Reds vs Pirates match player stats Saturday, August 24th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3

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Reds vs Pirates match player stats Saturday, August 24th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates Series Game 3

CIN @ PIT

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Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Pirates Series Game 3

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks PNC Park as the 10th-best field in the league for run-scoring.

Noelvi Marte has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.2% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week’s worth of games.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, going from 10.3% on the season to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive ability to be a .291, implying that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .050 deviation between that figure and his actual .241 wOBA.

Jared Triolo’s BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Triolo will hold that advantage today.

Jared Triolo has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 4.9% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 14 days.

PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.

Considering Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Dominic Smith will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last year’s 91.5-mph average.

Dominic Smith and his 18.1° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 92nd percentile, among the highest in the game this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Spencer Steer has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 91.5-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 87.9-mph EV.

In the last 14 days, Spencer Steer’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.5%.

Billy McKinney will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julian Aguiar today… and even better, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Billy McKinney will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.345) implies that Billy McKinney has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .320 actual wOBA.

Since the start of last season, Billy McKinney’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 78th percentile at 94 mph.

When it comes to power, Billy McKinney finds himself in the 77th percentile, having averaged 21.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Oneil Cruz projects as the 20th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Oneil Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Julian Aguiar in today’s game… and moreover, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

Oneil Cruz has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Julian Aguiar has a pitch-to-contact profile (10th percentile K%) — great news for Cruz.

T.J. Friedl is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Given Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, T.J. Friedl will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.

This season, T.J. Friedl has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 88.8 mph compared to last year’s 86.7 mph mark.

Last year, T.J. Friedl had an average launch angle of 5.8° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 11.3°.

In the past 7 days, Jared Triolo’s 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.5%.

Jared Triolo has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .261 rate is a fair amount lower than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Woodford will hold the platoon advantage over 6 opposing batters in today’s game… and will be extra-advantaged due to his large platoon split.

Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Jake Woodford will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Given the 0.61 deviation between Jake Woodford’s 5.67 K/9 and his 6.28 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball since the start of last season in terms of strikeouts and ought to positively regress in future games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Over the past two weeks, Santiago Espinal’s 75% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.7%.

Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Ji Hwan Bae will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Ji Hwan Bae will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Ji Hwan Bae has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 2.2% rate last season to 14.6% this year.

Compared to last year, Ji Hwan Bae has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 8.6% to 14.6% this season.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Oneil Cruz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Rowdy Tellez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage against Julian Aguiar in today’s game… and moreover, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

Rowdy Tellez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 83rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Joey Bart is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.

Joey Bart has a ton of pop (83rd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (29.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Julian Aguiar has a pitch-to-contact profile (17th percentile K%) — great news for Bart.

Joey Bart will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Tyler Stephenson has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92.7-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 90.6-mph figure.

Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 41.2% on the season to 61.5% over the past 7 days.

Ranking in the 78th percentile, Tyler Stephenson has put up a .295 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Woodford… and even better, Woodford has a large platoon split.

Elly De La Cruz has a ton of pop (88th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s usually a big “IF” (31.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Jake Woodford is a pitch-to-contact type (8th percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.8-mph to 94.4-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game.

Jonathan India has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 97.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal EV of 90.1-mph.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Jonathan India’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 16.8%.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 12.9% to 16.8%.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.9) may lead us to conclude that Dominic Smith has been unlucky this year with his 12.8 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Julian Aguiar… and even better, Aguiar has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Bryan De La Cruz’s BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Bryan De La Cruz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Bryan De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17.3°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.3° figure last season.

This season, Bryan De La Cruz has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.4 mph compared to last year’s 92.4 mph mark.

Over the past week, Joey Bart’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.3% up to 20%.

As it relates to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s skill is quite good, posting a 1.97 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Oneil Cruz in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Ji Hwan Bae’s BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Bryan Reynolds will hold that advantage today.

Bryan Reynolds has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph dropping to 87.3-mph over the last 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson’s 90.6-mph average exit velocity ranks among the elite in MLB this year: 77th percentile.

Checking in at the 86th percentile for power, T.J. Friedl has hit 25.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

When assessing his home run talent, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez’s launch angle lately (26° in the last two weeks) is considerably better than his 16.1° seasonal mark.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Pirates Series Game 3

Noelvi Marte is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

In Major League Baseball, the 6th-highest average fence height are at PNC Park.

PNC Park has the 8th-deepest fences among all parks — generally bad for long-balls.

Dry weather has a small yet noteworthy connection with less offense (and more strikeouts), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-driest conditions of all games today at 40%.

Considering Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Noelvi Marte will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Jared Triolo is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Given Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Jared Triolo will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish today.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Dominic Smith in today’s game.

Dominic Smith has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .234 rate is inflated compared to his .212 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 9th-worst stadium in the majors for righty home runs.

Jake Woodford will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Steer in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Woodford’s large platoon split.

Today, Spencer Steer is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (84th percentile).

Billy McKinney is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.

The #9 stadium in baseball for suppressing home runs to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Oneil Cruz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.4% down to 7.1%.

Oneil Cruz’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 96-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.4-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 6th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Santiago Espinal is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

T.J. Friedl’s BABIP talent is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for T.J. Friedl in today’s matchup.

T.J. Friedl’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined lately, decreasing from 41% on the season to 33.3% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Jake Woodford in the 6th percentile when assessing his strikeout ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake Woodford to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (8th-least on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

PNC Park grades out as the #26 stadium in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Jake Woodford’s 90.6-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 15th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Because of Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Santiago Espinal will be at a massive disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Billy McKinney in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ji Hwan Bae in the 11th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Ji Hwan Bae is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Spencer Steer in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rowdy Tellez in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Rowdy Tellez’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 89.1-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 84-mph in the past 7 days.

Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Joey Bart will be at a huge disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in this game.

In today’s game, Joey Bart is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.9% rate (80th percentile).

Joey Bart has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph dropping to 83.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Considering Jake Woodford’s large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Elly De La Cruz in today’s matchup.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, notching a .358 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .025 gap.

Jake Woodford will hold the platoon advantage against Jonathan India in today’s game… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Woodford’s large platoon split.

Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jonathan India in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.4-mph average last season has fallen to 90.1-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Isiah Kiner-Falefa will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in this game.

Jared Triolo’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.5°) is considerably worse than his 12.4° mark last year.

In the last 14 days, Bryan Reynolds’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3.1%.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 8.8°, Bryan Reynolds has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.1°) in the last 14 days.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 88.8-mph figure last season has dropped off to 85.5-mph.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has been very fortunate this year. His .318 rate has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .286.

Bryan De La Cruz has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (91% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

Julian Aguiar will hold the platoon advantage over Bryan De La Cruz today… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Stephenson in today’s game.

Joey Bart’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 9.9% on the season to 6.1% in the last two weeks.

Bryan De La Cruz has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 10.1% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last week.

From last year to this one, Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 18.6% to 15.5%.

In the last 14 days, Oneil Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (0°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.9°.

Ji Hwan Bae has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest LF fences today.

Ji Hwan Bae’s quickness has decreased this season. His 29.71 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.87 ft/sec now.

Bryan Reynolds has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .282 figure is considerably higher than his .267 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Posting a .276 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Ji Hwan Bae grades out in the 10th percentile for offensive skills.

From last year to this one, Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs (23° to 34°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 16.1% to 11.9%.

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