Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Tigers vs Royals Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.

Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest weather on the slate at 84°.

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Justyn-Henry Malloy will have an advantage in today’s game.

The #8 field in MLB for boosting batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.5) implies that Justyn-Henry Malloy has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 15.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Keider Montero in the 9th percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Kansas City Royals have been the 5th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,It is likely that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Mark Wegner) behind the plate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best venue in MLB for walks.

Keider Montero was in good form in his previous outing and put up 8 strikeouts.

With a 1.05 disparity between Keider Montero’s 6.06 K/9 and his 7.10 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year in terms of strikeouts and should positively regress in future games.

Javier Baez will have the handedness advantage over Kris Bubic today.

Over the last 14 days, Javier Baez has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 8.1% to 14.3%.

Javier Baez has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 97.4-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 88.4-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Salvador Perez is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams on the slate today.

Salvador Perez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Kris Bubic’s 91.8-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Kris Bubic in the 90th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.

The Detroit Tigers have 3 batters in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Justyn-Henry Malloy, Riley Greene, Dillon Dingler).

In his previous game started, Kris Bubic turned in a great performance and put up 8 strikeouts.

Kris Bubic’s 2404-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 77th percentile among all SPs.

Recording 18.6 outs per GS this year on average, Kris Bubic ranks in the 95th percentile.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #8 field in MLB for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In the last two weeks, Zach McKinstry’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 98.9-mph lately.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 52.9%.

Sporting a .279 batting average this year, Zach McKinstry has performed in the 78th percentile.

Zach McKinstry’s launch angle of late (22.2° over the last 14 days) is a considerable increase over his 10.7° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Gleyber Torres will hold the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jonathan India will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 6th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Riley Greene has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 16.7% seasonal rate to 50% over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Riley Greene ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Kyle Isbel will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Isbel has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 94.4-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 85.9-mph figure.

When it comes to his batting average ability, Bobby Witt Jr. is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game.

Bobby Witt Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Andy Ibanez is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Andy Ibanez will have an advantage in today’s game.

Andy Ibanez has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.1-mph average to last season’s 88.1-mph figure.

Drew Waters’s BABIP ability is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Drew Waters will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Keider Montero.

Drew Waters will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his home runs, Drew Waters has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His 3.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 9.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Extreme groundball hitters like Maikel Garcia tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Keider Montero.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Keider Montero in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Michael Massey will have an advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Michael Massey will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

There has been a significant improvement in Michael Massey’s launch angle from last season’s 16.7° to 22.9° this season.

John Rave will have the handedness advantage against Keider Montero today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and John Rave will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negative Match Player Stats with Tigers vs Royals Series Game 3

Kauffman Stadium grades out as the #30 venue in MLB for right-handed home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Justyn-Henry Malloy has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Justyn-Henry Malloy will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Justyn-Henry Malloy has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 10.9% rate last season has decreased to 5.6% this season.

Justyn-Henry Malloy’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 93.3-mph average last season has fallen off to 90.8-mph.

Justyn-Henry Malloy’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (21°) is a considerable dropoff from his 24.9° figure last year.

The deepest right field dimensions in the league are found in Kauffman Stadium.

Keider Montero is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.6% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #30 HR venue in the majors today.

Considering that groundball batters struggle against groundball pitchers, Keider Montero (33.6% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this game with 3 GB hitters in the opposing club’s projected offense.

The 7.1% Barrel% of the Kansas City Royals makes them the #27 team in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.

Kansas City Royals hitters collectively rank 28th- in the majors for power this year when judging by their 91.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Keider Montero in the 19th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Keider Montero is projected to throw 85 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of the day.

The #2 venue in baseball for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Javier Baez is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

In today’s game, Javier Baez is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.4% rate (84th percentile).

Extreme groundball bats like Javier Baez tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

Javier Baez will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Javier Baez’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 41.4% on the season to 14.3% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Keider Montero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Salvador Perez in today’s game.

Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences today.

Extreme flyball bats like Salvador Perez are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Keider Montero.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.

Salvador Perez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 14.8% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Kris Bubic’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 90th percentile out of all SPs in MLB right now.

The Detroit Tigers have been the 6th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,Kris Bubic will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his metrics across the board.

In his previous start, Kris Bubic was rolling and gave up 0 ER.

Zach McKinstry is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Kris Bubic throws from, Zach McKinstry will have a tough matchup today.

Zach McKinstry hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Zach McKinstry in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Zach McKinstry’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%.

The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.

Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s deepest RF fences today.

Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Gleyber Torres has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 9.4% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past two weeks.

Gleyber Torres’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 20.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Gleyber Torres has been lucky this year, notching a .361 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .031 discrepancy.

Batting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Jonathan India encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Jonathan India pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

In the past 14 days, Jonathan India’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

Jonathan India’s launch angle recently (4.6° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 16.6° seasonal angle.

Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Despite posting a .365 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has been lucky given the .040 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

Placing in the 22nd percentile, Spencer Torkelson has posted a .265 BABIP this year.

Kris Bubic will hold the platoon advantage against Riley Greene in today’s matchup.

Today, Riley Greene is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.2% rate (79th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Riley Greene in today’s game.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Riley Greene has been very fortunate this year. His .355 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .314.

Kyle Isbel’s BABIP talent is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Kyle Isbel is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

Kyle Isbel’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 88.1-mph figure last season has lowered to 85.9-mph.

From last season to this one, Kyle Isbel’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 40.7% to 34.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Isbel in the 21st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Keider Montero will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today’s matchup.

Bobby Witt Jr. has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Keider Montero.

Bobby Witt Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 13.5% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks.

Andy Ibanez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Andy Ibanez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his batting average, Andy Ibanez has been lucky since the start of last season. His .238 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .218.

Since the start of last season, Andy Ibanez’s 5.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 23rd percentile among his peers.

In notching a .287 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Andy Ibanez has performed in the 25th percentile.

Drew Waters is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

In today’s matchup, Drew Waters is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.5% rate (77th percentile).

Over the last two weeks, Drew Waters’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 84.4 mph to 72.5 mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Drew Waters’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Drew Waters ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Drew Waters has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the past 14 days.

Keider Montero will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Maikel Garcia in today’s matchup.

Maikel Garcia hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 4th-deepest CF fences today.

Maikel Garcia has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past two weeks.

Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 91.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 81.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 47% on the season to 14.3% in the past 14 days.

When assessing his home run skill, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vinnie Pasquantino in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Michael Massey is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s deepest RF fences today.

Typically, bats like Michael Massey who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Keider Montero.

Michael Massey has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.4-mph dropping to 85.1-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

John Rave’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 10th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

John Rave is penciled in 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects John Rave in the 11th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

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