Brewers @ Angels Matchup Details

Positives for the Milwaukee Brewers Game Today

Angel Stadium has the 2nd-shortest fences in the majors.

,This contest is predicted to have the 12th-most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

,Denzer Guzman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Shane Drohan today.

,Denzer Guzman will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Brice Turang is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.

,Because of Ryan Johnson’s large platoon split, Brice Turang will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Zach Neto ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Zach Neto is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Zach Neto will have the upper hand today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Jorge Soler is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Jorge Soler will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Nolan Schanuel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

,Nolan Schanuel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,In the last 7 days, Nolan Schanuel’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 2.5% up to 10.5%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 80th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Christian Yelich will hold the platoon advantage against Ryan Johnson today… and even better, Johnson has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Bauers in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Jake Bauers is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

,Jake Bauers will hold the platoon advantage over Ryan Johnson in today’s game… and even more favorably, Johnson has a large platoon split.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

,Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today.

,Jackson Chourio has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last season’s 89.3-mph mark.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,William Contreras is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

,The Los Angeles Angels infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

,There has been a significant improvement in William Contreras’s launch angle from last year’s 7° to 11.4° this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cooper Pratt in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

,Cooper Pratt has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.3-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 89.3-mph.

,Over the past two weeks, Cooper Pratt’s 29.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.8%.

,Given Ryan Johnson’s large platoon split, David Hamilton will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

,Over the last week, David Hamilton’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.5-mph over the course of the season to 97.9-mph recently.

,David Hamilton’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 10.4% to 14.1%.

,Given Ryan Johnson’s large platoon split, Garrett Mitchell will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

,Garrett Mitchell has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal EV of 96.7-mph.

,Using Statcast data, Garrett Mitchell is in the 75th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .328.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 6th-best batter in MLB.

,Mike Trout is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.

,Mike Trout will have the handedness advantage over Shane Drohan in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vaughn Grissom in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Vaughn Grissom is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Vaughn Grissom will have an edge in today’s game.

,Jackson Chourio’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,When estimating his BABIP ability, Garrett Mitchell is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jorge Soler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Jorge Soler has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 94.2-mph over the past 7 days.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Siri in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Jose Siri will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Siri will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Jose Siri has gotten much quicker this year, improving from last season’s 28.46 ft/sec to 29.9 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.

,Batting from the opposite that Shane Drohan throws from, Jo Adell will have an advantage today.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Lara in the 86th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

,The switch-hitting Luis Lara will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Ryan Johnson… and even better, Johnson has a large platoon split.

,It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Los Angeles Angels offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

,Angel Stadium profiles as the #29 ballpark in baseball for batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Among all starters, Shane Drohan’s fastball spin rate of 2430 rpm is in the 84th percentile this year.

,With a 3.10 FIP this year (Fielding Independent Pitching, an ERA estimator that focuses on the things a pitcher has the most control over), Shane Drohan checks in at the 90th percentile.

,Los Angeles’s 88.1-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in the game: #25 overall.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Schanuel in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,The Los Angeles Angels have 5 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jose Siri, Jorge Soler, Zach Neto, Denzer Guzman, Mike Trout).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 3rd-best park in the league for strikeouts.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics in all categories, and Ryan Johnson will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Ryan Johnson must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking balls a lot this year: 72.2% of the time, grading out in the 97th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects William Contreras in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

,It may be smart to expect negative regression for the Milwaukee Brewers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 5th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

,Ryan Johnson has been unlucky this year, putting up a 7.34 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.70 — a 2.64 deviation.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jo Adell in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Jo Adell has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 89.4-mph mark.

,When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jake Bauers ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Vaughn Grissom will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,Luis Lara has been hot recently, posting a .359 wOBA over the last 7 days.

,Mike Trout will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Shane Drohan has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 52.5% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

,In his last GS, Ryan Johnson conceded a whopping 6 earned runs.

,When assessing his home run talent, Jose Siri ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Angels Game Today

Denzer Guzman is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Angel Stadium as the 2nd-worst field in the game for run-scoring.

,Denzer Guzman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 80th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Over the last 14 days, Denzer Guzman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.

,Over the last 14 days, Denzer Guzman’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal EV of 89.9 mph to 86.8 mph.

,Brice Turang has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brice Turang today.

,Brice Turang’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 14.2% on the season to 7.7% over the last two weeks.

,Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Brice Turang has been very fortunate given the .025 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .331.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst venue in the majors for right-handed home runs.

,Zach Neto pulls many of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

,Jorge Soler pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

,Jorge Soler has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 11.1% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.3% over the last two weeks.

,Jorge Soler’s launch angle in recent games (4.8° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 14.6° seasonal mark.

,Based on Statcast data, Jorge Soler ranks in the 17th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .290.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Batting from the same side that Shane Drohan throws from, Nolan Schanuel faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Based on Statcast data, Nolan Schanuel is in the 19th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 11.600.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 6th-worst ballpark in the game for left-handed home runs.

,Christian Yelich has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Christian Yelich will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Christian Yelich has hit 12.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 25th percentile for power.

,13% of the time that Jake Bauers has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pinch hit for.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Bauers in today’s matchup.

,Jake Bauers has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.6% over the last 14 days.

,Jake Bauers’s launch angle this year (10.7°) is a significant dropoff from his 16.6° figure last season.

,Because of Ryan Johnson’s large platoon split, Jackson Chourio will be at a big disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Jackson Chourio will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

,Jackson Chourio’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 91.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 89.6-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

,Jackson Chourio’s launch angle of late (3.4° in the last two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 11.8° seasonal angle.

,The #7 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Angel Stadium.

,Ryan Johnson will hold the platoon advantage over William Contreras in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Johnson’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for William Contreras today.

,William Contreras’s average exit velocity has declined recently; his 89.7-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days.

,Cooper Pratt is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Ryan Johnson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cooper Pratt in today’s game… and it’s a particular mismatch considering Johnson’s large platoon split.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cooper Pratt today.

,The standard deviation of Cooper Pratt’s launch angle has been very inconsistent lately (20.7° over the last 14 days), which is a measure of poor bat control and not seeing the ball well.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 14th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,David Hamilton is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, David Hamilton has been pinch hit for 21% of the time.

,David Hamilton has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

,Angel Stadium projects as the #24 ballpark in MLB for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Garrett Mitchell is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

,When starting against a righty hurler this year, Garrett Mitchell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 15% of the time.

,Garrett Mitchell has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Garrett Mitchell in today’s game.

,As it relates to his home run skill, Cooper Pratt ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Mike Trout has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 18% seasonal rate has dropped to 3.7% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Mike Trout’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 95.5-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 82.2-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Mike Trout’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined lately, decreasing from 21.1% on the season to 3.7% over the past 14 days.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Jorge Soler’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.4%.

,Based on Statcast data, Jorge Soler ranks in the 3rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .199.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 22nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Jose Siri is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

,36% of the time that Jose Siri has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,As it relates to his batting average, Jose Siri has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .215 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .092.

,Posting a .204 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jose Siri is ranked in the 6th percentile for offensive skills.

,Jo Adell is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

,From last season to this one, Jo Adell’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.2% to 13.1%.

,Jo Adell has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 2nd percentile with a 6.43 K/BB rate.

,Luis Lara is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Luis Lara has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Lara in today’s game.

,Luis Lara’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 86.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 79.9-mph over the last week.

,When estimating his home run ability, Luis Lara ranks in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shane Drohan to throw 84 pitches today (3rd-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,With 8 batters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Shane Drohan will have a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

,Shane Drohan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,In his previous start, Shane Drohan struggled when it came to striking hitters out and was only able to tally 2 Ks.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Johnson to throw 85 pitches in today’s game (5th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

,The Milwaukee Brewers have 6 hitters in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Johnson in today’s game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.

,Ryan Johnson didn’t have his best stuff when it came to striking hitters out in his last game started and compiled 2 Ks.

,Ryan Johnson’s 89.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 4th percentile among all starters.

,Using Statcast metrics, William Contreras grades out in the 23rd percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 12.600.

,Vaughn Grissom’s launch angle in recent games (7.5° in the last two weeks) is a significant dropoff from his 12.7° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jose Siri’s true offensive skill to be a .307, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .027 disparity between that figure and his actual .334 wOBA.

,Placing in the 14th percentile for power, Nolan Schanuel has paced 9.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

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