Reds vs Twins match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Series Game 2

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Reds vs Twins match player stats Saturday, September 14th 2024. Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins Series Game 2

CIN @ MIN

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Todays Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Cincinnati Reds at Minnesota Twins
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Saturday, September 14th
14/09/24 19:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Reds vs Twins Series Game 2 Matchup Today

TJ Friedl is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, TJ Friedl will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so TJ Friedl has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

TJ Friedl’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (9.1°) is quite a bit better than his 5.8° figure last year.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.

Target Field profiles as the #6 field in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the the Cincinnati Reds.

Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Over the last two weeks, Willi Castro has significantly improved the launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls: 19° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.9°.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Brooks Lee has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.2-mph to 89.7-mph over the past 7 days.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.289) provides evidence that Brooks Lee has suffered from bad luck this year with his .254 actual wOBA.

Byron Buxton projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Byron Buxton will hold that advantage today.

Byron Buxton has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 28.7 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is deflated compared to his 35.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Byron Buxton has compiled a .360 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.

Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.

Jonathan India’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 16.3% on the season to 12.5% in the last 14 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) provides evidence that Jonathan India has had bad variance on his side this year with his .243 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Last year, Ty France had an average launch angle of 11.2° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 16.1°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Steer in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Spencer Steer is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.

Spencer Steer’s launch angle of late (25° over the past two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 16.8° seasonal figure.

When assessing his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Power-wise, Ryan Jeffers is positioned in the 88th percentile, having paced 29.4 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.3-mph in recent games.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Noelvi Marte’s 36.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Noelvi Marte’s true offensive skill to be a .289, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .051 gap between that figure and his actual .238 wOBA.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today’s game.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game.

Carlos Santana will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Carlos Santana has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 7.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.

Jake Fraley has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (12.1) provides evidence that Jake Fraley has suffered from bad luck this year with his 7.1 actual HR/600.

There has been a significant improvement in Santiago Espinal’s launch angle from last year’s 11.3° to 14.5° this year.

Santiago Espinal’s launch angle of late (23.3° over the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 14.5° seasonal angle.

When estimating his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.

The Minnesota Twins have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Larnach, Matt Wallner, Edouard Julien, Byron Buxton).

Nick Martinez has a reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed batters in this game.

Nick Martinez’s high utilization percentage of his secondary pitches (59.2% this year) ought to work in his favor considering they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

Matt Wallner projects as the 14th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Martinez today.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Matt Wallner has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.9-mph average to last year’s 97.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 11th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Edouard Julien is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Nick Martinez throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Grading out in the 89th percentile, Jake Fraley sits with a .329 BABIP this year.

Brooks Lee’s launch angle of late (18.6° over the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 13.4° seasonal mark.

Brooks Lee has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 17.4° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (81st percentile).

Ty France’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Elly De La Cruz has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92-mph to 96-mph in the last 7 days.

As it relates to plate discipline, Spencer Steer’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.89 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 81st percentile.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Jonathan India has experienced some negative variance this year. His .326 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .349.

Jonathan India has shown strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 88th percentile with a 1.7 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Compared to his seasonal average of 16.8°, Royce Lewis has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 23.3° angle over the last week.

Willi Castro has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 11.5 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 19.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Willi Castro is in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (17.3% rate this year).

Simeon Woods Richardson will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his metrics across the board.

It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Simeon Woods Richardson must realize this, because he has relied on his off-speed and breaking pitches a lot this year: 59.4% of the time, checking in at the 77th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Wallner ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

In the past week, Carlos Santana’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 95.9-mph in recent games.

In terms of power, Carlos Santana has performed in the 75th percentile, having averaged 23.3 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

In the last 7 days, TJ Friedl’s 12.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.8%.

Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach’s average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 92.2-mph now compared to just 90.1-mph then.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 7th-best park in the majors for batting average.

Simeon Woods Richardson has been one of the luckiest pitchers in the game on balls in play this year with a .260 BABIP and figures to see that luck normalize going forward.

The Cincinnati Reds have done a favorable job as a team optimizing their launch angles on their hardest-hit balls. Their 16.5° mark is among the highest in Major League Baseball this year (#1 overall).

Edouard Julien will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Edouard Julien has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 93.8-mph.

Negative Match Player Stats with Reds vs Twins Series Game 2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF dimensions in the majors.

The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for pitchers.

Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for TJ Friedl in today’s game.

In the last 14 days, TJ Friedl’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 88.4 mph to 85.6 mph.

Target Field has the 5th-highest fences in the league.

Elly De La Cruz hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Elly De La Cruz’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (6.6°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 7th in the lineup today.

Willi Castro’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity ranks among the worst in the game this year: 24th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 21st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.

Brooks Lee is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.

Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, going from 42.7% on the season to 50% over the last 7 days.

Byron Buxton is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Byron Buxton faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

In today’s game, Byron Buxton is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 42.5% rate (100th percentile).

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jonathan India meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jonathan India today.

Ty France is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the handedness advantage over Ty France today.

Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Spencer Steer has a tough challenge today.

In today’s game, Spencer Steer is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.3% rate (89th percentile).

Spencer Steer will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.8% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noelvi Marte in today’s game.

Noelvi Marte hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Trevor Larnach has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 41% of the time.

Over the past 7 days, Trevor Larnach’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 92.9 mph to 81.9 mph.

Over the last two weeks, Trevor Larnach’s 23.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Nick Martinez, Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Tyler Stephenson will not have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Tyler Stephenson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (17.2°) is a significant dropoff from his 21.4° mark last year.

As it relates to his home run skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jake Fraley has been pulled from the game early 15% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

When it comes to his home run skill, Santiago Espinal ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Royce Lewis encounters a tough challenge today.

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.2-mph over the past 7 days.

Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Nick Martinez is projected to throw 85 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 14th-least of the day.

Nick Martinez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

This year, Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for in 25% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter.

In the past two weeks, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 21% down to 7.1%.

Edouard Julien has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 35% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

Edouard Julien has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.4%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Using Statcast metrics, Edouard Julien grades out in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .226.

Placing in the 13th percentile, Edouard Julien has posted a .217 batting average this year.

Jake Fraley will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

When estimating his home run skill, Brooks Lee ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In the last two weeks, Spencer Steer’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal EV of 91.3 mph to 87.4 mph.

Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, notching a .349 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .018 discrepancy.

Over the past two weeks, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.3% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 16th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Simeon Woods Richardson to throw 81 pitches in today’s game (7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

Given his reverse platoon split, Simeon Woods Richardson faces a tough challenge matching up with 6 hitters in the projected batting order who share the same handedness in this matchup.

In his previous outing, Simeon Woods Richardson struggled when it came to striking batters out and only managed to tally 2 Ks.

Simeon Woods Richardson’s 2187-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 16th percentile among all starters.

Ty France will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Simeon Woods Richard will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Santiago Espinal in today’s matchup.

Santiago Espinal will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Despite posting a .401 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Wallner has experienced some positive variance given the .079 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .322.

Carlos Santana’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.6% on the season to 6.1% in the last 14 days.

Jonathan India has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the last 7 days.

In his previous outing, Simeon Woods Richardson performed well and conceded 2 ER.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Noelvi Marte today.

Sporting a .350 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Edouard Julien is ranked in the 18th percentile.

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