
BAL @ COL





Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 20:40:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Orioles vs Rockies Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Brenton Doyle is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Brenton Doyle will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Brenton Doyle has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 18.8% over the last week.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 92nd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Michael Toglia is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last 14 days, Michael Toglia has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 17.3% to 22.7%.
When estimating his home run talent, Nolan Jones ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Nolan Jones will hold the platoon advantage over Albert Suarez today.
Nolan Jones will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 12.4% on the season to 30% in the past two weeks.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Gunnar Henderson has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.
Gunnar Henderson has notched a .377 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 96th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Ezequiel Tovar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Ezequiel Tovar has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 94.8-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
As a result of his reverse platoon split, Austin Gomber will be in a good position squaring off against 6 bats in the projected offense of opposing handedness in this matchup.
Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Colorado Rockies.
Austin Gomber will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Adley Rutschman is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.
The switch-hitting Adley Rutschman will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Austin Gomber.
Sporting a .335 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Adley Rutschman finds himself in the 75th percentile for offensive ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Eloy Jimenez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Eloy Jimenez will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Eloy Jimenez has had bad variance on his side given the .036 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
When estimating his BABIP skill, Austin Slater is projected as the 7th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Austin Slater is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.
Austin Slater will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today’s matchup.
Austin Slater has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 93.7-mph.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) suggests that Eloy Jimenez has suffered from bad luck this year with his 9.7 actual HR/600.
Ramon Urias will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber today.
Ramon Urias has made significant strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 8.6% seasonal rate to 20% in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Over the past 14 days, Ramon Urias’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.6-mph of late.
Grading out in the 79th percentile for power, Ramon Urias has hit 24.5 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
In the last 7 days, Anthony Santander’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 25%.
There has been a significant improvement in Anthony Santander’s launch angle from last year’s 20° to 23.4° this year.
Hitting from the opposite that Albert Suarez throws from, Sam Hilliard will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Sam Hilliard will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Posting a .321 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Sam Hilliard grades out in the 89th percentile.
The Colorado Rockies have been the 9th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in the future, Albert Suarez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Colorado has performed as the #5 group of hitters in the majors when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle span that tends to result the most in base hits (43.9% rate this year).
Batting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Emmanuel Rivera will have the upper hand today.
Emmanuel Rivera has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .262 mark is a fair amount lower than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Rodgers in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Brendan Rodgers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brendan Rodgers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.
Ryan McMahon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Albert Suarez today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser as the 17th-best batter in baseball when it comes to his BABIP talent.
The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
Colton Cowser has big-time power (84th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a sure thing (29.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Austin Gomber struggles to strike batters out (13th percentile K%) — great news for Cowser.
Using Statcast metrics, Colton Cowser is in the 83rd percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .344.
When estimating his home run skill, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Emmanuel Rivera has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important skill for batting average), grading out in the 94th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score this year.
In terms of power, Anthony Santander is ranked in the 99th percentile, having hit 41.9 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eloy Jimenez in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Ezequiel Tovar’s launch angle this season (18.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 12.3° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Austin Slater has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 4.3% seasonal rate to 12.5% over the last week.
Checking in at the 84th percentile, Anthony Santander has posted a .347 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
This year, Colton Cowser’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 92nd percentile at 95.8 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 81st percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.
Colton Cowser’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, going from 17.5% on the season to 30% over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Hilliard in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.
This season, Michael Toglia has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.9 mph compared to last year’s 91 mph mark.
Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.5° figure over the past week.
Negative Match Player Stats with Orioles vs Rockies
Batting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Brenton Doyle will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Out of every team playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the the Baltimore Orioles.
Brenton Doyle has been lucky this year, notching a .340 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .039 disparity.
Michael Toglia has been lucky this year, compiling a .332 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .298 — a .034 gap.
Michael Toglia has recorded a .202 batting average this year, placing in the 7th percentile.
Nolan Jones is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this game.
Nolan Jones has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 83.7-mph over the past two weeks.
Nolan Jones’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 20% to 12.4%.
With a 8.600 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Nolan Jones has performed in the 21st percentile for power.
Sporting a .280 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Nolan Jones is ranked in the 22nd percentile.
Austin Gomber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Gunnar Henderson in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Gunnar Henderson today.
Gunnar Henderson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 12% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past week.
Gunnar Henderson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph dropping to 90.5-mph in the last 14 days.
Gunnar Henderson’s launch angle of late (-3° over the last 7 days) is a significant dropoff from his 8.4° seasonal figure.
Hitting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.
Ezequiel Tovar has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .325 rate is inflated compared to his .277 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ezequiel Tovar has displayed weak plate discipline this year, checking in at the 0th percentile with a 9.84 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Gomber to throw 82 pitches in today’s game (6th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
The Baltimore Orioles projected offense profiles as the 4th-strongest on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability.
Baltimore’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in the league: #3 overall.
Rating 4th-highest in MLB this year, Baltimore Orioles hitters as a unit have posted a 14.6° launch angle (a reliable standard to study the ability to lift the ball for power).
Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Adley Rutschman today.
In the past week’s worth of games, Adley Rutschman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.
Adley Rutschman’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 79.8-mph over the past week.
Over the past two weeks, Adley Rutschman’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Eloy Jimenez today.
Over the last 7 days, Eloy Jimenez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.4% down to 0%.
There has been a significant decline in Eloy Jimenez’s launch angle from last season’s 5.8° to 2.7° this year.
In the last 7 days, Eloy Jimenez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 8.8%.
Austin Slater will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 7°, Austin Slater has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (0.1°) in the past two weeks.
Austin Slater has put up a .103 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, placing in the 18th percentile.
Ramon Urias is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Ramon Urias will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
Ramon Urias’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 43.5% to 35.7%.
Ramon Urias has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 18.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Playing on the road generally diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Anthony Santander in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (35.6) may lead us to conclude that Anthony Santander has had positive variance on his side this year with his 42.0 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Hilliard in the 7th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Sam Hilliard is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in this game.
Sam Hilliard has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 14% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.
This year, there has been a decline in Sam Hilliard’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.96 ft/sec last year to 28.48 ft/sec currently.
The Colorado Rockies projected offense ranks as the 3rd-worst on the slate today in terms of overall hitting skill.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Adley Rutschman (the Orioles’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a good pitch framer.
The Colorado Rockies collectively rank 24th- overall in Major League Baseball this year when assessing the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.
Emmanuel Rivera is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Playing on the road typically lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Emmanuel Rivera in today’s matchup.
Emmanuel Rivera’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 92-mph mark last season has decreased to 89.7-mph.
Emmanuel Rivera’s launch angle this year (8.1°) is considerably lower than his 11.1° figure last year.
Grading out in the 17th percentile, Emmanuel Rivera has notched a .093 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.
Batting from the same side that Albert Suarez throws from, Brendan Rodgers will be in a tough position today.
Brendan Rodgers is an extreme groundball batter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Baltimore (#1-best on the slate).
In the last 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5% down to 0%.
Brendan Rodgers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, going from 19.7% to 11%.
In the past two weeks, Ryan McMahon’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal EV of 95.7 mph to 90.3 mph.
Ryan McMahon’s launch angle of late (-2.2° over the past week) is considerably lower than his 9.3° seasonal angle.
Ryan McMahon has put up a .231 batting average this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.
Colton Cowser is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Austin Gomber will have the handedness advantage against Colton Cowser today.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Colton Cowser in today’s matchup.
Colton Cowser’s average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 90.7-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 79.9-mph in the last week.
Brendan Rodgers’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 90.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped off to 86.9-mph in the past week.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Brendan Rodgers has had some very good luck this year. His .311 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .291.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Santander in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.
In the past 14 days, Anthony Santander’s 19.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.1%.
Based on Statcast data, Eloy Jimenez grades out in the 18th percentile for offensive skills per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .285.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Ezequiel Tovar’s 13% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.4%.
As it relates to his home runs, Austin Slater has experienced some positive variance this year. His 7.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 4.8.
Sporting a .227 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Anthony Santander finds himself in the 21st percentile.
Ryan McMahon’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 17.6% to 14.1%.
Over the past 7 days, Brendan Rodgers’s 21.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 46.4%.
Sam Hilliard has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 27.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is inflated compared to his 19.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Sam Hilliard has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 21st percentile with a 5.08 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Toglia in the 12th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Albert Suarez to throw 84 pitches in today’s game (7th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ramon Urias has experienced some positive variance this year. His .324 figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .305.
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