Brewers vs Reds match player stats Friday, August 30th 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

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Brewers vs Reds match player stats Friday, August 30th 2024. Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

MIL @ CIN

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Todays Matchup Details

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds

Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 12:40:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Brewers vs Reds Matchup Today

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 park in the game for home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 95°.

Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and is stuck being matched up with 6 same-handed batters in today’s game.

The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 83rd percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in the league for right-handed batting average.

In the league, Great American Ball Park’s LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best stadium in baseball for lefty home runs.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

William Contreras is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for run-scoring.

William Contreras has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Willy Adames is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

Willy Adames pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rhys Hoskins in the 95th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

Rhys Hoskins pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Colin Rea’s slider rate has jumped by 6.2% from last year to this one (10.7% to 16.9%) .

When estimating his BABIP ability, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Garrett Mitchell will have an edge today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

Jackson Chourio has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Great American Ball Park profiles as the #2 venue in the league for RHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Jonathan India pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Ortiz in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Joey Ortiz has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brice Turang will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Martinez in today’s matchup.

Brice Turang has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Santiago Espinal has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Santiago Espinal will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Santiago Espinal has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 86.2-mph EV.

Joey Ortiz has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 11.3% on the season to 16.7% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best batter in the majors when estimating his BABIP ability.

The Cincinnati Reds have been the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better the rest of the season, Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colin Rea today.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Dominic Smith will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last week, Dominic Smith’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 28.6%.

Blake Perkins has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Grading out in the 95th percentile, Blake Perkins sits with a .346 BABIP this year.

Colin Rea’s 77th percentile Walk% (6.1% this year) is evidence of his strong control skills.

The Milwaukee Brewers have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Gary Sanchez, Garrett Mitchell, Blake Perkins).

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, T.J. Friedl will have the upper hand in today’s game.

T.J. Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Jackson Chourio ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Jackson Chourio’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.2-mph over the course of the season to 97.2-mph lately.

Negative Match Player Stats with Brewers vs Reds

It may be smart to expect worse numbers for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-luckiest offense in baseball this year.

Nick Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

In his previous game started, Nick Martinez turned in a great performance and gave up 1 ER.

Nick Martinez’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (59.9% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

With a 3.47 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher can most influence), Nick Martinez places him the 80th percentile.

Ty France is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Ty France will be at a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

The Milwaukee Brewers outfield defense projects as the 2nd-best among all the teams in action today.

Over the last 14 days, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ty France’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 93.1 mph to 84 mph.

Batting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Spencer Steer faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Spencer Steer has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

In the last week’s worth of games, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 91.7 mph to 69.4 mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Spencer Steer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-7.8°) in the past 14 days.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .355 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .022 gap.

Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against William Contreras in today’s game.

William Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

William Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 96.7-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 80.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 6.4°, William Contreras has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.6°) in the past two weeks.

When it comes to his batting average, William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year. His .283 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .265.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Willy Adames today.

Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

In terms of his batting average, Willy Adames has had some very good luck this year. His .253 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Rhys Hoskins will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

Rhys Hoskins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Rhys Hoskins has notched a .239 BABIP this year, placing in the 4th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colin Rea to throw 85 pitches today (9th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Colin Rea will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Colin Rea’s 91.7-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 24th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Grading out in the 6th percentile, Colin Rea recorded an 8% Swinging Strike rate this year.

Garrett Mitchell is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

16% of the time that Garrett Mitchell has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

In today’s game, Garrett Mitchell is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (84th percentile).

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Garrett Mitchell’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Nick Martinez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jackson Chourio today.

Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Jackson Chourio has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 21.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 15.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Jackson Chourio ranks in just the 9th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the majors.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Tyler Stephenson will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle in recent games (6.4° in the last two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 10.3° seasonal figure.

In terms of his home runs, Tyler Stephenson has had positive variance on his side this year. His 24.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.2.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.3% to 42.4%.

Tyler Stephenson has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .346 mark is a fair amount higher than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Jonathan India encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 87.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 81.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 92.4-mph mark last season has dropped to 90.1-mph.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 12.3°, Jonathan India has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1°) in the past two weeks.

Joey Ortiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage against Joey Ortiz in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Ortiz in today’s matchup.

Joey Ortiz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 41% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Based on Statcast metrics, Joey Ortiz ranks in the 23rd percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 12.500.

As it relates to his home run skill, Brice Turang ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang today.

Brice Turang’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (3.9°) is significantly lower than his 10.2° figure last year.

Brice Turang has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 8.3 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly inflated relative to his 4.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ranking in the 9th percentile for power, Brice Turang has paced 7.7 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 46.1% on the season to 21.4% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Colin Rea throws from, Santiago Espinal meets a tough challenge today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.8) suggests that Santiago Espinal has experienced some positive variance this year with his 16.2 actual HR/600.

Grading out in the 24th percentile, Santiago Espinal sits with a .193 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Joey Ortiz’s true offensive skill to be a .309, indicating that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .015 disparity between that mark and his actual .324 wOBA.

Cincinnati Reds batters jointly rank near the bottom of MLB this year ( 2nd-worst) in regard to their 87.8-mph average exit velocity.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has been pinch hit for 29% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

Dominic Smith hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has notched a .358 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, grading out in the 21st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blake Perkins in the 25th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Blake Perkins is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Blake Perkins will be at a disadvantage batting from his worse side (0) today against Nick Martinez, Blake Perkins will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Blake Perkins has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 85.2-mph in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Martinez to throw 84 pitches in this game (5th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Nick Martinez struggled when it came to striking hitters out in his previous start and compiled 1 Ks.

Nick Martinez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 starts (2295 rpm) has been significantly worse than than his seasonal rate (2349 rpm).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects T.J. Friedl in the 8th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

In the past 14 days, T.J. Friedl’s 32.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 39.6%.

T.J. Friedl has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 26.1 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal higher than his 15.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

T.J. Friedl has notched a .220 BABIP this year, placing in the 15th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.338) may lead us to conclude that William Contreras has had positive variance on his side this year with his .354 actual wOBA.

Over the last two weeks, Ty France’s 8.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.1%.

Rhys Hoskins’s BABIP ability is projected in the 7th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dominic Smith has had some very good luck with his batting average this year; his .230 rate is a fair amount higher than his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the last 7 days, Blake Perkins’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 12.6%.

Dominic Smith has notched a .291 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.

Joey Ortiz is in the 9th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (11.3% rate this year).

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