Braves vs Nationals match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

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Braves vs Nationals match player stats Tuesday, September 10th 2024. Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

ATL @ WSH

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Todays Matchup Details

Atlanta Braves at Washington Nationals

Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 18:45:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Nationals Matchup Today

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is expected to have the hottest temperature on the slate at 81, °.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Orlando Arcia will have an advantage today.

Orlando Arcia has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.6-mph EV.

Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this year (9.4°) is significantly better than his 5.5° figure last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Matt Olson is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.

The 9th-shallowest right field fences among all stadiums are found in Nationals Park.

Matt Olson has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph EV.

Andres Chaparro is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Andres Chaparro will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Over the past two weeks, Andres Chaparro’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph lately.

In the last 14 days, Andres Chaparro has been performing exceptionally well at the plate with a wOBA of .347.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Michael Harris II is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Michael Harris II has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.7% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the last 14 days.

Luke Williams will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore in today’s game.

Luis Garcia’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luis Garcia is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Luis Garcia will have the handedness advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Dylan Crews is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Dylan Crews will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an edge today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 12.7°, Ramon Laureano has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 39° angle in the past week’s worth of games.

Joey Gallo will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today’s matchup.

Joey Gallo pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Joey Gallo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Joey Gallo has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94.1-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as baseball’s 18th-best home run hitter.

Marcell Ozuna is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Marcell Ozuna will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.

Over the last two weeks, Marcell Ozuna’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.8-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph in recent games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects MacKenzie Gore in the 88th percentile as it relates to his strikeout skill.

Tallying 97.2 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, MacKenzie Gore falls in the 96th percentile.

Due to his large reverse platoon split, MacKenzie Gore will be at an advantage facing 7 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness in today’s matchup.

MacKenzie Gore will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats in all categories.

In his previous outing, MacKenzie Gore performed well and accumulated 9 strikeouts.

Luke Williams’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 25% on the season to 40% in the last week’s worth of games.

The Atlanta Braves have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in future games, Atlanta Braves batters as a unit grade out in Major League Baseball for power this year when assessing with their 93.6-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Sean Murphy will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Sean Murphy has been unlucky this year, posting a .292 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .041 disparity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jorge Soler is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Jorge Soler will hold the platoon advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.

Despite posting a .325 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck given the .018 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Gio Urshela will have an edge in today’s game.

Gio Urshela has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gio Urshela’s true offensive ability to be a .297, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .024 disparity between that figure and his actual .273 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

James Wood is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Reynaldo Lopez in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Jose Tena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Jose Tena will have an edge in today’s game.

Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Jacob Young will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Hitting 2 homers in the last week, Andres Chaparro has been on fire recently.

The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Reynaldo Lopez.

Keibert Ruiz pulls many of his flyballs (40.7% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Keibert Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Over the past 7 days, Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 87.3-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games.

With 6 bats who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Reynaldo Lopez faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.

Reynaldo Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Reynaldo Lopez’s 2072-rpm spin rate on his fastball this season is a substantial 117-rpm decrease from last year’s 2189-rpm rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Joey Gallo as Major League Baseball’s 7th-best home run batter.

Jose Tena will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

In the last week’s worth of games, Andres Chaparro’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.3%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Soler ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Reynaldo Lopez in today’s matchup.

CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 10th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and CJ Abrams will hold that advantage today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 15.1°, CJ Abrams has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.3° mark over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcell Ozuna in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Luis Garcia will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Using Statcast data, Jacob Young ranks in the 85th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .275.

When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Reynaldo Lopez in the 91st percentile among all SPs in the game.

The Washington Nationals have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Tena, Joey Gallo, James Wood).

In his last game started, Reynaldo Lopez was in good form and notched 11 strikeouts.

Among all SPs, Reynaldo Lopez’s fastball velocity of 94.9 mph grades out in the 81st percentile this year.

Reynaldo Lopez has compiled a 26.4% Strikeout% this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Nationals

Orlando Arcia is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Orlando Arcia in today’s matchup.

In the past 7 days, Orlando Arcia’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.256) provides evidence that Orlando Arcia has had positive variance on his side this year with his .277 actual wOBA.

Orlando Arcia has posted a .270 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 9th percentile.

Nationals Park grades out as the #28 venue in Major League Baseball for left-handed base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Batting from the same side that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Matt Olson will have a disadvantage today.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Matt Olson today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Matt Olson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.

Orlando Arcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing base hits to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Chaparro in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the same side that Reynaldo Lopez throws from, Andres Chaparro has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Andres Chaparro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased of late, falling from 28.3% on the season to 23.1% over the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.256) provides evidence that Andres Chaparro has experienced some positive variance this year with his .347 actual wOBA.

MacKenzie Gore will have the handedness advantage against Michael Harris II in today’s matchup.

Michael Harris II will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

In notching a .283 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Michael Harris II is positioned in the 17th percentile.

By putting up a 4.54 K/BB rate this year, Michael Harris II has displayed poor plate discipline, ranking in the 11th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Luke Williams ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Luke Williams is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today.

Luke Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Luke Williams’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, falling from 33.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Luis Garcia has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 8.1% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week.

Luis Garcia’s launch angle of late (-10.5° in the last week’s worth of games) is significantly lower than his 8.7° seasonal angle.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Luis Garcia’s true offensive skill to be a .316, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .016 deviation between that mark and his actual .332 wOBA.

Reynaldo Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Crews in today’s matchup.

Dylan Crews’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 97.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 90.5-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Dylan Crews has been cold in recent games, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

Dylan Crews has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past week’s worth of games.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Laureano in today’s matchup.

Ramon Laureano has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11.7% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Ramon Laureano’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 90.3-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 80-mph in the last week.

When it comes to plate discipline, Ramon Laureano’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 5.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 18th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Gallo in the 0th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Joey Gallo is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Joey Gallo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (25.7°) is quite a bit lower than his 35.2° figure last year.

Joey Gallo has notched a .177 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Marcell Ozuna in today’s game.

In the last week, Marcell Ozuna’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 16.3% down to 0%.

Despite posting a .399 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Marcell Ozuna has been lucky given the .052 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .347.

Nationals Park ranks as the #21 field in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Luke Williams has been cold in recent games, limping his way to a .246 wOBA in the last week.

Luke Williams has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 4th-worst field in Major League Baseball for base hits.

In his last outing, MacKenzie Gore was on point and conceded 1 ER.

MacKenzie Gore’s fastball velocity has increased 1.1 mph this season (95.5 mph) over where it was last year (94.4 mph).

Sean Murphy is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Sean Murphy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Sean Murphy’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 15% to 11.4%.

Sean Murphy’s speed has fallen off this season. His 26.03 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.21 ft/sec now.

Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 91.7-mph seasonal average has lowered to 76.1-mph in the past 7 days.

Jorge Soler’s launch angle in recent games (0° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 17.7° seasonal angle.

Jorge Soler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 19.6% to 15.6%.

Gio Urshela is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gio Urshela in today’s game.

Gio Urshela’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.5-mph seasonal average has lowered to 87.1-mph over the last 14 days.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Gio Urshela’s 6.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

In the last 14 days, James Wood’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.1% down to 0%.

James Wood’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 8.7% on the season to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Despite posting a .345 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes James Wood has been very fortunate given the .025 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .320.

Jose Tena has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 15.8% seasonal rate has fallen to 8.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

In the past 7 days, Jose Tena’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 95.5 mph to 91.8 mph.

Jose Tena’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 46.6% on the season to 16.7% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Tena’s true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .027 deviation between that figure and his actual .316 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Jacob Young is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Reynaldo Lopez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Young in today’s game.

Jacob Young’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 84.8-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 81.9-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keibert Ruiz in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Keibert Ruiz is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.257) implies that Keibert Ruiz has been very fortunate this year with his .272 actual wOBA.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Keibert Ruiz ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .217.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Reynaldo Lopez’s overall pitching talent grades out in the 80th percentile out of all starters in baseball right now.

The Washington Nationals projected lineup grades out as the 4th-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

The Washington Nationals have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, Reynaldo Lopez turned in a great performance in his previous game started and allowed 2 ER.

Jose Tena’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (8° in the last 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.3° seasonal angle.

Posting a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Keibert Ruiz has performed in the 9th percentile.

By putting up a .364 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Keibert Ruiz is positioned in the 25th percentile.

CJ Abrams has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (96% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.

In the past 7 days, CJ Abrams’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%.

CJ Abrams’s average exit velocity has dropped off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 81.5-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 13th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Over the last 7 days, CJ Abrams’s 22.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.2%.

In the past week, Jacob Young’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 11.2%.

Latest Washington Nationals Match Player Stats

Latest Atlanta Braves Match Player Stats