
SF @ ARI






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 21:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Giants vs D-Backs Series Game 3 Matchup Today
Tyler Fitzgerald’s BABIP ability is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best field in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.
Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation often leads to more offense.
The Chase Field roof figures to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Tyler Fitzgerald’s launch angle in recent games (35° in the past 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 19.8° seasonal mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects LaMonte Wade Jr. in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
LaMonte Wade Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Chase Field profiles as the #2 park in baseball for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Heliot Ramos is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Matt Chapman projects as the 12th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Chapman is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 95th percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Extreme groundball batters like Gabriel Moreno tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mason Black.
In the past week’s worth of games, Patrick Bailey’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 22.2%.
Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Patrick Bailey has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 24° figure over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Heliot Ramos’s launch angle recently (24.5° in the past week) is quite a bit higher than his 10.5° seasonal figure.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today.
In terms of plate discipline, Geraldo Perdomo’s ability is quite impressive, putting up a 1.71 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 88th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Joc Pederson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Joc Pederson is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 91st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Brett Wisely will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal average of 16.5°, Brett Wisely has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 26.7° mark in the last two weeks.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Michael Conforto is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Chapman in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Mike Yastrzemski is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Ketel Marte projects as the 15th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ketel Marte is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.
When it comes to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Zac Gallen in the 89th percentile among all SPs in the league.
Zac Gallen has averaged 97 adjusted pitches per start this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.
The San Francisco Giants have 4 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Matt Chapman, Tyler Fitzgerald, Grant McCray, Heliot Ramos).
Roberto Ortiz grades out as a Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be umping in today’s game.
Zac Gallen has a reverse platoon split and is fortunate enough to be facing 6 opposite-handed bats in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Mason Black’s overall pitching skill is in the 12th percentile out of all starting pitchers in MLB currently.
The Arizona Diamondbacks projected offense grades out as the 4th-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting skill.
The #2 stadium in the game for boosting batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
Given Mason Black’s large platoon split, Jake McCarthy will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.
Extreme groundball bats like Jake McCarthy generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mason Black.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Christian Walker will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.301) provides evidence that Patrick Bailey has experienced some negative variance this year with his .278 actual wOBA.
Joc Pederson will have the handedness advantage against Mason Black today… and the cherry on top, Black has a large platoon split.
Grant McCray’s BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Grant McCray will have the upper hand today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 83rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Gabriel Moreno will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ketel Marte will hold that advantage today.
Mike Yastrzemski will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Jake McCarthy will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Eugenio Suarez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, rising from 17.3% on the season to 29.4% in the past 7 days.
Because of Mason Black’s large platoon split, Corbin Carroll will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
In notching a .497 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Tyler Fitzgerald has performed in the 90th percentile.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Zac Gallen throws from, Michael Conforto will have an advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
San Francisco’s 89.2-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in baseball: #7 overall.
Matt Chapman has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 93.2-mph EV.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Grant McCray has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .278 rate is quite a bit lower than his .300 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Negative Match Player Stats with Giants vs D-Backs Series Game 3
Tyler Fitzgerald is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
The 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field.
Zac Gallen will have the handedness advantage against Tyler Fitzgerald today.
The Arizona Diamondbacks infield defense profiles as the 3rd-best out of all the teams playing today.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler Fitzgerald in today’s matchup.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, LaMonte Wade Jr. has been pinch hit for 23% of the time.
LaMonte Wade Jr. pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for LaMonte Wade Jr. in today’s matchup.
LaMonte Wade Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.8% to 13.4%.
Zac Gallen will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.
Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today’s matchup.
Heliot Ramos’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 96.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 88.1-mph in the past two weeks.
Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Matt Chapman will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Matt Chapman is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 3rd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.8% rate (98th percentile).
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Chapman in today’s matchup.
Last season, Matt Chapman had a launch angle of 13.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 8.9°.
Mason Black will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Black’s large platoon split.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
As it relates to his batting average, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been lucky this year. His .275 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261.
Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.
Mason Black will hold the platoon advantage against Eugenio Suarez today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Black’s large platoon split.
Typically, bats like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Mason Black.
Gabriel Moreno is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today.
Given Mason Black’s large platoon split, Gabriel Moreno will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and will be challenged by the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Gabriel Moreno has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 6.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week.
Patrick Bailey is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
Patrick Bailey will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Patrick Bailey’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 84.9-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The #2 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this game.
As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will be at a big disadvantage against Mason Black and his large platoon split today.
Joc Pederson has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 27% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
Joc Pederson pulls many of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Over the last week, Joc Pederson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.5% down to 0%.
Over the past week, Joc Pederson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.7%.
From last season to this one, Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 40.3% to 34.3%.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, going from 34.3% on the season to 7.1% in the past week.
Corbin Carroll has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brett Wisely in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Brett Wisely is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Brett Wisely has been pulled from the game early 16% of the time.
Considering Mason Black’s large platoon split, Christian Walker will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
In the past 7 days, Christian Walker’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.7% down to 5.3%.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Christian Walker’s 6.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.6%.
Michael Conforto will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Michael Conforto’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 15.4% on the season to 9.5% over the past two weeks.
In notching a .272 BABIP this year, Michael Conforto finds himself in the 20th percentile.
This year, Mike Yastrzemski has been pinch hit for in 20% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Mike Yastrzemski pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.8% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Mike Yastrzemski in today’s game.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.293) suggests that Mike Yastrzemski has had positive variance on his side this year with his .321 actual wOBA.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Ketel Marte will have a tough time against Mason Black and his large platoon split in today’s game.
Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Ketel Marte has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .392 figure is significantly inflated relative to his .363 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The #7 ballpark in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.
It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Arizona Diamondbacks offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.
Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Mason Black is an extreme flyball pitcher (35.6% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be helped pitching in the #29 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake McCarthy ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Jake McCarthy has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.6-mph dropping to 80.7-mph over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-worst park in the league for lefty home runs.
Ketel Marte has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 37.5 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit higher than his 28.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Grant McCray is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Grant McCray has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time.
Grant McCray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mike Yastrzemski in the 15th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Geraldo Perdomo in the 14th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Corbin Carroll’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, falling from 16.5% to 11.6%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mason Black to throw 73 pitches in today’s game (2nd-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Because groundball hitters have a sizeable advantage over flyball pitchers, Mason Black and his 35.6% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position today facing 1 opposing GB bats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Zac Gallen in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall pitching abilities.
Jake McCarthy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, going from 13.1% on the season to 8.3% over the past two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Grant McCray in the 24th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
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