiums.
By putting up a .302 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Carlos Correa is positioned in the 98th percentile.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Andres Gimenez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 88.6-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 10th-best venue in the game for base hits.
With 8 hitters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Zebby Matthews will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.
Carlos Correa has posted a .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, grading out in the 96th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Carlos Correa’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced metric to assess power) has been 113.9 mph this year, checking in at the 86th percentile.
When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 81st percentile among all starters in baseball.
The Minnesota Twins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Larnach, Edouard Julien, Byron Buxton, Matt Wallner).
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Gavin Williams will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Gavin Williams’s fastball velocity has increased 1.1 mph this season (96.1 mph) over where it was last year (95 mph).
Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Kyle Manzardo’s launch angle in recent games (27.8° over the last two weeks) is significantly better than his 23.5° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 11th-best batter in the league when estimating his BABIP talent.
Edouard Julien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.7% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Angel Martinez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Minnesota’s 14.8° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is among the steepest in baseball this year: #3 overall.
Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 78th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams today.
Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Guardians Series Game 2
Progressive Field has the 4th-tallest average fence height in the league.
Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Byron Buxton meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Among every team in action today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Byron Buxton in today’s matchup.
Last season, Byron Buxton had a launch angle of 21.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 17.4°.
The 7th-deepest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this year (8.8°) is significantly lower than his 12.9° mark last season.
Over the past week, Andres Gimenez’s 4.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.
Utilizing Statcast data, Andres Gimenez grades out in the 8th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 7.400.
Progressive Field projects as the #23 ballpark in the league for left-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Trevor Larnach in today’s matchup.
Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 20.5% on the season to 0% in the last week.
Willi Castro is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Willi Castro will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
Josh Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 8.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Josh Naylor’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 85.8-mph over the past week.
As it relates to his home run skill, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
Brayan Rocchio has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will bat from his bad side against Zebby Matthews in today’s matchup.
Matt Wallner will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .390 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Wallner has experienced some positive variance given the .069 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
Batting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Royce Lewis will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Royce Lewis today.
Royce Lewis has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 78.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Ryan Jeffers is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.
Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
15% of the time that Bo Naylor has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.
Bo Naylor hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 87th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a right-handed pitcher this year, Kyle Manzardo has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time.
In today’s game, Kyle Manzardo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (85th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-worst stadium in the majors for right-handed home runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
In the last week, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.
In the last two weeks, Jose Ramirez’s 6.8% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.
From last year to this one, Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.3% to 38.4%.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (29.2) implies that Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year with his 33.2 actual HR/600.
Hitting from the same side that Zebby Matthews throws from, Lane Thomas meets a tough challenge today.
From last season to this one, Lane Thomas’s flyball exit velocity has decreased from an average of 94.8 mph to 89 mph.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 89-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.7-mph in the past 14 days.
Carlos Correa has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (99% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.
Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Jose Ramirez’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 86.3-mph in the past two weeks.
As it relates to his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
In his previous start, Zebby Matthews turned in a great performance and conceded 2 ER.
Zebby Matthews has recorded a .360 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
The 5.8% Barrel% of the Cleveland Guardians grades them out as the #29 team in the majors this year by this stat.
Cleveland Guardians batters jointly rank near the bottom of MLB this year ( worst) as it relates to their 87.7-mph average exit velocity.
In the past week, Kyle Manzardo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.8% down to 0%.
Gavin Williams has gone to his slider 14.1% less often this year (8%) than he did last season (22.1%).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 24th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Brayan Rocchio will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Zebby Matthews in this game.
Despite posting a .366 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Byron Buxton has been lucky given the .020 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.
Andres Gimenez has recorded a .276 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile.
In terms of plate discipline, Andres Gimenez’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 3.69 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 23rd percentile.
Edouard Julien will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Edouard Julien has put up a .340 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
Edouard Julien has posted a .211 batting average this year, ranking in the 9th percentile.
Bo Naylor has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .274 figure is inflated compared to his .256 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off recently, going from 43% on the season to 12.5% in the last week.
Ryan Jeffers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zebby Matthews is projected to throw 80 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Cleveland Guardians with a 19.6% underlying K%.
Josh Naylor’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased of late, falling from 14.3% on the season to 5.3% in the past week’s worth of games.
Sporting a .245 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor grades out in the 6th percentile.
Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .270 figure is inflated compared to his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jose Ramirez has posted a .254 BABIP this year, placing in the 11th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Gavin Williams’s overall pitching ability is in the 77th percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.
Despite posting a .382 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Correa has been lucky given the .038 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .344.
Edouard Julien has put up a .287 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 18th percentile.
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