Reds vs Twins match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Series Game 3

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Reds vs Twins match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Series Game 3

CIN @ MIN

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 15th
15/09/24 13:05:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.

The #6 park in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which often leads to better offense.

The weather report expects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

When assessing his BABIP talent, Edouard Julien is projected as the 11th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Edouard Julien is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

There has been a significant improvement in Santiago Espinal’s launch angle from last year’s 11.3° to 14.5° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carlos Correa will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball’s 14th-best home run hitter.

Matt Wallner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Rhett Lowder throws from, Matt Wallner will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Rhett Lowder in today’s game.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today’s game.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects David Festa in the 89th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

David Festa will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing hitters today.

David Festa will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to improve all of his metrics in all categories.

David Festa’s 94.2-mph fastball velocity this year is in the 75th percentile out of all SPs.

David Festa’s high utilization rate of his secondary pitches (59.6% this year) should work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

The Cincinnati Reds infield defense profiles as the weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

TJ Friedl’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.1°) is a significant increase over his 5.8° figure last year.

Noelvi Marte has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.1-mph.

Noelvi Marte’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 14.6% on the season to 36.4% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Ty France’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (16.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 11.2° angle last season.

Edouard Julien will hold the platoon advantage against Rhett Lowder today.

When it comes to his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jake Fraley will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jake Fraley is likely to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins has just 1 same-handed RP.

Byron Buxton projects as the 11th-best home run batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Byron Buxton is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Royce Lewis ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Matt Wallner ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Byron Buxton in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Spencer Steer has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 25° mark over the past 14 days.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle recently (23.3° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s game.

The #7 field in the majors for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.

Ranking steepest in the game this year, Cincinnati Reds hitters as a group have compiled a 16.5° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (an advanced metric to measure power ability).

Ryan Jeffers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Willi Castro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Grading out in the 88th percentile for power, Ryan Jeffers has hit 29.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Despite posting a .238 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Noelvi Marte has had some very poor luck given the .051 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .289.

The Minnesota Twins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Edouard Julien, Matt Wallner, Byron Buxton, Trevor Larnach).

Trevor Larnach will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 7.1 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 12.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ty France ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 16.5% on the season to 22.2% over the last two weeks.

Over the past two weeks, Willi Castro has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 19° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.9°.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.0) provides evidence that Willi Castro has suffered from bad luck this year with his 11.5 actual HR/600.

Willi Castro grades out in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.3% rate this year).

Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Twins Series Game 3

Target Field has the 5th-highest fence height (on average) in the majors.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jonathan India will have a disadvantage in today’s matchup.

Jonathan India hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan India today.

Jonathan India has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 8.3% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.

35% of the time that Edouard Julien has started against a right-handed pitcher this year, he has been pinch hit for.

Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Edouard Julien has recorded a .226 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

With a .350 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Edouard Julien has performed in the 18th percentile.

Santiago Espinal is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest centerfield fences in the majors.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Santiago Espinal has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Santiago Espinal today.

Santiago Espinal’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 87.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 78.4-mph in the last 7 days.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Elly De La Cruz today.

Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls lately (6.6° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is significantly worse than his 11.7° seasonal figure.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, putting up a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .018 disparity.

Carlos Correa has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.

Rhett Lowder will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Correa in today’s matchup.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for 25% of the time.

Over the past 14 days, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21% down to 7.1%.

Matt Wallner has been lucky this year, notching a .401 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .079 difference.

41% of the time that Trevor Larnach has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter.

Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 92.9-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 81.9-mph in the past 7 days.

Trevor Larnach’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased in recent games, going from 43.6% on the season to 23.5% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for TJ Friedl in today’s game.

TJ Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 88.4-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 85.6-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Festa to throw 77 pitches in this game (5th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Ryan Additon grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.

With a 1.02 deviation between David Festa’s 10.87 K/9 and his 9.85 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to perform worse in the future.

Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 9th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Hitting from the same side that Rhett Lowder throws from, Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage today.

Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Ryan Jeffers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.9% down to 0%.

TJ Friedl has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 22.8 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 14.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Noelvi Marte is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Noelvi Marte meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Noelvi Marte will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Based on Statcast data, Noelvi Marte grades out in the 10th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .237.

Ty France is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ty France in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ty France in today’s game.

In the last week, Ty France’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8% down to 0%.

Edouard Julien has compiled a .217 batting average this year, placing in the 13th percentile.

As it relates to his home run ability, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley is penciled in 8th in the lineup in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Jake Fraley has been pinch hit for 15% of the time.

Rhett Lowder will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today’s matchup.

Byron Buxton pulls a lot of his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.4° angle last year.

When it comes to plate discipline, Byron Buxton’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 4.98 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 7th percentile.

Rhett Lowder will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Royce Lewis today.

Today, Royce Lewis is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.3% rate (96th percentile).

Over the past week, Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal average of 92.8 mph to 84.2 mph.

Royce Lewis has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 36.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 33.7 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Despite posting a .364 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Byron Buxton has been lucky given the .018 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .346.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Spencer Steer faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.2% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 91.3-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 87.4-mph in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 7th percentile when assessing his home run ability.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts David Festa in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall pitching talent.

Ryan Jeffers’s BABIP skill is projected in the 15th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Willi Castro is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Willi Castro’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the game this year: 24th percentile.

In terms of power, Willi Castro is positioned in the 18th percentile, having hit 11.1 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Rhett Lowder is projected to throw 76 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 3rd-least on the slate.

Rhett Lowder will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.5°, Trevor Larnach has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-4.3°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Ranking in the 16th percentile, TJ Friedl has put up a .282 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.

Rhett Lowder performed well in his last outing and gave up 0 ER.

Minnesota’s 91.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs makes them the #23 squad in baseball this year by this stat.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Fraley in today’s game.

Jake Fraley’s average exit velocity has decreased recently; his 83.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 78.7-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

There has been a decrease in Jonathan India’s average exit velocity this season, from 89.3 mph last year to 87.2 mph now, Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, going from 18.6% to 14.6%.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats

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