
BAL @ DET





Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 15th
15/09/24 12:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Tigers Series Game 3 Matchup Today
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Riley Greene ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Riley Greene is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest fences in the majors.
Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league parks, which often leads to higher offensive output.
Riley Greene will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When assessing his home run skill, Justyn-Henry Malloy ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Justyn-Henry Malloy is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Comerica Park as the 9th-best field in the majors for righty batting average.
Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Justyn-Henry Malloy will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Cedric Mullins has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (94% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Comerica Park projects as the #9 field in the league for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage over Keider Montero in today’s matchup.
The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst among every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Colt Keith is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 5th-best batter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Justyn-Henry Malloy will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adley Rutschman ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.
The Detroit Tigers have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Parker Meadows, Jake Rogers, Riley Greene, Justyn-Henry Malloy).
Gunnar Henderson projects as the 16th-best batter in the game, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gunnar Henderson is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today.
When assessing his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage against Cade Povich in today’s game.
Andy Ibanez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Cade Povich throws from, Andy Ibanez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 5th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Baltimore Orioles.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Anthony Santander is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.
Anthony Santander has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.4% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last two weeks.
Anthony Santander has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.8-mph to 94.4-mph in the last week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Colton Cowser is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.
Batting from the opposite that Keider Montero throws from, Colton Cowser will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Spencer Torkelson will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 8th-luckiest offense in the league this year.
Jake Rogers, the Tigers’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Keider Montero will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his metrics across the board.
In his previous outing, Keider Montero was rolling and conceded 0 ER.
Matt Vierling is penciled in 1st in the lineup today.
Matt Vierling will hold the platoon advantage against Cade Povich today.
Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Matt Vierling will hold that advantage today.
Emmanuel Rivera has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 5.7% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past two weeks.
Emmanuel Rivera has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.2-mph to 92.5-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O’Hearn in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Ryan O’Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Keider Montero in today’s game.
The Baltimore Orioles have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Keider Montero in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Adley Rutschman’s launch angle this year (18.8°) is considerably better than his 12.5° angle last year.
Despite posting a .312 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adley Rutschman has had some very poor luck given the .024 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .336.
Zach McKinstry will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.
Zach McKinstry’s launch angle recently (34.5° over the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 18.3° seasonal mark.
Last season, Zach McKinstry had an average launch angle of 13.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 23.8°.
Andy Ibanez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
It may be smart to expect improved performance for the Detroit Tigers offense going forward, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in the game this year.
Colt Keith will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Cedric Mullins has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.3-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.7-mph.
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Ryan O’Hearn ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.351) may lead us to conclude that Ryan O’Hearn has been unlucky this year with his .323 actual wOBA.
Keider Montero’s 94.2-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 75th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Colton Cowser ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Emmanuel Rivera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, rising from 14.9% on the season to 28.6% over the last two weeks.
Emmanuel Rivera has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .277 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Tigers Series Game 3
Batting from the same side that Cade Povich throws from, Riley Greene will not have the upper hand today.
Riley Greene hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .360 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Riley Greene has been lucky given the .017 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .343.
Among all major league parks, Comerica Park’s centerfield dimensions are the 2nd-deepest.
Justyn-Henry Malloy has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .214 rate is inflated compared to his .184 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cedric Mullins in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cedric Mullins today.
There has been a decrease in Cedric Mullins’s average exit velocity this year, from 88.9 mph last year to 86.8 mph now, Utilizing Statcast data, Cedric Mullins ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .224.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.0) may lead us to conclude that Cedric Mullins has had positive variance on his side this year with his 22.9 actual HR/600.
Cade Povich will hold the platoon advantage against Colt Keith in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Colt Keith is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (91st percentile).
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Colt Keith’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
By putting up a 12.300 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Colt Keith is positioned in the 23rd percentile for power.
Sporting a .183 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Colt Keith is ranked in the 21st percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.276) provides evidence that Justyn-Henry Malloy has experienced some positive variance this year with his .298 actual wOBA.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Keider Montero, Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Adley Rutschman in today’s game.
Over the last two weeks, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.5% down to 0%.
Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 89.3-mph seasonal EV has dropped to 83.3-mph in the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cade Povich to throw 84 pitches in this game (14th-least of all pitchers on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
It is scheduled that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) behind the plate today.
The #3 stadium in the game for suppressing strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.
Cade Povich will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.7-mph dropping to 90.3-mph in the last week.
In terms of his home runs, Gunnar Henderson has experienced some positive variance this year. His 32.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 23.6.
Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
In today’s matchup, Spencer Torkelson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.6% rate (84th percentile).
Spencer Torkelson’s launch angle of late (-0.5° in the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 20.4° seasonal angle.
Spencer Torkelson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 40.9% to 34.5%.
Spencer Torkelson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .216 BA is inflated compared to his .179 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Andy Ibanez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Andy Ibanez has been very fortunate when it comes to his batting average this year; his .258 BA is quite a bit higher than his .220 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
In terms of plate discipline, Andy Ibanez’s talent is quite weak, putting up a 4.76 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 25th percentile.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s matchup.
Anthony Santander has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 40.7 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably higher than his 34.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Colton Cowser has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Colton Cowser will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
Colton Cowser has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 13.4% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Colton Cowser’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 95-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.5-mph in the past 7 days.
Colton Cowser’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 17.1% on the season to 7.7% in the last week’s worth of games.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Keider Montero’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 19th percentile out of all SPs in the league right now.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keider Montero to throw 81 pitches today (10th-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
Comerica Park ranks as the #9 ballpark in Major League Baseball for walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Matt Vierling has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 7.8% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past 14 days.
Matt Vierling’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 90.4-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 86.9-mph over the last two weeks.
Over the last 7 days, Matt Vierling’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%.
Emmanuel Rivera is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this game.
Hitting from the same side that Keider Montero throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have a tough challenge in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Emmanuel Rivera in today’s matchup.
Posting a .310 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Emmanuel Rivera grades out in the 4th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Utilizing Statcast data, Anthony Santander ranks in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .232.
Ryan O’Hearn is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 98% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Ryan O’Hearn has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ryan O’Hearn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Over the past two weeks, Ryan O’Hearn’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.3% down to 0%.
Ryan O’Hearn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.6-mph seasonal average has fallen to 87-mph over the last 14 days.
Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gunnar Henderson has experienced some positive variance given the .019 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .364.
Zach McKinstry is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.
Cade Povich will have the handedness advantage over Zach McKinstry today.
Zach McKinstry hits many of his flyballs to center field (40% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Zach McKinstry’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 93-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 89.2-mph over the last two weeks.
Ranking in the 9th percentile, Zach McKinstry has notched a .273 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Andy Ibanez has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .299 rate is considerably higher than his .273 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Given the 1.38 deviation between Cade Povich’s 5.91 ERA and his 4.53 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in MLB this year and should perform better in future games.
Cade Povich has compiled a .320 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play with improved performance likely coming.
The maximum exit velocity of any player on the Detroit Tigers has been 114 mph this year, putting them as the #28 squad in the majors by this standard.
Anthony Santander has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .350 mark is significantly inflated relative to his .334 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justyn-Henry Malloy in the 25th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Colt Keith’s launch angle of late (0° in the last week) is significantly lower than his 10.4° seasonal figure.
Checking in at the 15th percentile, Emmanuel Rivera sports a .222 batting average this year.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Spencer Torkelson has been very fortunate this year. His .285 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .253.
By putting up a .286 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Spencer Torkelson is ranked in the 19th percentile.
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