
TB @ CLE






Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Friday, September 13th
13/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Rays vs Guardians Series Game 2 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Josh Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Progressive Field as the 6th-best venue in the majors for lefty base hits.
Built 673 feet above sea level, Progressive Field has the 7th-highest elevation among all parks, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Josh Lowe will have an edge in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Naylor in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Josh Naylor is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.
Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Josh Naylor will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.
Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an advantage in today’s game.
When estimating his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 12th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.
The #6 venue in baseball for boosting BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences today.
Andres Gimenez’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Andres Gimenez will have an edge today.
Andres Gimenez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Kyle Manzardo will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Manzardo will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Kyle Manzardo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph average.
Junior Caminero’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Junior Caminero is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Over the last two weeks, Junior Caminero’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.8-mph over the course of the season to 100.7-mph of late.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
When assessing his home run talent, Bo Naylor ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bo Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Littell today.
Bo Naylor will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Compared to his seasonal average of 20.2°, Bo Naylor has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 35.7° figure in the past week’s worth of games.
Steven Kwan is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Steven Kwan will have an advantage today.
Steven Kwan has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Josh Lowe has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Josh Lowe has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 94.2-mph over the last 14 days.
As it relates to his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Tanner Bibee in the 89th percentile among all starters in the league.
The Tampa Bay Rays have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jonathan Aranda, Josh Lowe, Christopher Morel).
Projected catcher Bo Naylor projects as a good pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Tanner Bibee will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Tanner Bibee has compiled a 26.1% K% this year, placing in the 83rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Christopher Morel is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Christopher Morel pulls many of his flyballs (38% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Christopher Morel has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.9-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 94.6-mph.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Steven Kwan will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Yandy Diaz has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% lately, improving his 7.7% seasonal rate to 14.8% over the last 14 days.
Jonny Deluca pulls many of his flyballs (33.1% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Jonny Deluca’s launch angle lately (27.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 15.6° seasonal angle.
Despite posting a .273 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jonny Deluca has experienced some negative variance given the .025 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.
Brayan Rocchio will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
In the last week’s worth of games, Brayan Rocchio’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.7% up to 22.2%.
Brayan Rocchio has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal EV of 89.5-mph.
Brayan Rocchio’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 19.4% on the season to 33.3% in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Zack Littell has relied on his four-seam fastball 6.1% less often this year (21.8%) than he did last season (27.9%).
The #8 park in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field.
Progressive Field has the shallowest left field dimensions in the majors.
Zack Littell’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.5 mph this year (91.9 mph) below where it was last season (93.4 mph).
Jose Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
Andres Gimenez has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 92.6-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 86.4-mph average.
Andres Gimenez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, increasing from 14.7% on the season to 19% over the last two weeks.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Last season, Brandon Lowe had an average launch angle of 13.9° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 17.6°.
Josh Naylor has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year’s 91.3-mph average.
Negative Match Player Stats with Rays vs Guardians Series Game 2
The Cleveland Guardians infield defense projects as the best out of all the teams on the slate today.
Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Josh Lowe in today’s matchup.
Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.4% to 13.5%.
Josh Lowe’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 13.5% on the season to 7.1% over the past 7 days.
In MLB, Progressive Field’s CF dimensions are the 7th-deepest.
Among all parks, the 4th-tallest average fence height are at Progressive Field.
Josh Naylor’s average exit velocity has decreased in recent games; his 90-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 85.2-mph over the past 7 days.
Josh Naylor has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 31.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 23.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
With a .239 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor is positioned in the 3rd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Progressive Field as the 6th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.
Zack Littell will have the handedness advantage over Lane Thomas in today’s game.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94.8-mph mark last season has dropped off to 89.2-mph.
Brandon Lowe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Lowe in today’s game.
In the past two weeks, Brandon Lowe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 0%.
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Yandy Diaz meets a tough challenge in today’s game.
Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Yandy Diaz’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (1°) is significantly worse than his 4.9° figure last season.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this season (9.5°) is significantly worse than his 12.9° angle last year.
In notching a 8.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Andres Gimenez has performed in the 10th percentile for power.
Grading out in the 15th percentile, Andres Gimenez has put up a .280 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Kyle Manzardo is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.
When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Kyle Manzardo has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 13% of the time.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Progressive Field as the 6th-worst venue in the majors for left-handed home runs.
Kyle Manzardo hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Batting from the same side that Tanner Bibee throws from, Junior Caminero has a tough challenge in today’s game.
Junior Caminero hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Junior Caminero is an extreme groundball hitter and matches up with the strong infield defense of Cleveland (#1-best of all teams on the slate).
In the last 7 days, Jose Ramirez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
Jose Ramirez has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph dropping to 80-mph in the last week.
Over the last week, Jose Ramirez’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 38.6%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) implies that Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year with his .271 actual batting average.
With a .255 BABIP this year, Jose Ramirez is positioned in the 11th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Manzardo in the 13th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Bo Naylor is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.
This year, Bo Naylor has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 14% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.
Today, Bo Naylor is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.4% rate (85th percentile).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Steven Kwan in the 2nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.
Steven Kwan’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 44.5% on the season to 34.2% in the past 14 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (5.6) may lead us to conclude that Steven Kwan has experienced some positive variance this year with his 15.2 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bo Naylor in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
Bo Naylor has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks.
Tanner Bibee has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.70 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 9.58 — a 0.12 K/9 deviation.
Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage against Christopher Morel in today’s game.
Christopher Morel will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Christopher Morel has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 16.1% rate last season has decreased to 11% this year.
Yandy Diaz’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased lately, decreasing from 39.3% on the season to 33.3% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Over the past two weeks, Steven Kwan’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (7.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 12.6°.
Jose Ramirez has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 33.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is quite a bit higher than his 29.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Jonny Deluca is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Tanner Bibee will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jonny Deluca in today’s matchup.
Jonny Deluca will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
This year, Brayan Rocchio has been pinch hit for in 11% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Brayan Rocchio will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side against Zack Littell in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 8th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
Christopher Morel’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (6.4° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit lower than his 13.2° seasonal mark.
Junior Caminero will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Zack Littell is projected to throw 83 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of the day.
The Cleveland Guardians (18 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 2nd-least strikeout-heavy group of hitters of the day.
The Cleveland Guardians have 8 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Zack Littell in today’s game.
Zack Littell will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Over the last 7 days, Jonny Deluca’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 87.7 mph to 85.5 mph.
Zack Littell was rolling in his previous GS and gave up 0 ER.
Zack Littell has posted a .326 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest mound aces in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
Cleveland Guardians bats as a group rank 29th- in the league for power this year when using their 5.9% Barrel%.
Jose Ramirez’s launch angle recently (11.8° over the past 7 days) is a considerable dropoff from his 19.4° seasonal angle.
When estimating his home run talent, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 18th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Manzardo’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off lately, going from 39.7% on the season to 30% in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan’s true offensive skill to be a .308, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .033 gap between that figure and his actual .341 wOBA.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Tanner Bibee’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 92nd percentile out of all SPs in MLB currently.
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