Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 3

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Red Sox vs Rays match player stats Thursday, September 19th 2024. Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays Series Game 3

BOS @ TB

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Boston Red Sox at Tampa Bay Rays
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 18:50:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Red Sox vs Rays Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Junior Caminero will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.7) provides evidence that Junior Caminero has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 14.2 actual HR/600.

Junior Caminero’s 10.3% Barrel% (an advanced metric to study power) grades out in the 78th percentile since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Christopher Morel is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Christopher Morel pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Christopher Morel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Christopher Morel has suffered from bad luck this year. His .198 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .221.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) provides evidence that Christopher Morel has had bad variance on his side this year with his 22.0 actual HR/600.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Christopher Morel ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Rafael Devers’s 13.1% Barrel% (a reliable metric to measure power) grades out in the 89th percentile this year.

Rafael Devers’s 93.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in MLB this year: 97th percentile.

As it relates to his home run skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.1) suggests that Wilyer Abreu has been unlucky this year with his 22.2 actual HR/600.

This year, Wilyer Abreu’s 12.1% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 83rd percentile among his peers.

This year, Wilyer Abreu has an average exit velocity of 91.8 mph, which ranks among the best in the game at the 90th percentile.

Bats such as Taylor Walls with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Taylor Walls will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Taylor Walls has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 2.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly deflated relative to his 8.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Taylor Walls’s 19.5° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 88th percentile.

As it relates to plate discipline, Taylor Walls’s ability is quite strong, putting up a 1.93 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 84th percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jarren Duran ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jarren Duran is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Littell in today’s matchup.

Jarren Duran has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Jarren Duran has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year’s 90.3-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Ceddanne Rafaela and his 17.7° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 90th percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masataka Yoshida in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 53% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.

Masataka Yoshida will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Masataka Yoshida’s launch angle this year (10°) is quite a bit higher than his 3.9° figure last season.

As it relates to plate discipline, Masataka Yoshida’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Ben Rortvedt will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Ben Rortvedt has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Ben Rortvedt will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Sporting a .319 BABIP this year, Ben Rortvedt finds himself in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Tyler O’Neill as the game’s 10th-best home run hitter.

Tyler O’Neill is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 6th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Tyler O’Neill has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.3-mph average to last season’s 92.8-mph figure.

Last season, Tyler O’Neill had an average launch angle of 15.8° on his hardest-contacted balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 23.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.

Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage over Brayan Bello today… and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split.

Bats such as Brandon Lowe with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brayan Bello who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Josh Lowe’s BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Josh Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.

Considering Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Josh Lowe will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Lowe will hold that advantage today.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.6) provides evidence that Josh Lowe has had bad variance on his side this year with his 15.7 actual HR/600.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Todd Tichenor projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be behind the plate in this game.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 6 bats in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in this matchup, which is especially precarious given his large platoon split.

Playing on the road typically reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brayan Bello in today’s matchup.

Tallying 92.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Brayan Bello checks in at the 79th percentile.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Austin Shenton, Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell in today’s game.

Triston Casas has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last year’s 95.1-mph EV.

Triston Casas’s 10.5% Barrel% (a reliable standard to measure power) is in the 78th percentile this year.

In terms of power, Triston Casas has performed in the 89th percentile, having paced 27.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 75th percentile when estimating his home run talent.

Trevor Story’s launch angle this season (19°) is a significant increase over his 15.2° figure last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.7) may lead us to conclude that Trevor Story has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 10.3 actual HR/600.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile with a 19.2° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in the league.

Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have an enormous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s matchup.

Jonathan Aranda will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.8) implies that Jonathan Aranda has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his 14.9 actual HR/600.

Jonathan Aranda’s 12.2% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) ranks in the 87th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 15th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Jonny Deluca will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his batting average, Jonny Deluca has suffered from bad luck this year. His .210 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.

Checking in at the 81st percentile, Triston Casas has notched a .316 BABIP since the start of last season.

Josh Lowe’s 90.8-mph average exit velocity is among the best in Major League Baseball this year: 78th percentile.

Very few of Jonny Deluca’s balls in play have a “too-high” (above 38°) launch angle, which helps him to avoid making easy pop fly outs. His 24.3% “too-high” rate this year is in the 91st percentile.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Junior Caminero has connected with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.3 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), checking in at the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler O’Neill in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan Aranda’s 91.7-mph average exit velocity ranks among the best in the majors since the start of last season: 92nd percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Junior Caminero ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Negative Match Player Stats with Red Sox vs Rays Series Game 3

The Tropicana Field roof is expected to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5, ° colder than the average outdoor game on the schedule today — favorable for pitching.

Given Brayan Bello’s large platoon split, Junior Caminero will be at a big disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

Junior Caminero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme flyball batters like Junior Caminero tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello.

Junior Caminero grades out in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (30.5% rate since the start of last season).

Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage over Christopher Morel in today’s game… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Christopher Morel has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 16.1% rate last year has dropped off to 11% this season.

Christopher Morel’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91.9-mph figure last year has dropped to 89.2-mph.

Christopher Morel is in the 11th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (38.6% rate this year).

Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Rafael Devers will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

When it comes to his home runs, Rafael Devers has had some very good luck this year. His 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 24.7.

Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

Wilyer Abreu hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Wilyer Abreu will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The standard deviation of Rafael Devers’s launch angle this year (29.7°) is in the 21st percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 24th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Taylor Walls is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Taylor Walls will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Brayan Bello… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

Taylor Walls hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jarren Duran today.

Jarren Duran’s 9.3° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in the game: 17th percentile.

Ceddanne Rafaela is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Ceddanne Rafaela meets a tough challenge today.

Ceddanne Rafaela will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Ceddanne Rafaela’s 86.7-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in baseball this year: 15th percentile.

Masataka Yoshida hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 9th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masataka Yoshida today.

As it relates to his batting average, Masataka Yoshida has been very fortunate this year. His .293 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .276.

Ben Rortvedt’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Ben Rortvedt has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .228 BA is inflated compared to his .205 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ben Rortvedt’s 3.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) is in the 13th percentile this year.

Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage against Tyler O’Neill today.

Playing on the road generally weakens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Tyler O’Neill today.

Tyler O’Neill has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 41.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 36.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Today, Brandon Lowe is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.4% rate (96th percentile).

Josh Lowe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 18.4% to 13.5%.

Posting a 3.6 K/BB rate this year, Josh Lowe has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Brayan Bello in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall pitching abilities.

The Tampa Bay Rays projected lineup grades out as the 4th-weakest of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.

Because flyball hitters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Brayan Bello (50.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated today with 2 FB hitters in the opposing team’s projected lineup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Walls in the 7th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Triston Casas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 92nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 9th-deepest CF fences today.

Triston Casas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Triston Casas’s launch angle this year (8.8°) is quite a bit worse than his 15.6° mark last season.

Trevor Story is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the same side that Zack Littell throws from, Trevor Story encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Trevor Story will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Trevor Story has negatively regressed with his Barrel%; his 9.8% rate last year has lowered to 2.4% this season.

Wilyer Abreu has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .262 mark is a fair amount higher than his .226 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonny Deluca in the 22nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Jonny Deluca is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Bello’s large platoon split.

This year, Jonny Deluca’s 4.3% Barrel%, an advanced metric for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.

Tyler O’Neill has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .254 rate is quite a bit higher than his .217 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 24th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

Ranked in the 4th percentile, Jonny Deluca’s average exit velocity of 84.9 mph ranks among the lowest in MLB this year.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.223) implies that Junior Caminero has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season with his .245 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Ben Rortvedt ranks in the 12th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ben Rortvedt’s 86.2-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in the game this year: 12th percentile.

Junior Caminero grades out in the 7th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (7.6% rate since the start of last season).

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