Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Angels vs Guardians Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Progressive Field projects as the #3 field in baseball for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest altitude in the majors, which generally leads to more offense.

Daniel Schneemann will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz in today’s matchup.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 3rd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Angels.

Daniel Schneemann will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Daniel Schneemann has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 98.8-mph average to last year’s 90.5-mph average.

Angel Martinez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (35.3% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Angel Martinez will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Angel Martinez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 97.6-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

The 6th-shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums are found in Progressive Field.

Kyle Manzardo will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today.

Extreme flyball batters like Kyle Manzardo generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Zach Neto ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Zach Neto has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.1-mph to 100.5-mph in the last two weeks.

The Los Angeles Angels have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform better in the future,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best field in Major League Baseball for base hits.

In MLB, Progressive Field’s left field dimensions are the 2nd-shallowest.

Gavin Williams’s change-up utilization has fallen by 5.2% from last season to this one (5.4% to 0.2%) .

Checking in at the 14th percentile, Gavin Williams has posted a 1.81 K/BB rate this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Gavin Williams in the 87th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

Tallying 99 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Gavin Williams places in the 100th percentile.

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Mike Trout, Logan O’Hoppe, Jo Adell, Jorge Soler).

Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Nolan Schanuel will hold the platoon advantage over Gavin Williams today.

Last season, Nolan Schanuel had an average launch angle of 13° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.1°.

In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Schanuel’s ability is quite impressive, posting a 0.99 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Mike Trout projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Mike Trout’s 16.9% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 97th percentile among his peers.

Mike Trout’s 98.1-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced metric to measure power) is in the 97th percentile this year.

Mike Trout projects as the 11th-best batter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Mike Trout has had bad variance on his side given the .071 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .373.

Mike Trout is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (26.6% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Taylor Ward is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Taylor Ward has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 13.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks.

Luis Rengifo’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Extreme flyball hitters like Luis Rengifo usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Luis Rengifo has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 90.9-mph.

Luis Rengifo’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, going from 42.9% on the season to 71.4% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Luis Rengifo’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls in recent games (25° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 5.8° seasonal figure.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.280) implies that Luis Rengifo has had some very poor luck this year with his .236 actual wOBA.

When estimating his home run talent, Jo Adell ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jo Adell pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

This season, Jo Adell has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97 mph compared to last year’s 94.1 mph mark.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Jo Adell has been unlucky this year. His .274 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.

Jo Adell has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .194 rate is deflated compared to his .258 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Carlos Santana has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 17° compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jose Ramirez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.7% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Extreme flyball hitters like Jose Ramirez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Jorge Soler is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jorge Soler’s true offensive ability to be a .339, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .301 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Yoan Moncada is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Yoan Moncada will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Gavin Williams.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yoan Moncada in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Yoan Moncada pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 86th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand today.

Nolan Jones has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Nolan Jones will hold that advantage today.

Nolan Jones has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season’s 88.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 83rd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Gabriel Arias will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Steven Kwan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Steven Kwan will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Logan O’Hoppe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Logan O’Hoppe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

The Barrel% of Logan O’Hoppe has significantly improved, with an increase from 12% last year to 17% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Last season, Logan O’Hoppe had an average launch angle of 16° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 25.1°.

The Cleveland Guardians have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Bo Naylor, Gabriel Arias, Nolan Jones).

Progressive Field ranks as the #9 ballpark in MLB for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jack Kochanowicz’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (32.2% compared to 21.5% last season) ought to work in his favor considering they are typically much more effective than fastballs.

Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, Jack Kochanowicz (51.7% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 FB hitters in Cleveland’s projected offense.

Negative Match Player Stats with Angels vs Guardians Series Game 3

Daniel Schneemann is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

When starting against a righty hurler this year, Daniel Schneemann has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 25% of the time.

The league’s 4th-tallest fence height (on average) can be found at Progressive Field.

According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 3rd-best for pitching of all games on the slate.

Daniel Schneemann hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 85th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball hitters like Daniel Schneemann tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 4th-worst field in MLB for left-handed home runs.

The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Jack Kochanowicz,Angel Martinez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (8.2°) is significantly lower than his 16.6° figure last year.

Angel Martinez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 12.7% on the season to 0% in the past 14 days.

As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Angel Martinez has been very fortunate this year. His .301 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .272.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 22nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.

Kyle Manzardo has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 14.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 14 days.

Kyle Manzardo’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 86.3-mph in the last 14 days.

Kyle Manzardo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 38.1% to 32.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 9th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Neto in today’s game.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the Cleveland Guardians.

Zach Neto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Despite posting a .363 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Zach Neto has been very fortunate given the .038 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .325.

The #4 stadium in the majors for suppressing home runs to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.

It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) in charge of the strike zone today.

Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing batters today.

Gavin Williams wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out in his last GS and compiled 2 Ks.

Gavin Williams has been lucky in regards to his strikeouts this year, notching a 10.25 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.58 — a 0.67 K/9 gap.

When it comes to his home run ability, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Nolan Schanuel in today’s matchup.

Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 86.6-mph over the past 14 days.

Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 12.8% on the season to 0% in the last 14 days.

Mike Trout is penciled in 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.

Hitting from the same side that Gavin Williams throws from, Mike Trout encounters a tough challenge today.

Mike Trout hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Typically, hitters like Mike Trout who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Gavin Williams.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Taylor Ward in today’s game.

Extreme flyball bats like Taylor Ward tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Gavin Williams.

Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Luis Rengifo is penciled in 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the plate, Luis Rengifo will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Gavin Williams in today’s matchup.

Luis Rengifo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home run talent, Luis Rengifo ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jo Adell is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Jo Adell in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jo Adell in today’s matchup.

Carlos Santana’s BABIP skill is projected in the 0th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Jack Kochanowicz,Carlos Santana has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.6% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last two weeks.

Carlos Santana’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (8.2°) is a considerable dropoff from his 14.1° angle last year.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year. His .378 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Gavin Williams will have the handedness advantage against Jorge Soler today.

Jorge Soler hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 8th-deepest CF fences today.

Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yoan Moncada in today’s matchup.

Nolan Jones is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 54% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

35% of the time that Nolan Jones has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

Nolan Jones has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

Checking in at the 5th percentile, Nolan Jones has put up a .263 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Gabriel Arias is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Kochanowicz throws from, Gabriel Arias has a tough challenge today.

Typically, bats like Gabriel Arias who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jack Kochanowicz.

In the last two weeks, Gabriel Arias’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.8% down to 0%.

When assessing his home run talent, Steven Kwan ranks in the 1st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Steven Kwan’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 86.6-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Despite posting a .350 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Steven Kwan has been lucky given the .042 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

Logan O’Hoppe has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (69% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Gavin Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Logan O’Hoppe in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Logan O’Hoppe in today’s matchup.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Jack Kochanowicz in the 2nd percentile among all starters in baseball.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jack Kochanowicz is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least of all pitchers today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Logan O’Hoppe (the Angels’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) profiles as a weak pitch framer.

With 8 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jack Kochanowicz meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

In his last GS, Jack Kochanowicz turned in a great performance and gave up 2 ER.

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