Cubs @ Phillies Matchup Details

Positives for the Chicago Cubs Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 85th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

,Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums.

,This contest is predicted to have the 7th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph EV.

,There has been a significant improvement in Pete Crow-Armstrong’s launch angle from last season’s 19.9° to 27.3° this season.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Matt Shaw will have the upper hand today.

,Matt Shaw has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last year’s 84.7-mph average.

,Matt Shaw’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 17.4% to 26.7%.

,As it relates to his BABIP talent, Justin Crawford is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Justin Crawford will have an edge in today’s game.

,Justin Crawford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

,When assessing his batting average talent, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 11th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Nico Hoerner will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Carson Kelly is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today’s game.

,Carson Kelly has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year’s 89-mph figure.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average talent.

,Trea Turner is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

,Trea Turner will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 16.8% to 20%.

,Miguel Amaya will hold the platoon advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

,Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Seiya Suzuki will have the handedness advantage over Cristopher Sanchez today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Alex Bregman will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Alex Bregman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Trea Turner ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ian Happ ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Ian Happ has been hot in recent games, hitting 3 home runs over the last two weeks.

,Alec Bohm’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Compared to last year, Alec Bohm has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.6% to 23.1% this season.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carson Kelly ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

,Adolis Garcia has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage today.

,Checking in at the 83rd percentile, J.T. Realmuto sits with a .323 BABIP since the start of last season.

,In his previous GS, Javier Assad was firing on all cylinders and conceded 0 ER.

,When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Alec Bohm ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Javier Assad in today’s game.

,Bryson Stott has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Bryson Stott has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season’s 87.6-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 10th-best hitter in MLB.

,Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Javier Assad throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Bryce Harper has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 9th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as MLB’s 3rd-best home run batter.

,Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Brandon Marsh has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Brandon Marsh will hold the platoon advantage against Javier Assad today.

,Brandon Marsh has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Nico Hoerner’s launch angle this season (18.8°) is significantly better than his 12.4° angle last year.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 16th-best hitter in MLB.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

,When estimating his home run talent, Michael Busch ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Michael Busch has posted a .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Sporting a 35.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Busch finds himself in the 96th percentile for power.

,Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #8 venue in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Javier Assad has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts since the start of last season, notching a 5.48 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 7.13 — a 1.65 K/9 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,With a .269 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Michael Busch is positioned in the 75th percentile.

,Based on Statcast data, Ian Happ grades out in the 90th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .360.

,The Chicago Cubs projected offense projects as the 2nd-best of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher today) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,The Chicago Cubs have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in this game.

,Justin Crawford has been hot in recent games, tallying a .392 wOBA in the past two weeks.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.T. Realmuto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 92.5 adjusted pitches per start since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez in the 87th percentile among all starters in the majors.

,Compared to last season, Adolis Garcia has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 17.7% to 25.7% this season.

Negatives with the Philadelphia Phillies Game Today

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst ballpark in the game for boosting offensive stats to left-handed batters.

,Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense.

,Cristopher Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s game.

,The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest among all the teams today.

,Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Shaw today.

,Justin Crawford is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense grades out as the strongest among all the teams today.

,Justin Crawford is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Chicago (#1-best of all teams on the slate).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 6th-worst venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

,Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 87.6-mph figure last season has dropped off to 83.5-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 8th-worst field in the majors for right-handed batting average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Hitting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Trea Turner will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 91.8-mph EV last year has fallen off to 86.6-mph.

,Dansby Swanson is penciled in 7th in the batting order today.

,Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Miguel Amaya is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Miguel Amaya will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Miguel Amaya’s 87.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 11th percentile since the start of last season.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki today.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alex Bregman in today’s game.

,Trea Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 16.6% to 7.1%.

,Trea Turner has averaged 13.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, ranking in the 24th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The switch-hitting Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Cristopher Sanchez,Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Alec Bohm is penciled in 8th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

,Batting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Alec Bohm will have a disadvantage today.

,Alex Bregman’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 43.4% to 32.5%.

,Hitting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, Adolis Garcia encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast data, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 16th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .289.

,J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Javier Assad throws from, J.T. Realmuto meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Assad to throw 85 pitches in this matchup (3rd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The Philadelphia Phillies projected lineup projects as the 3rd-strongest on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.

,It may be wise to expect better numbers for the Philadelphia Phillies offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 9th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.

,Carson Kelly, the Cubs’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The 8th-shallowest left field fences in Major League Baseball are found in Citizens Bank Park.

,Alec Bohm has struggled with his Barrel%; his 6.1% rate last season has fallen off to 0% this year.

,There has been a decrease in Alec Bohm’s average exit velocity this year, from 90.8 mph last year to 86.1 mph now,Bryson Stott has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.

,Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (4.7°) is significantly lower than his 15.1° figure last year.

,With a 12.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Bryson Stott is positioned in the 21st percentile for power.

,Since the start of last season, Bryson Stott’s 5.3% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.

,Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #23 field in MLB for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Bryce Harper’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 91.4-mph figure last season has dropped off to 86.3-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 17th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

,Kyle Schwarber’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 99.7-mph mark last season has fallen off to 96.5-mph.

,Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 93-mph figure last year has fallen off to 89.7-mph.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Utilizing Statcast metrics, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 6th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 3.000.

,Kyle Schwarber has compiled a .227 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Michael Busch is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Hitting from the same side that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Michael Busch meets a tough challenge today.

,Michael Busch will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 17% rate last season has fallen off to 2.8% this year.

,As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Javier Assad in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the league.

,Javier Assad will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,In terms of plate discipline, Dansby Swanson’s ability is quite weak, sporting a 3.35 K/BB rate since the start of last season while ranking in in the 25th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Cristopher Sanchez as the 4th-best starting pitcher in the majors right now.

,Cristopher Sanchez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats across the board.

,In his previous game started, Cristopher Sanchez was in good form and allowed 0 ER.

,When estimating his home run talent, Justin Crawford ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Adolis Garcia has posted a .294 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

,Adolis Garcia has displayed poor plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 9th percentile with a 4.78 K/BB rate.

,J.T. Realmuto is in the 18th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (13.5% rate since the start of last season).

,J.T. Realmuto has hit 12.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 25th percentile for power.

,Ian Happ’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 93-mph figure last year has dropped off to 90.8-mph.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pete Crow-Armstrong today.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong has struggled with his Barrel%; his 13.2% rate last season has fallen to 6.5% this season.

,The Chicago Cubs (20.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup of all teams on the slate today.

,Cristopher Sanchez has gone to his change-up 6.2% less often this year (31.2%) than he did last year (37.4%).

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