Nationals @ Pirates Matchup Details

Positives for the Washington Nationals Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 5th-best park in the league for LHB base hits.

,Built 724 feet above sea level, PNC Park has the 6th-highest elevation in the league, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,This contest is forecasted to have the 11th-best weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Jorbit Vivas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

,Out of every team playing today, the 11th-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Pittsburgh Pirates.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Jose Tena will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,With a .271 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nasim Nunez grades out in the 84th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Cade Cavalli in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,PNC Park grades out as the #28 ballpark in Major League Baseball for home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all major league stadiums, PNC Park’s LF dimensions are the 10th-deepest.

,Over his previous 3 GS, Cade Cavalli has posted a fantastic ERA of 2.51.

,Cade Cavalli’s 96.2-mph fastball velocity since the start of last season is in the 93rd percentile out of all starting pitchers.

,The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Paul Skenes.

,Oneil Cruz projects as the 9th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Cade Cavalli in today’s game.

,Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,CJ Abrams is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, CJ Abrams will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,CJ Abrams has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last season’s 88.6-mph average.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Konnor Griffin as the 4th-best batter in the league as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Konnor Griffin will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ryan O’Hearn will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cade Cavalli today.

,Jacob Young’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 12.7% to 25.9%.

,When estimating his overall offensive ability, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-most strikeout-heavy lineup today is the Pittsburgh Pirates with a 24.1% underlying K%.

,Brady House’s BABIP talent is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Brady House is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,The Barrel% of Brady House has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.7% last year to 12.5% this season.

,With 7 hitters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Paul Skenes will not have the upper hand while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.

,Paul Skenes’s higher usage rate of his fastball this season (62.2 compared to 49.2% last year) is not ideal considering they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,Paul Skenes has put up a .264 BABIP since the start of last season, a sign that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in the majors on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 76th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Luis Garcia Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Luis Garcia Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s game.

,When assessing his BABIP skill, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,James Wood is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, James Wood will have an advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Garcia Jr. in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), James Wood ranks as the 19th-best batter in the majors.

,Hitting from the opposite that Cade Cavalli throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an edge in today’s game.

,Spencer Horwitz will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Spencer Horwitz ranks in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20% rate since the start of last season).

,When it comes to his home run talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Marcell Ozuna is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Marcell Ozuna will hold that advantage today.

,Marcell Ozuna’s launch angle this season (27.5°) is quite a bit better than his 14.6° figure last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

,The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Cade Cavalli.

,When estimating his strikeout ability, Paul Skenes projects as the 10th-best SP in baseball right now, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Throwing 94.9 adjusted pitches per game per started since the start of last season on average, Paul Skenes ranks in the 90th percentile.

,Paul Skenes will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

,Among all starters, Paul Skenes’s fastball velocity of 97.4 mph grades out in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

,Paul Skenes has compiled a 13.6% Swinging Strike percentage since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,PNC Park ranks as the #5 park in the majors for right-handed BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daylen Lile in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Daylen Lile is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.

,Daylen Lile will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage today.

,Posting a 24.400 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Henry Davis finds himself in the 78th percentile for power.

,Henry Davis’s 22.9° launch angle (a reliable standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the highest in Major League Baseball: 98th percentile.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Nick Yorke will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,In the last two weeks, Nick Yorke has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .424.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Yorke in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Nick Yorke ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .267.

,Brady House’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 16.8% to 25%.

,Grading out in the 25th percentile, Cade Cavalli has notched a 1.79 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,CJ Abrams’s launch angle this season (16.2°) is quite a bit higher than his 13° figure last year.

,In notching a .364 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Daylen Lile finds himself in the 90th percentile for offensive ability.

,Daylen Lile has put up a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Nick Gonzales will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Negatives with the Pittsburgh Pirates Game Today

Jorbit Vivas’s BABIP talent is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jorbit Vivas is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences in MLB — generally bad for long-balls.

,Jorbit Vivas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Jorbit Vivas has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 3.1° angle is among the lowest in MLB since the start of last season (7th percentile).

,Jose Tena is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The #1 stadium in Major League Baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

,Among all stadiums, the 6th-tallest fences are at PNC Park.

,Today, Jose Tena is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.6% rate (98th percentile).

,Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,As it relates to his home run ability, Nasim Nunez ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nasim Nunez is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.

,Brandon Lowe’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 91-mph figure last year has decreased to 82.7-mph.

,When it comes to plate discipline, Brandon Lowe’s talent is quite poor, putting up a 3.36 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 25th percentile.

,Jose Tena really struggles to hit the ball hard. If you were to look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (94.2 mph) rank him among the game’s worst: in the 21st percentile since the start of last season.

,Jose Tena’s 3.1° launch angle (an advanced stat to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 6th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Cavalli to throw 83 pitches in this game (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,Keibert Ruiz, the Nationals’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cade Cavalli in today’s matchup.

,Cade Cavalli has experienced some positive variance in regards to his ERA since the start of last season; his 3.85 mark is quite a bit lower than his 4.46 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

,Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Extreme groundball bats like Oneil Cruz tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Cade Cavalli.

,Oneil Cruz has put up a .224 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,CJ Abrams will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Konnor Griffin is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,PNC Park ranks as the #30 field in the league for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Konnor Griffin faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,In today’s game, Konnor Griffin is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34% rate (76th percentile).

,Ryan O’Hearn has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Using Statcast metrics, Ryan O’Hearn is in the 25th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 13.600.

,The standard deviation of CJ Abrams’s launch angle since the start of last season (30.8°) is in the 5th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of hits on balls in play.

,When it comes to his home run ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

,From last season to this one, Ryan O’Hearn’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.4% to 13.2%.

,PNC Park projects as the #23 stadium in baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Brady House meets a tough challenge today.

,Brady House will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Paul Skenes as the 2nd-best starter in the majors right now.

,The Washington Nationals projected lineup projects as the weakest of all teams today in terms of overall offensive ability.

,The Washington Nationals have been the luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future,Oneil Cruz has posted a .215 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 12th percentile.

,Luis Garcia Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Luis Garcia Jr.’s 9.2° launch angle (a reliable metric to assess a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 15th percentile.

,In today’s game, James Wood is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 38.2% rate (97th percentile).

,James Wood will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,There has been a significant decline in James Wood’s launch angle from last year’s 6.3° to 2.7° this year.

,The standard deviation of Luis Garcia Jr.’s launch angle since the start of last season (29.8°) is in the 13th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.

,Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,Keibert Ruiz has compiled a .222 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 9th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Spencer Horwitz’s maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) has been 107.3 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 4th percentile.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Cade Cavalli will have the handedness advantage against Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

,Marcell Ozuna’s average exit velocity has dropped off this year; his 89.9-mph EV last year has dropped to 85.9-mph.

,Bryan Reynolds has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.3%) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 15th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

,Konnor Griffin has been cold of late, posting a .200 wOBA in the last two weeks.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Daylen Lile today.

,Daylen Lile’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.8-mph average last season has lowered to 89.3-mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Henry Davis in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Henry Davis is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this game.

,Cade Cavalli will hold the platoon advantage over Henry Davis in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nick Yorke ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nick Yorke is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Cade Cavalli will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Yorke in today’s game.

,In today’s game, Henry Davis is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.8% rate (82nd percentile).

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jacob Young ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Paul Skenes throws from, Jacob Young faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Jacob Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Henry Davis has put up a .221 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Brady House does not make a lot of hard contact. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (93.5 mph) put him among the game’s worst: in the 4th percentile since the start of last season.

,In notching a .268 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Brady House is ranked in the 5th percentile.

,When assessing his home run ability, Jorbit Vivas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Daylen Lile’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 52.9% to 47.9%.

,Daylen Lile’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 17th percentile since the start of last season.

,Checking in at the 25th percentile, Luis Garcia Jr. has put up a .273 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Nick Yorke has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 6.3° figure is among the lowest in the game since the start of last season (16th percentile).

,With a .119 wOBA in the past two weeks, Marcell Ozuna has been struggling at the plate.

,In notching a .232 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Marcell Ozuna grades out in the 25th percentile.

,When it comes to his home run skill, Daylen Lile ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nasim Nunez in the 12th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nasim Nunez in today’s game.

,Nasim Nunez has done a weak job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 8° angle is among the lowest in the majors since the start of last season (22nd percentile).

,Nick Gonzales is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the same side that Cade Cavalli throws from, Nick Gonzales will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

,Nick Gonzales’s launch angle this season (6.3°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.3° mark last year.

,Posting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Nick Gonzales is ranked in the 23rd percentile for hitting ability.

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