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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Tuesday, September 10th
10/09/24 19:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Mets vs Blue Jays Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mark Vientos in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Mark Vientos is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
The #7 field in baseball for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Mark Vientos hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
In the last 7 days, Mark Vientos’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 15.5% up to 23.1%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.
The 8th-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Rogers Centre.
Over the last 14 days, Francisco Lindor has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 13.8% to 20.6%.
Over the past 14 days, Francisco Lindor’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph in recent games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Rogers Centre as the 7th-best stadium in the league for LHB home runs.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 90th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Davis Schneider will have the handedness advantage over David Peterson today.
Bats such as Davis Schneider with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like David Peterson who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Starling Marte in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Compared to last season, Starling Marte has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 42.4% to 50.5% this season.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.342) implies that Starling Marte has suffered from bad luck this year with his .311 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today.
Chris Bassitt’s 2159-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 25th percentile among all starters.
The 9.2% Barrel% of the New York Mets makes them the #4 offense in MLB this year by this stat.
As a team, New York Mets bats have shined as far as hitting balls in the launch angle span that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), ranking 5th-best in the game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Francisco Alvarez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.1-mph to 98.1-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Leo Jimenez will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage today.
David Peterson has recorded 17.4 outs per start this year, checking in at the 83rd percentile.
Francisco Alvarez, the Mets’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Jose Iglesias is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Jose Iglesias has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 86.6-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 83.8-mph.
Jose Iglesias’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 11.7% on the season to 30% in the last week.
Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Extreme groundball bats like Daulton Varsho are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.
Daulton Varsho will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, George Springer ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, George Springer will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Luke Bard throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s matchup.
Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average skill.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
Pete Alonso projects as the 12th-best home run batter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Pete Alonso is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Pete Alonso has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 19.2% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.D. Martinez in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Compared to his seasonal average of 14.4°, J.D. Martinez has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21° angle in the last two weeks.
Ranking in the 81st percentile, J.D. Martinez sits with a .340 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Vientos ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Over the past 7 days, Mark Vientos’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.9-mph over the course of the season to 104.1-mph in recent games.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) provides evidence that Brandon Nimmo has been unlucky this year with his .229 actual batting average.
Starling Marte has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last year’s 88.1-mph figure.
The #10 park in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho’s launch angle from last season’s 20.3° to 24.4° this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and George Springer will hold that advantage today.
Sporting a .282 batting average this year, Starling Marte has performed in the 89th percentile.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Pete Alonso ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Pete Alonso has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 97 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 96th percentile.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in baseball.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.
The New York Mets have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (J.D. Martinez, Mark Vientos, Francisco Alvarez).
The standard deviation of Leo Jimenez’s launch angle has been very consistent lately (33.8° in the last two weeks’ worth of games), which is a measure of reliable bat control and seeing the ball well.
Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will hold that advantage today.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, J.D. Martinez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Posting a .338 BABIP this year, J.D. Martinez finds himself in the 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Mets vs Blue Jays Series Game 2
Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in MLB.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Luke Bard will hold the platoon advantage against Mark Vientos in today’s game.
The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best out of every team playing today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Mark Vientos in today’s matchup.
Rogers Centre projects as the #22 ballpark in the majors for left-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Luke Bard in this game.
Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Davis Schneider is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.
Davis Schneider’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 96.5-mph mark last season has fallen to 92.6-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, Davis Schneider grades out in the 3rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .203.
Starling Marte is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 74% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Batting from the same side that Luke Bard throws from, Starling Marte will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, going from 41.3% on the season to 32.4% in the past 14 days.
Ernie Clement’s 85.5-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in baseball this year: 8th percentile.
Checking in at the 14th percentile, Ernie Clement has notched a .261 BABIP this year.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Chris Bassitt’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 81st percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball currently.
The New York Mets have been the 2nd-luckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse in the future, Dan Merzel grades out as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is expected to be behind the plate in today’s game.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Alejandro Kirk (the Blue Jays’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as a good pitch framer.
As it relates to his home run talent, Ernie Clement ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Francisco Alvarez is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Luke Bard throws from, Francisco Alvarez will have a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Leo Jimenez is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Leo Jimenez’s average exit velocity has dropped off of late; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 82.3-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°, Leo Jimenez has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.3°) in the last two weeks.
Francisco Alvarez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
With 6 batters of the opposite hand in the opposing team’s projected batting order, David Peterson has a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.
David Peterson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
David Peterson’s sinker percentage has increased by 6.7% from last season to this one (24.6% to 31.3%) .
David Peterson’s 2138-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 22nd percentile among all starters.
The #8 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
As it relates to his home run talent, Jose Iglesias ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the same side that Luke Bard throws from, Jose Iglesias will have a tough matchup today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
David Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Daulton Varsho in today’s matchup.
Daulton Varsho’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 86-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 82.5-mph over the last 7 days.
George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the past week.
George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.7°) is quite a bit worse than his 11.8° mark last season.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.7°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-2.8°) over the past 14 days.
Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Over the last 14 days, Brandon Nimmo’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.
Alejandro Kirk has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.
Alejandro Kirk has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 81.1-mph in the past two weeks.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 9.5°, Alejandro Kirk’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls has dropped significantly in recent games (4.6° in the past 14 days).
Considering that groundball hitters struggle against groundball pitchers, David Peterson (49.3% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 3 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.
Typically, bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as David Peterson.
Over the past 14 days, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 5.9°.
Checking in at the 15th percentile, Davis Schneider sits with a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Luke Bard will have the handedness advantage over Pete Alonso in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pete Alonso in today’s matchup.
When it comes to his home runs, Pete Alonso has been lucky this year. His 30.2 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 27.4.
J.D. Martinez is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Luke Bard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against J.D. Martinez in today’s matchup.
When estimating his home run skill, Starling Marte ranks in the 23rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The Toronto Blue Jays (19.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy lineup on the slate.
In the past two weeks, Brandon Nimmo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 83.2 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Alvarez in the 25th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Jose Iglesias will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for J.D. Martinez in today’s game.
Ranking in the 14th percentile, Chris Bassitt notched an 8.6% Swinging Strike percentage this year.
Chris Bassitt has displayed poor control this year, compiling a 23rd percentile Walk% of 8.9%.
With a 0.34 discrepancy between Chris Bassitt’s 8.94 K/9 and his 8.60 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to negatively regress in future games.
Despite posting a .376 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mark Vientos has had positive variance on his side given the .057 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Daulton Varsho has had positive variance on his side this year with his .306 actual wOBA.
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