
WSH @ CHC






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, September 20th
20/09/24 14:20:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Nationals vs Cubs Series Game 2 Matchup Today
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.
Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 82°.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.6-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Dylan Crews’s BABIP ability is projected in the 75th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Dylan Crews is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Dylan Crews has had some very poor luck this year. His .303 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .336.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Tena in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Jose Tena is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jose Tena will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Nico Hoerner has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 91st percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.
Pete Crow-Armstrong’s BABIP talent is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today’s matchup… and even better, Williams has a large platoon split.
Pete Crow-Armstrong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Miguel Amaya will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Miguel Amaya’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, increasing from 14.4% on the season to 22.7% over the past two weeks.
CJ Abrams is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.
CJ Abrams will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon in today’s matchup.
The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Jacob Young has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 85-mph to 93.9-mph in the last 7 days.
Grading out in the 84th percentile, Jacob Young has put up a .322 BABIP this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.
Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 5th-best hitter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.
James Wood is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
James Wood will hold the platoon advantage over Jameson Taillon today.
Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Jameson Taillon.
Keibert Ruiz’s launch angle this year (20°) is considerably better than his 15.1° figure last season.
Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Keibert Ruiz has suffered from bad luck given the .019 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .292.
Andres Chaparro is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Andres Chaparro has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 92.7-mph.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Dansby Swanson will hold that advantage in today’s game.
As it relates to his home run skill, Michael Busch ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Michael Busch will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Williams in today’s game… and even better, Williams has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Michael Busch will hold that advantage today.
Nico Hoerner’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nico Hoerner has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .268 figure is a good deal lower than his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Cody Bellinger ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.
Because of Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Cody Bellinger will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood in the 78th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Jose Tena is apt to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
The switch-hitting Ian Happ will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Trevor Williams… and even better, Williams has a large platoon split.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Over the last 7 days, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.1% up to 27.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .256 figure is considerably lower than his .273 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Negative Match Player Stats with Nationals vs Cubs Series Game 2
Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Seiya Suzuki today… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Williams’s large platoon split.
Seiya Suzuki’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.5-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 77.4-mph over the last 7 days.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Seiya Suzuki’s 10% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19%.
In terms of his batting average, Seiya Suzuki has had some very good luck this year. His .278 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .237.
Jameson Taillon will hold the platoon advantage against Dylan Crews today.
Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.
Dylan Crews will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Dylan Crews has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 8.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.
Dylan Crews’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 83.7-mph over the last 7 days.
Jose Tena will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Jose Tena has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 2.8% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7.1°, Jose Tena has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (1.9°) over the past two weeks.
Despite posting a .319 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jose Tena has had positive variance on his side given the .029 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Nico Hoerner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Williams’s large platoon split.
Nico Hoerner has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
In the last two weeks, Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal EV of 87.1 mph to 84.5 mph.
Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
As it relates to plate discipline, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s ability is quite poor, posting a 4.55 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 10th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Amaya in the 21st percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.
Miguel Amaya is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.
Given Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Miguel Amaya will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.
Today, Miguel Amaya is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.1% rate (77th percentile).
Miguel Amaya’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for CJ Abrams in today’s game.
Sporting a .274 BABIP this year, CJ Abrams has performed in the 23rd percentile.
Over the past week, Dylan Crews’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 1st percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Jacob Young is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Jacob Young encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (44.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Given Trevor Williams’s large platoon split, Isaac Paredes will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today.
Isaac Paredes’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 91.5-mph figure last season has dropped to 89-mph.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for James Wood in today’s matchup.
James Wood’s launch angle lately (-2.1° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 0.9° seasonal angle.
James Wood has been lucky this year, posting a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .021 deviation.
James Wood’s 0.9° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is among the lowest in baseball: 4th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Williams to throw 84 pitches in this matchup (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Adrian Johnson projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be umping in this game.
Trevor Williams will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Isaac Paredes’s BABIP talent is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
As it relates to his batting average, Isaac Paredes has had positive variance on his side this year. His .238 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.
Isaac Paredes has posted a .260 BABIP this year, grading out in the 14th percentile.
The Washington Nationals projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
The Washington Nationals have been the 5th-luckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit worse the rest of the season, Jameson Taillon will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his metrics in all categories.
The 5.7% Barrel% of the Washington Nationals grades them out as the #30 squad in the majors this year by this standard.
Keibert Ruiz is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Today, Keibert Ruiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 41% rate (99th percentile).
Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Keibert Ruiz in today’s game.
Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.9-mph average last season has fallen to 87.2-mph.
Keibert Ruiz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off lately; his 87.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79.9-mph in the last 7 days.
Keibert Ruiz’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (8.7) implies that Miguel Amaya has been very fortunate this year with his 12.5 actual HR/600.
Andres Chaparro’s BABIP ability is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Batting from the same side that Jameson Taillon throws from, Andres Chaparro encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Andres Chaparro will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.
Over the past week, Andres Chaparro’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6% down to 0%.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jacob Young in today’s game.
Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Williams’s large platoon split.
Dansby Swanson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph dropping to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased recently, going from 15.5% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.
Michael Busch is penciled in 6th in the lineup in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Michael Busch’s true offensive talent to be a .316, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .024 gap between that mark and his actual .340 wOBA.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 2.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.6%.
Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Cody Bellinger has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .272 figure is quite a bit higher than his .241 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Busch has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .256 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .221 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.322) may lead us to conclude that Seiya Suzuki has been very fortunate this year with his .358 actual wOBA.
Jose Tena has displayed weak plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 25th percentile with a 4.61 K/BB rate.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 18.4°, Andres Chaparro has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.5°) over the last 14 days.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Andres Chaparro has been lucky this year. His .310 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .277.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.306) may lead us to conclude that Cody Bellinger has been lucky this year with his .330 actual wOBA.
Ian Happ has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 2.6% in the last two weeks.
Ian Happ’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (5.3° in the past 14 days) is considerably worse than his 13° seasonal mark.
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