
TOR @ TB






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, September 20th
20/09/24 18:50:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Rays Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Alexander in today’s game.
Extreme groundball batters like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Alexander.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last season’s 92.1-mph figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Josh Lowe is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge today.
Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Taylor Walls will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Taylor Walls has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 90.1-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph EV.
Compared to his seasonal average of 19.5°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.9° mark in the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.7) may lead us to conclude that Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck this year with his 2.6 actual HR/600.
In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Taylor Walls ranks in the 88th percentile with a 19.5° launch angle, which is one of the most flyball-inducing angles in the majors.
Over the past 7 days, Addison Barger’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 94.7-mph lately.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Addison Barger has had some very poor luck this year. His .272 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .306.
In notching a 23.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Addison Barger grades out in the 78th percentile for power.
Power-wise, Addison Barger has performed in the 75th percentile, having hit 21 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 91st percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Davis Schneider is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Davis Schneider will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander today.
Davis Schneider pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Davis Schneider’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 25%.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s game.
Brandon Lowe will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Last year, Brandon Lowe had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.9°.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Yandy Diaz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game’s 5th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Yandy Diaz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Checking in at the 77th percentile, Yandy Diaz has put up a .337 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
Spencer Horwitz has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.
Spencer Horwitz has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 92.9-mph in the past 14 days.
Over the past 14 days, Spencer Horwitz’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 11th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average ability.
Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 40.6% on the season to 70% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Addison Barger has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .211 mark is considerably lower than his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ernie Clement’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ernie Clement will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander in today’s game.
Ernie Clement pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Ernie Clement’s launch angle recently (35.8° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.8° seasonal figure.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Walls’s true offensive talent to be a .281, providing some evidence that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 gap between that mark and his actual .244 wOBA.
Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Jonathan Aranda will have an edge in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage today.
Jonathan Aranda’s launch angle in recent games (23.6° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly better than his 13.7° seasonal figure.
Jonathan Aranda has been hot of late, notching a 95.1-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days.
Alejandro Kirk’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Alejandro Kirk is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 69% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Tyler Alexander throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Alejandro Kirk has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Alejandro Kirk’s launch angle this year (9.7°) is considerably higher than his 6.2° figure last season.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
George Springer is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
George Springer will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Alexander today.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, George Springer has experienced some negative variance this year. His .303 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .354.
When it comes to plate discipline, George Springer’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.84 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 85th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.
Leo Jimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler Alexander today.
Leo Jimenez has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 5th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Leo Jimenez’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.9%.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 78th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .327.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the past 7 days, Josh Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 20%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
Recording 93.7 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Jose Berrios places in the 85th percentile.
Tampa Bay’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year ranks among the worst in the majors: #27 overall.
Tampa Bay has been the #30 offense in baseball when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (40.7% rate this year).
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Rays
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-most favorable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
The Tampa Bay Rays outfield defense projects as the 4th-best among all the teams playing today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle this year (6.9°) is considerably worse than his 10.2° mark last year.
This year, Josh Lowe has been pinch hit for in 18% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
Posting a 3.62 K/BB rate this year, Josh Lowe has shown weak plate discipline, placing in the 24th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 9th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Taylor Walls is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this matchup.
The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will bat from his bad side (0) today against Jose Berrios, Taylor Walls hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Addison Barger is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this game.
Tyler Alexander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Addison Barger in today’s matchup.
Addison Barger will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Addison Barger has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 8.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.
Extreme flyball hitters like Davis Schneider usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Tyler Alexander.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Davis Schneider in today’s matchup.
By putting up a .211 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Davis Schneider is ranked in the 7th percentile.
Brandon Lowe has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
Brandon Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
In the last week’s worth of games, Brandon Lowe’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 94.3 mph to 87.4 mph.
Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage over Yandy Diaz in today’s game.
In the past week, Yandy Diaz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.6% down to 0%.
In the past week, Yandy Diaz’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 91.9 mph to 76 mph.
Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (1°) is considerably worse than his 4.9° figure last season.
Hitting from the same side that Tyler Alexander throws from, Spencer Horwitz encounters a tough challenge today.
Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Spencer Horwitz has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 9.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.
Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has been very fortunate given the .031 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.
Ernie Clement is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ernie Clement in today’s game.
Ernie Clement has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.3-mph dropping to 76.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
This year, Jonathan Aranda has been pinch hit for in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.
Alejandro Kirk will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 92.7-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 87.3-mph over the past 14 days.
Checking in at the 10th percentile for power, Alejandro Kirk has averaged 8.2 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Walls ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (0.5° over the last 14 days) is considerably worse than his 5.8° seasonal figure.
As it relates to his home run skill, Ernie Clement ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
George Springer will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
George Springer has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last 7 days.
George Springer has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph dropping to 78-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Leo Jimenez is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Leo Jimenez has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last 14 days.
Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .272 BABIP this year, placing in the 22nd percentile.
George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, decreasing from 14.2% on the season to 0% in the last week.
Brandon Lowe’s launch angle in recent games (9.2° in the last week) is quite a bit lower than his 15.1° seasonal mark.
Leo Jimenez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph dropping to 84.3-mph over the past 14 days.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 6 hitters in the projected batting order that will have the handedness advantage against Jose Berrios in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jose Berrios today.
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