Rangers @ Astros Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Yordan Alvarez ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in the game.

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 field in the league for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Long-balls are generally more common at ballparks with shallow fences, and Minute Maid Park has the shallowest among all major league parks.

,Yordan Alvarez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,Minute Maid Park projects as the #7 park in MLB for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Cam Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Cam Smith’s launch angle of late (24° in the past 7 days) is considerably higher than his 11.9° seasonal mark.

,Despite posting a .282 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cam Smith has been unlucky given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.

,Jose Altuve’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jose Altuve is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

,Jose Altuve pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.6% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Jose Altuve will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Wyatt Langford pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Extreme flyball batters like Wyatt Langford are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Hunter Brown.

,Wyatt Langford has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.4-mph to 94.2-mph in the last 7 days.

,Compared to his seasonal average of 10.2°, Jose Altuve has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 15° angle in the last 14 days.

,When assessing his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Nathan Eovaldi in the 87th percentile among all SPs in the majors.

,Nathan Eovaldi has averaged 92.1 adjusted pitches per game per started this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #1 park in MLB for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jake Burger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,Minute Maid Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

,Elias Diaz’s launch angle in recent games (22.4° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 14.2° seasonal mark.

,Lucas Spence will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi today.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lucas Spence will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Over the past week, Lucas Spence’s 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40%.

,Lucas Spence has been hot lately, compiling a 92.8-mph average exit velocity in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his batting average ability, Jeremy Pena is projected as the 16th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jeremy Pena is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.

,Jeremy Pena pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.1% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Jeremy Pena will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Jeremy Pena has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 89.1-mph.

,Yainer Diaz will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,When assessing his overall offensive skill, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Isaac Paredes is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (46.4% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,Extreme groundball bats like Isaac Paredes tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,When estimating his home run ability, Christian Walker ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Christian Walker is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Christian Walker’s launch angle lately (23° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15.2° seasonal angle.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Burger in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,By putting up a 26.900 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jake Burger grades out in the 79th percentile for power.

,Power-wise, Jake Burger is ranked in the 82nd percentile, having paced 28.4 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Isaac Paredes will hold that advantage today.

,Isaac Paredes’s launch angle of late (35° over the last 7 days) is considerably higher than his 23.9° seasonal angle.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Joc Pederson ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Joc Pederson is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Joc Pederson will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Joc Pederson’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 13.5% to 17.5%.

,Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Joc Pederson has posted a .367 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joc Pederson in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Yainer Diaz’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,In the last 14 days, Yainer Diaz’s 63.2% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.9%.

,Yainer Diaz has posted a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, placing in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an edge today.

,Brandon Nimmo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 42.6% to 52.7%.

,In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Nimmo’s 62.1% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 52.7%.

,Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Nicky Lopez will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Nicky Lopez has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,In notching a .303 batting average this year, Nicky Lopez grades out in the 95th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 77th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Evan Carter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Evan Carter will have an edge in today’s matchup.

,Evan Carter has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 91.1-mph.

,In the past week, Evan Carter’s 63.6% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 36.9%.

,Hitting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Taylor Trammell will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Trammell will hold that advantage today.

,In the past week, Taylor Trammell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.1% up to 33.3%.

,Josh Smith will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Brown in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Josh Smith’s true offensive ability to be a .302, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .044 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .258 wOBA.

,With a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, Josh Smith has shown favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 81st percentile.

,Over the past week, Lucas Spence’s 16.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10%.

,Extreme groundball batters like Yordan Alvarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cam Smith in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Ezequiel Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

,Ezequiel Duran has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 96.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal mark of 89.8-mph.

,Ezequiel Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 13.3% to 18.7%.

,Ezequiel Duran’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 18.7% on the season to 31% over the past 14 days.

,Taylor Trammell has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95.9-mph over the last week.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Brandon Nimmo’s true offensive talent to be a .354, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .023 deviation between that figure and his actual .331 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jeremy Pena in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,When estimating his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Hunter Brown in the 87th percentile among all starting pitchers in baseball.

,Tallying 96 adjusted pitches per game per started this year on average, Hunter Brown places in the 96th percentile.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Game Today

Among all parks, the 3rd-highest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

,The Minute Maid Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this game -13° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Yordan Alvarez’s true offensive ability to be a .422, implying that he has been very fortunate this year given the .020 difference between that mark and his actual .442 wOBA.

,Cam Smith is penciled in 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Minute Maid Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which often leads to lower offensive output.

,Nathan Eovaldi will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Cam Smith today.

,The #3 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Nathan Eovaldi will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Altuve in today’s game.

,The Texas Rangers outfield defense profiles as the 5th-strongest among every team today.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Wyatt Langford has a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Over the past two weeks, Jose Altuve’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.7% down to 0%.

,Nathan Eovaldi will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,Among all starting pitchers, Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball spin rate of 2180 rpm grades out in the 25th percentile this year.

,Nathan Eovaldi has experienced some positive variance in regards to his strikeouts this year, putting up a 9.56 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.25 — a 0.31 K/9 deviation.

,Jake Burger is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

,Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Jake Burger will not have the upper hand today.

,Elias Diaz’s BABIP talent is projected in the 6th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Elias Diaz is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lucas Spence in the 13th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

,Lucas Spence is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #3 stadium in the league for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Hitting from the same side that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Jeremy Pena faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

,Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Yainer Diaz today.

,Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage against Isaac Paredes today.

,In the last 7 days, Isaac Paredes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.8% down to 0%.

,Nathan Eovaldi will have the handedness advantage over Christian Walker in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Today, Joc Pederson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.9% rate (91st percentile).

,Joc Pederson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

,Brandon Nimmo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo in today’s game.

,When it comes to his home run talent, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nicky Lopez is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

,Evan Carter hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

,Christian Walker’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 84.5-mph over the last 14 days.

,Taylor Trammell is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Taylor Trammell has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 23% of the time.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Taylor Trammell’s true offensive ability to be a .295, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .023 disparity between that mark and his actual .318 wOBA.

,When estimating his home run talent, Josh Smith ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Josh Smith is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Typically, hitters like Jeremy Pena who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Nathan Eovaldi.

,Evan Carter will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lucas Spence in the 15th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

,Extreme flyball batters like Lucas Spence are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.

,Hitting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Ezequiel Duran will be at a disadvantage in today’s game.

,Josh Smith’s BABIP talent is projected in the 25th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Taylor Trammell’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 8th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Ezequiel Duran has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Nicky Lopez ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Yainer Diaz (the Astros’s expected catcher today) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

,Hunter Brown’s high usage percentage of his fastball (61.4% this year) is likely weakening his results, considering they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

,As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Elias Diaz ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Hunter Brown will hold the platoon advantage over Elias Diaz in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Smith in today’s matchup.

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