Marlins vs Twins match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Series Game 2

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Marlins vs Twins match player stats Wednesday, September 25th 2024. Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins Series Game 2

MIA @ MIN

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Miami Marlins at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 25th
25/09/24 19:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Marlins vs Twins Series Game 2 Matchup Today

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carlos Santana’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (9.4°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 13.2°.

Carlos Santana has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 87th percentile with a 1.73 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

The #5 venue in baseball for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Carlos Correa will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Correa has posted a .299 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in the league, which generally leads to better offense.

Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an advantage today.

The Miami Marlins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trevor Larnach stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

It may be sensible to expect better results for the Minnesota Twins offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Target Field ranks as the #9 venue in Major League Baseball for walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Playing on the road generally lessens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Edward Cabrera in today’s matchup.

Edward Cabrera allowed a monstrous 7 earned runs in his last outing.

Placing in the 18th percentile, Edward Cabrera has notched a 2.15 K/BB rate this year.

In the last 7 days, Otto Lopez’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 95-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Connor Norby is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

Among every team in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Minnesota Twins.

Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup.

Xavier Edwards’s launch angle recently (9.8° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 5.8° seasonal figure.

Xavier Edwards has put up a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 81st percentile.

When it comes to plate discipline, Xavier Edwards’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.65 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jake Burger is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Jake Burger has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 12.6% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last 7 days.

Jake Burger’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 15% on the season to 35.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Jonah Bride is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

In the past 7 days, Jonah Bride’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.5% up to 12.5%.

Jonah Bride has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.9-mph over the past 14 days.

Compared to his seasonal average of 11.9°, Jonah Bride has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.7° figure in the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Simeon Woods Richard today.

When assessing his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Willi Castro has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.2-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 90.9-mph.

Compared to last season, Willi Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 41.9% to 49.2% this season.

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today’s game.

Matt Wallner is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Miami Marlins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Nick Fortes’s true offensive ability to be a .268, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .018 deviation between that figure and his actual .250 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 84th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

In the last week, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 99.5-mph lately.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

Byron Buxton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Byron Buxton has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.6-mph average in the last week to his seasonal mark of 95.5-mph.

In the last 14 days, Xavier Edwards’s 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 50.5%.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jesus Sanchez has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph average.

Over the last two weeks, Willi Castro’s 24.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Willi Castro has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 11.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 18.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro ranks in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.7% rate this year).

Otto Lopez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Otto Lopez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 41% on the season to 58.8% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Kyle Stowers has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.1-mph average.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Stowers has had some very poor luck this year. His .267 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .296.

The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jake Burger, Kyle Stowers, Connor Norby, Derek Hill).

Simeon Woods Richardson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his metrics in all categories.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Simeon Woods Richardson must realize this, because he has relied on his non-fastballs a lot this year: 59.7% of the time, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Byron Buxton projects as the 14th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Stowers has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 9.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is deflated compared to his 20.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Correa has posted a .373 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 95th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Correa has put up a .378 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 95th percentile.

Over the past 7 days, Connor Norby’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.2% up to 26.7%.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Edward Cabrera in the 86th percentile among all starting pitchers in MLB.

Grading out in the 83rd percentile, Edward Cabrera has put up a 26% Strikeout% this year.

Connor Norby has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 89.5-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 86-mph figure.

Connor Norby’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 27.3% on the season to 37% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Negative Match Player Stats with Marlins vs Twins Series Game 2

Carlos Santana is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

The 10th-deepest CF dimensions in the league are found in Target Field.

Among all stadiums, the 5th-tallest fences are at Target Field.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will bat from his weak side against Edward Cabrera in this game.

Over the last week, Carlos Santana’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, Carlos Correa’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

Carlos Correa has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 85-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 0th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (4.4° in the past 14 days) is a significant dropoff from his 12° seasonal figure.

Out of all SPs, Edward Cabrera’s fastball velocity of 95.7 mph ranks in the 95th percentile this year.

Edward Cabrera’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (63.8% this year) ought to work in his favor consider they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Edward Cabrera has been unlucky this year, compiling a 5.12 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.17 — a 0.95 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 11th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Otto Lopez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

Otto Lopez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Connor Norby will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Connor Norby pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Connor Norby in today’s matchup.

Connor Norby has been lucky this year, compiling a .335 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .031 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xavier Edwards in the 1st percentile when assessing his home run talent.

The switch-hitting Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard, In today’s matchup, Xavier Edwards is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.1% rate (92nd percentile).

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Xavier Edwards today.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage today.

Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Jake Burger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the last 14 days, Jake Burger’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 95.2 mph to 90.9 mph.

In today’s game, Jesus Sanchez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jesus Sanchez in today’s game.

Jesus Sanchez’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 85.6-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.2°, Jesus Sanchez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.7°) in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Bride in the 25th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Simeon Woods Richard will hold the platoon advantage over Jonah Bride today.

Jonah Bride pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Jonah Bride will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Kyle Stowers has been pinch hit for 12% of the time.

Kyle Stowers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Edward Cabrera throws from, Royce Lewis will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Royce Lewis’s launch angle of late (1.1° in the past week) is considerably worse than his 16.9° seasonal figure.

Willi Castro is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to power, Willi Castro is positioned in the 19th percentile, having averaged 11.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Matt Wallner’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 17.5% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 7 days.

Matt Wallner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 98.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 83.2-mph over the past week.

Matt Wallner has been lucky this year, putting up a .385 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .067 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Fortes in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Nick Fortes is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Nick Fortes has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Nick Fortes will have a tough challenge in today’s game.

Nick Fortes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Edward Cabrera will have the handedness advantage over Byron Buxton today.

Byron Buxton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (41.7% — 99th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Last season, Byron Buxton had a launch angle of 21.4° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 16.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Byron Buxton’s true offensive talent to be a .344, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .013 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .357 wOBA.

Byron Buxton has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 6th percentile with a 4.89 K/BB rate.

Jake Burger has shown bad plate discipline this year, ranking in the 9th percentile with a 4.6 K/BB rate.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°, Carlos Correa’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (-1.3° in the past 14 days).

Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Otto Lopez has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 5.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .335 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Xavier Edwards has been very fortunate given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

Xavier Edwards’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to measure power) has been 102.7 mph this year, checking in at the 9th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 22nd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

Jesus Sanchez has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile with a 3.59 K/BB rate.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nick Fortes ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Simeon Woods Richardson is projected to throw 80 pitches in today’s matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

Simeon Woods Richardson has a reverse platoon split and will be disadvantaged being matched up with 6 same-handed bats in today’s game.

Over his last 3 outings, Simeon Woods Richardson has suffered a big decrease in his fastball velocity: from 92.5 mph over the entire season to 91.3 mph of late.

Out of all starters, Simeon Woods Richardson’s fastball spin rate of 2187 rpm ranks in the 17th percentile this year.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 20.1°, Byron Buxton has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8°) in the past 14 days.

Connor Norby has shown weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 25th percentile with a 4.6 K/BB rate.

Jonah Bride’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 39.3% on the season to 12.5% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jonah Bride’s true offensive skill to be a .302, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .026 gap between that mark and his actual .328 wOBA.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Edward Cabrera is projected to throw 85 pitches today by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 15th-most of all pitchers on the slate.

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