Athletics @ Cubs Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Athletics Series Game 3 Game Today

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Alex Bregman ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Alex Bregman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.

,This matchup is forecasted to have the 8th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Kurtz ranks as the 10th-best batter in the game.

,Nick Kurtz is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Michael Busch is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brent Rooker in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

,Brent Rooker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,In Major League Baseball, Wrigley Field’s LF fences are the 7th-shallowest.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 70% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home run ability, Zack Gelof ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the opposite that Shota Imanaga throws from, Zack Gelof will have an advantage in today’s game.

,Nico Hoerner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Nico Hoerner will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,It may be wise to expect better results for the Athletics offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

,Carson Kelly, the Cubs’s expected catcher today, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,With 7 bats who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Shota Imanaga encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, J.T. Ginn’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 83rd percentile out of all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

,In his previous game started, J.T. Ginn was in good form and conceded 0 ER.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colby Thomas in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Colby Thomas is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Seiya Suzuki ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Extreme groundball bats like Seiya Suzuki usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like J.T. Ginn.

,Dansby Swanson will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Tallying 93.6 adjusted pitches per start this year on average, Shota Imanaga places him the 84th percentile.

,Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,When it comes to his BABIP ability, Henry Bolte is projected as the 2nd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Henry Bolte will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

,Darell Hernaiz will have the handedness advantage over Shota Imanaga in today’s game.

,As it relates to plate discipline, Darell Hernaiz’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 1.4 K/BB rate since the start of last season while placing in in the 93rd percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Soderstrom in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Shota Imanaga in the 84th percentile when estimating his strikeout skill.

,The Athletics (27.1% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are projected to have the most strikeout-heavy group of batters on the slate today.

,Wrigley Field ranks as the #6 park in the game for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Because groundball pitchers hold a significant advantage over groundball hitters, Shota Imanaga and his 44.2% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable position in this outing going up against 2 opposing GB hitters.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,Because of J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Michael Busch will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Carson Kelly grades out in the 77th percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .340.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner as the 13th-best batter in baseball as it relates to his batting average ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Moises Ballesteros will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Moises Ballesteros in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Shea Langeliers projects as the 15th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brent Rooker ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Extreme groundball batters like Henry Bolte tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Shota Imanaga.

,J.T. Ginn has utilized his sinker 15.2% less often this year (34.1%) than he did last year (49.3%).

,J.T. Ginn has experienced some negative variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.84 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.57 — a 0.73 K/9 discrepancy.

,Darell Hernaiz’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Negatives with the Chicago Cubs Series Game 3 Game Today

Wrigley Field grades out as the #24 stadium in baseball for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Considering J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Alex Bregman will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in today’s game.

,Alex Bregman has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph dropping to 84.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

,Alex Bregman’s launch angle this season (14.4°) is significantly worse than his 17.9° figure last season.

,Alex Bregman has posted a .230 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,In Major League Baseball, the 7th-tallest fences are at Wrigley Field.

,Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Nick Kurtz meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Nick Kurtz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Nick Kurtz’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 94.2-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 90.4-mph over the last 14 days.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 12°, Nick Kurtz has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.8°) over the last 14 days.

,Ian Happ pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The #4 ballpark in baseball for suppressing batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,In the majors, Wrigley Field’s right field dimensions are the 5th-deepest.

,Michael Busch has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 11.9% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past 7 days.

,Wrigley Field projects as the #23 ballpark in the majors for overall RHB offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Typically, hitters like Brent Rooker who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Shota Imanaga.

,The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the best out of all the teams playing today.

,Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brent Rooker today.

,In today’s matchup, Pete Crow-Armstrong is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 39% rate (96th percentile).

,Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

,J.T. Ginn will have the handedness advantage against Dansby Swanson in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Over the past two weeks, Dansby Swanson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.9% down to 0%.

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, going from 48.5% to 38%.

,Zack Gelof is penciled in 7th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Zack Gelof in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run talent, Nico Hoerner ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,J.T. Ginn will have the handedness advantage over Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Nico Hoerner has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences today.

,Nico Hoerner’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 86.3-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 66.3-mph over the past 7 days.

,The #9 park in the majors for suppressing home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Shota Imanaga is an extreme flyball pitcher (44.2% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #21 HR venue in the league today.

,The Chicago Cubs projected batting order projects as the 2nd-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.

,J.T. Ginn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Colby Thomas will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

,In terms of his batting average, Colby Thomas has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .235 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .210.

,Seiya Suzuki has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

,J.T. Ginn will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seiya Suzuki in today’s matchup… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Ginn’s large platoon split.

,Seiya Suzuki’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 94.4-mph seasonal average has decreased to 79.7-mph in the last 7 days.

,The #2 park in the game for suppressing offensive stats to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.

,Zack Gelof has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 7.9% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 14 days.

,Grading out in the 21st percentile, Alex Bregman has posted a .162 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

,Carson Kelly’s BABIP talent is projected in the 19th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Carson Kelly is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,Because of J.T. Ginn’s large platoon split, Carson Kelly will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

,In the last 14 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%.

,Henry Bolte is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Henry Bolte today.

,When assessing his home run ability, Darell Hernaiz ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Darell Hernaiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,In today’s matchup, Darell Hernaiz is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.3% rate (93rd percentile).

,Batting from the same side that Shota Imanaga throws from, Tyler Soderstrom encounters a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Soderstrom today.

,Over the last two weeks, Seiya Suzuki’s 6.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.

,In the past 14 days, Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 87.6 mph.

,Over the last 7 days, Zack Gelof’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 94.7 mph to 88.5 mph.

,Moises Ballesteros is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Moises Ballesteros has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 10.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% over the last 14 days.

,Moises Ballesteros has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.6-mph dropping to 88.1-mph over the past 14 days.

,Tyler Soderstrom’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 47% to 37%.

,Moises Ballesteros’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased in recent games, falling from 15.7% on the season to 0% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Chicago’s #1-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Henry Bolte, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Darell Hernaiz in today’s game.

,Typically, bats like Shea Langeliers who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Shota Imanaga.

,Chicago’s #3-ranked outfield defense of all teams on the slate today poses a formidable challenge for Shea Langeliers, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

,Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shea Langeliers today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shea Langeliers’s true offensive talent to be a .359, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .022 difference between that mark and his actual .381 wOBA.

,With a 5.83 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Colby Thomas has displayed weak plate discipline, placing in the 14th percentile.

,Brent Rooker’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 88.8-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 81.3-mph in the last 7 days.

,Over the last 7 days, Henry Bolte’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 88.2 mph to 81.1 mph.

,Over the last 14 days, Henry Bolte has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

,The Chicago Cubs (20.7 K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy group of batters of all teams today.

,Brent Rooker has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 14% seasonal rate has fallen to 4.8% over the last 14 days.

,Dansby Swanson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 16.8% to 12%.

,Nico Hoerner’s launch angle lately (-0.4° in the past week) is significantly lower than his 12.5° seasonal angle.

,Carson Kelly has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 84-mph over the last two weeks.

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