
PHI @ TOR





Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Wednesday, September 4th
04/09/24 15:07:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Blue Jays Series Game 2 Series Game 2 Matchup Today
Bryson Stott’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
The 10th-shallowest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Rogers Centre.
Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today’s game.
Bryson Stott’s launch angle this season (14.5°) is considerably higher than his 9.9° angle last year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 83% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Ernie Clement will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage today.
Alejandro Kirk’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Alejandro Kirk has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Alejandro Kirk will hold the platoon advantage against Cristopher Sanchez today.
Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Davis Schneider in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Davis Schneider will have an edge today.
Extreme flyball bats like Davis Schneider tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Davis Schneider will hold that advantage today.
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Extreme flyball bats like Daulton Varsho generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cristopher Sanchez.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Daulton Varsho will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In the last week’s worth of games, Daulton Varsho’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.1% up to 23.1%.
The #9 ballpark in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best hitter in the league.
Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Bryce Harper will hold the platoon advantage over Bowden Francis today.
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Brandon Marsh will have an edge today.
Brandon Marsh has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 9.5% seasonal rate to 21.1% in the last two weeks.
Over the last two weeks, Brandon Marsh’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.4-mph over the course of the season to 96-mph recently.
Over the past week, Bryce Harper’s 58.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trea Turner ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #9 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
In the last week’s worth of games, Trea Turner’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.2-mph over the course of the season to 96.6-mph lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 17th-best hitter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.
Sporting a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 84th percentile.
Leo Jimenez’s BABIP skill is projected in the 85th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, Leo Jimenez will have the upper hand today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Leo Jimenez will hold that advantage in today’s game.
The 4th-best projected offense on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.
Bowden Francis has been lucky this year, putting up a 3.66 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.46 — a 0.8 gap.
Bowden Francis has recorded a .234 BABIP this year, making him one of the luckiest mound aces in the game on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.
When estimating his home run talent, Davis Schneider ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Over the past week, J.T. Realmuto’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.7% up to 23.1%.
J.T. Realmuto has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.4-mph.
J.T. Realmuto has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .315 mark is a fair amount lower than his .338 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average talent.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the handedness advantage against Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 84th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Edmundo Sosa has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 102.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.1-mph.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.3°, Edmundo Sosa has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 26.3° mark over the past 7 days.
Placing in the 76th percentile, Edmundo Sosa sports a .324 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Rogers Centre grades out as the #6 venue in MLB for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cristopher Sanchez was in good form in his last outing and accumulated 8 strikeouts.
Cristopher Sanchez’s fastball velocity has jumped 2.1 mph this season (93.7 mph) over where it was last season (91.6 mph).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Cristopher Sanchez throws from, George Springer will have the upper hand in today’s game.
George Springer will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.
Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game.
Batting from the opposite that Bowden Francis throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today’s game.
Kyle Schwarber hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.
In notching a .343 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Kyle Schwarber grades out in the 83rd percentile for hitting ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as the majors’s 5th-best home run batter.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.
Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.
Nick Castellanos has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal mark of 90.7-mph.
Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 19.2%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 75th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Edmundo Sosa has compiled a .326 BABIP this year, ranking in the 81st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The Toronto Blue Jays have done a strong job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-contacted balls. Their 14.8° figure is among the highest in the league this year (#9 overall).
Grading out in the 78th percentile, Bowden Francis compiled a 12.3% Swinging Strike rate this year.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Cristopher Sanchez has averaged 17.5 outs per outing this year, grading out in the 85th percentile.
Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Blue Jays Series Game 2
The #8 stadium in the majors for suppressing offensive stats to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Rogers Centre has the 8th-highest fences in the majors.
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects the 5th-most suitable pitching conditions of all games on the slate.
Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Bryson Stott has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87-mph dropping to 83.7-mph over the past week.
The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
Over the past week, Ernie Clement’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.6%.
Grading out in the 17th percentile, Ernie Clement has put up a .264 BABIP this year.
Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 93.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 79.5-mph over the last 7 days.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.2°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.4°) over the past 14 days.
Grading out in the 15th percentile, Alejandro Kirk sports a .259 BABIP this year.
Davis Schneider is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Davis Schneider’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.5-mph EV last season has dropped to 92.5-mph.
Davis Schneider has posted a .204 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The #8 park in MLB for suppressing offensive stats to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Rogers Centre grades out as the #23 field in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cristopher Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Daulton Varsho today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) implies that Daulton Varsho has been lucky this year with his .308 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 22nd percentile when estimating his home run ability.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryce Harper today.
Over the last 14 days, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.9% down to 3%.
Over the past week, Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 93.9 mph to 89.2 mph.
Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh today.
Bowden Francis will hold the platoon advantage against Trea Turner in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Trea Turner in today’s game.
Trea Turner’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (8.8°) is significantly lower than his 12.2° figure last year.
With a .265 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott is positioned in the 19th percentile.
Leo Jimenez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today.
Leo Jimenez has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.4% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week.
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Ryan Blakney) behind the plate in this game.
Bowden Francis will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats in all categories.
In his last start, Bowden Francis was in good form and allowed 0 ER.
J.T. Realmuto has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (72% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Bowden Francis will have the handedness advantage over J.T. Realmuto in today’s game.
J.T. Realmuto will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Typically, bats like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Cristopher Sanchez.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 6.8° this season.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, going from 13.5% on the season to 0% over the last week.
Edmundo Sosa is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Edmundo Sosa has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.
Bowden Francis will hold the platoon advantage against Edmundo Sosa today.
Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 2nd-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.2% underlying K%.
Projected catcher J.T. Realmuto profiles as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cristopher Sanchez in today’s game.
Over his last 3 games started, Cristopher Sanchez has experienced a big decrease in his fastball spin rate: from 2117 rpm over the entire season to 2058 rpm lately.
In the past 7 days, George Springer’s exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal figure of 93.3 mph to 88 mph.
George Springer’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off of late, falling from 40.4% on the season to 24.2% over the past 14 days.
Leo Jimenez has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.3-mph dropping to 80.8-mph in the past week.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Kyle Schwarber’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%.
Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 12.4%.
George Springer has notched a .239 BABIP this year, ranking in the 4th percentile.
Batting from the same side that Bowden Francis throws from, Nick Castellanos encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nick Castellanos in today’s matchup.
Alejandro Kirk has hit 9.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, placing in the 13th percentile for power.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cristopher Sanchez in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall pitching skills.
Cristopher Sanchez performed well in his last start and conceded 2 ER.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 8.9°, George Springer has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.5°) in the past 14 days.
Davis Schneider has notched a .283 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 16th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
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