
STL @ COL





Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Rockies Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Charlie Blackmon is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
The #1 park in baseball for boosting offensive stats, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest altitude in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects for the best hitting conditions on the slate today.
Charlie Blackmon will have the handedness advantage over Erick Fedde in today’s game.
The #1 ballpark in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Coors Field ranks as the #2 park in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ezequiel Tovar will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for left-handed home runs.
Brendan Donovan is apt to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Thomas Saggese will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Thomas Saggese has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 33.3% of the time in the past 14 days.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Siani can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Coors Field grades out as the #1 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Jordan Beck will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
As it relates to his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when estimating his home run talent.
Jordan Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 84th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage today.
Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an edge today.
Pedro Pages is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Pedro Pages will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Paul Goldschmidt is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.
It is anticipated that we will see a Pitchers Umpire (Gabe Morales) behind the plate today.
Given his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will be in a good position being matched up with 7 batters in the projected batting order of the opposite hand today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher stats in all categories, and Austin Gomber will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Austin Gomber has utilized his curveball 5.4% more often this season (22.2%) than he did last season (16.8%).
Austin Gomber has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 6.36 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.99 — a 0.64 K/9 gap.
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side against Erick Fedde in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jordan Walker has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.6-mph average to last year’s 91.4-mph figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Erick Fedde’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the majors currently.
Tallying 93.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Erick Fedde falls in the 84th percentile.
Compared to their .336 overall projected rate, the .293 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected lineup in today’s game suggests this version of the lineup considerably missing some of their usual firepower.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.
Masyn Winn will have the handedness advantage over Austin Gomber in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Jordan Beck’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.2-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late.
It may be smart to expect better numbers for the St. Louis Cardinals offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 4th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
Austin Gomber gave up a staggering 5 earned runs in his last GS.
The Colorado Rockies have 7 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Schunk, Jordan Beck, Ezequiel Tovar, Brenton Doyle, Ryan McMahon, Michael Toglia, Sam Hilliard).
Erick Fedde’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (68.6% this year) should work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
Erick Fedde has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.61 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.27 — a 0.66 K/9 disparity.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Rockies Series Game 2
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Charlie Blackmon in the 20th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
The St. Louis Cardinals outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest out of all the teams on the slate today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.219) provides evidence that Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck this year with his .249 actual batting average.
Charlie Blackmon has notched a .275 BABIP this year, placing in the 25th percentile.
Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.8-mph dropping to 80.9-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Ezequiel Tovar has had some very good luck this year. His .321 mark has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.
As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar’s talent is quite bad, posting a 9.13 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 1st percentile.
Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Brendan Donovan encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Brendan Donovan’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 88-mph in the past week.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 13.2°, Brendan Donovan has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (9°) in the past 14 days.
Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thomas Saggese in today’s game.
Thomas Saggese has been cold recently, limping his way to a .194 wOBA over the last 14 days.
Notching a lowly an 85.3-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days, Thomas Saggese has been in a slump in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Siani in the 3rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Michael Siani is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Michael Siani meets a tough challenge today.
Among all the teams playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Michael Siani will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Batting from the same side that Erick Fedde throws from, Brenton Doyle will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
In the last two weeks, Brenton Doyle’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.7% down to 3%.
Despite posting a .328 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brenton Doyle has been lucky given the .030 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.
As it relates to plate discipline, Brenton Doyle’s ability is quite poor, sporting a 3.65 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 22nd percentile.
Charlie Blackmon has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .313 mark is a good deal higher than his .288 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jordan Beck is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Erick Fedde will have the handedness advantage against Jordan Beck today.
Jordan Beck is in the 15th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (10.8% rate this year).
Jordan Beck has recorded a .223 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 15th percentile.
Ryan McMahon has notched a .229 batting average this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
Jordan Walker is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.
Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Jordan Walker’s launch angle of late (0.4° over the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 9.9° seasonal angle.
Jordan Walker has notched a .191 batting average this year, checking in at the 23rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Arenado today.
There has been a decrease in Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity this season, from 88.8 mph last year to 86.1 mph now, In the last two weeks, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 89.3 mph to 84.2 mph.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pedro Pages ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.
Pedro Pages’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 84.3-mph over the past 7 days.
Pedro Pages’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 15.2% on the season to 0% in the last week.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt today.
Paul Goldschmidt’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 91.2-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 82.3-mph over the past 7 days.
Paul Goldschmidt’s launch angle in recent games (4.5° in the past 14 days) is considerably lower than his 13.1° seasonal mark.
Paul Goldschmidt has shown poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 23rd percentile with a 3.6 K/BB rate.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Austin Gomber in the 21st percentile among all SPs in MLB.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Austin Gomber is projected to throw 82 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 8th-least on the slate.
The #1 field in MLB for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Michael Toglia’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Toglia has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 91.9-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Toglia’s true offensive talent to be a .297, providing some evidence that he has been lucky this year given the .029 disparity between that mark and his actual .326 wOBA.
Michael Toglia has put up a .197 batting average this year, placing in the 4th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have been the unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward, The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field.
Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Erick Fedde today.
Ryan McMahon’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (10.5°) is a significant dropoff from his 15.2° angle last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 12.8°, Masyn Winn has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.9°) in the last 14 days.
Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, posting a .312 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .290 — a .022 disparity.
In the past two weeks, Michael Siani’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 87.9 mph to 83.4 mph.
In the past two weeks, Pedro Pages has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.
In the last two weeks, Jordan Beck’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (12.1°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 18.1°.
The St. Louis Cardinals projected lineup ranks as the 5th-weakest of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive skill.
Erick Fedde turned in a great performance in his last GS and gave up 1 ER.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Nolan Arenado has experienced some positive variance this year with his .310 actual wOBA.
In notching a .189 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Nolan Arenado is ranked in the 22nd percentile.
Grading out in the 12th percentile, Erick Fedde notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike rate this year.
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