D-Backs vs Astros match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros Series Game 3

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D-Backs vs Astros match player stats Sunday, September 8th 2024. Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros Series Game 3

ARI @ HOU

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Arizona Diamondbacks at Houston Astros
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 8th
08/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for D-Backs vs Astros Series Game 3 Series Game 3 Matchup Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball.

Yordan Alvarez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Minute Maid Park grades out as the #5 stadium in the game for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Yordan Alvarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Yordan Alvarez will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his batting average talent, Yainer Diaz is projected as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Yainer Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

The #5 park in the majors for boosting home runs to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Yainer Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Yainer Diaz has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 18.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 21.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake McCarthy is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake McCarthy has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Jake McCarthy usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.

The 2nd-shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Minute Maid Park.

Jeremy Pena will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Jeremy Pena has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 6% seasonal rate to 12.8% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Corbin Carroll will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander in today’s matchup.

Corbin Carroll has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Corbin Carroll has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 89-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Eugenio Suarez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

Eugenio Suarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 17.1% over the last two weeks.

Eugenio Suarez has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.7-mph figure.

Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The #8 stadium in the majors for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (41.3% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #8 HR venue in MLB in this matchup.

Because groundball hitters have a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Justin Verlander and his 41.3% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a tough spot in this outing being matched up with 1 opposing GB bats.

Adrian Del Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Justin Verlander today.

Adrian Del Castillo has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.

Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all parks — generally good for long-balls.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 13.5% on the season to 18.8% over the past 7 days.

When it comes to plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 1.92 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 81st percentile.

Ben Gamel will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Ben Gamel will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Yordan Alvarez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 14.5% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the game.

Kyle Tucker is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an advantage today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Tucker will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jon Singleton will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jon Singleton will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Jon Singleton has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.2% seasonal rate to 57.1% over the past week.

Jon Singleton has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 98.3-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Hitting from the opposite that Justin Verlander throws from, Pavin Smith will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Pavin Smith has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.

Pavin Smith has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph to 96.6-mph in the last week.

Over the last week, Pavin Smith’s 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage over Justin Verlander in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 96.1-mph.

Geraldo Perdomo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 42.8% on the season to 62.5% over the past week.

Grading out in the 81st percentile, Geraldo Perdomo has put up a .271 batting average this year.

Recording 92.2 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Ryne Nelson ranks in the 76th percentile.

Ryne Nelson was on point in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.

Ryne Nelson’s 94.5-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 75th percentile among all starters.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, going from 16.6% on the season to 22.9% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 8th-best venue in MLB for strikeouts.

Ryne Nelson was rolling in his previous game started and accumulated 9 strikeouts.

Kyle Tucker’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 19.5% to 25.3%.

Joc Pederson has notched a .398 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Jose Altuve is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.8% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Jose Altuve will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the past week’s worth of games, Jon Singleton’s 57.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.9%.

Pavin Smith has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .207 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .229 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Justin Verlander is projected to throw 98 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the most of all pitchers on the slate today.

Justin Verlander has a large reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 8 opposite-handed hitters in this matchup.

Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, rising from 16.2% on the season to 24.2% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yainer Diaz in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jose Altuve ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Sporting a .341 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year, Yainer Diaz has performed in the 81st percentile for offensive ability.

With a .305 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Yainer Diaz finds himself in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Negative Match Player Stats with D-Backs vs Astros Series Game 3

Minute Maid Park has the 3rd-highest average fence height in MLB.

Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which generally leads to worse offense.

Yordan Alvarez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Yordan Alvarez has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .310 BA is a fair amount higher than his .289 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryne Nelson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yainer Diaz today.

Yainer Diaz has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Yainer Diaz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake McCarthy today.

Over the last week, Jake McCarthy’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 87.1 mph to 74.3 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 23rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jeremy Pena will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Jeremy Pena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal mark of 91.3 mph to 85.6 mph.

Compared to his seasonal average of 7.5°, Jeremy Pena has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 17° figure in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 10th-worst venue in MLB for lefty batting average.

Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 40.3% to 34.1%.

Sporting a .232 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Corbin Carroll is positioned in the 25th percentile.

Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Justin Verlander.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Justin Verlander’s overall pitching skill is in the 80th percentile among all starters in baseball right now.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected offense for the Arizona Diamondbacks in this game carries an estimated true talent wOBA of .313, which is significantly worse than their actual wOBA of .331 this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games, It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Lance Barrett) in charge of the strike zone today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adrian Del Castillo in the 24th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Adrian Del Castillo is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Adrian Del Castillo in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

The switch-hitting Geraldo Perdomo will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Justin Verlander, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Geraldo Perdomo has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 82.8-mph in the last two weeks.

Ben Gamel is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Ben Gamel has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week.

Ben Gamel’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 88.2-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 84.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Ben Gamel’s launch angle recently (-1° over the past week) is a significant dropoff from his 11.3° seasonal mark.

Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 11.2%.

Kyle Tucker pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (34.7) implies that Kyle Tucker has had some very good luck this year with his 42.9 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jon Singleton in the 5th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Jon Singleton is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Jon Singleton hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 12th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Pavin Smith is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Pavin Smith hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Joc Pederson pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.6% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Joc Pederson in today’s game.

Over the last week, Joc Pederson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.4% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 16th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The Houston Astros projected offense profiles as the 3rd-best on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.

The Houston Astros have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Ryne Nelson will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The #10 field in the league for suppressing batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

In the last two weeks, Jeremy Pena’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

With a 4.38 K/BB rate this year, Jeremy Pena has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 13th percentile.

Out of all starting pitchers, Ryne Nelson’s fastball spin rate of 2212 rpm grades out in the 22nd percentile this year.

Ryne Nelson’s high usage percentage of his fastball (55.3% this year) is likely harming his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Grading out in the 8th percentile, Ryne Nelson recorded an 8.2% Swinging Strike rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Kyle Tucker’s true offensive skill to be a .373, implying that he has had some very good luck this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .410 wOBA.

Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jose Altuve meets a tough challenge today.

Jose Altuve has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.

Jose Altuve has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph dropping to 82.5-mph in the last week.

Ryne Nelson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his ERA this year; his 4.15 mark is inflated compared to his 3.74 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.388) implies that Yordan Alvarez has had some very good luck this year with his .404 actual wOBA.

When it comes to his home runs, Jon Singleton has had positive variance on his side this year. His 21.3 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 17.9.

Justin Verlander has relied on his slider 6.9% less often this year (18.4%) than he did last season (25.3%).

In the past two weeks, Adrian Del Castillo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.2% down to 0%.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pavin Smith in today’s matchup.

In the past 14 days, Jake McCarthy’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%.

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