
TOR @ MIN






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 20:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Blue Jays vs Twins Matchup Today
Willi Castro’s BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (53% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today.
Willi Castro will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the last week, Willi Castro’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.1% up to 20%.
Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 47.5%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best batter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team on the slate today.
Over the last two weeks, Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s 21.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14.2%.
In terms of his home runs, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year. His 28.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 33.7.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 87th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Daulton Varsho is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.
Daulton Varsho will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s game.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
There has been a significant improvement in Daulton Varsho’s launch angle from last season’s 20.3° to 24.8° this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.
George Springer is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, George Springer has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 10.1% to 25.6%.
George Springer has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.9-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal figure of 93.5-mph.
Addison Barger is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.
Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Addison Barger stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Addison Barger has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.9-mph to 91.7-mph in the last two weeks’ worth of games.
Over the last two weeks, Addison Barger’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 13.3%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 86th percentile when assessing his batting average skill.
Alejandro Kirk has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 94.4-mph average to last year’s 90.6-mph figure.
When it comes to his home runs, Alejandro Kirk has suffered from bad luck this year. His 10.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been deflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.5.
When it comes to plate discipline, Alejandro Kirk’s skill is quite strong, sporting a 1.31 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 97th percentile.
Batting from the opposite that Jose Berrios throws from, Max Kepler will have an edge today.
Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.6) provides evidence that Max Kepler has experienced some negative variance this year with his 12.3 actual HR/600.
Spencer Horwitz’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez today.
Spencer Horwitz has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Minnesota Twins only has 1 same-handed RP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
In the past week, Spencer Horwitz’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.7% up to 15.4%.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over Jose Berrios in today’s matchup.
Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Trevor Larnach has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 10.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% over the last 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.
Matt Wallner is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Jose Berrios in today’s matchup.
Matt Wallner will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Matt Wallner has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 18.8% rate last year to 25% this year.
Carlos Santana will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
In the past two weeks, Carlos Santana’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph recently.
Over the last 14 days, Carlos Santana’s 21.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.
When it comes to plate discipline, Carlos Santana’s ability is quite impressive, sporting a 1.72 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 87th percentile.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.359) may lead us to conclude that George Springer has had bad variance on his side this year with his .304 actual wOBA.
Ernie Clement’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ernie Clement has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.7% seasonal rate to 9.1% in the past two weeks.
Ernie Clement has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 93.7-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 90.3-mph.
Over the past two weeks, Ernie Clement’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.5%.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage today.
Austin Martin has displayed favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile with a 1.98 K/BB rate.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Royce Lewis is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Compared to last season, Royce Lewis has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.3% to 21.7% this season.
Over the past two weeks, Royce Lewis’s 26.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 21.7%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) suggests that Austin Martin has experienced some negative variance this year with his .252 actual batting average.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as baseball’s 12th-best home run hitter.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .403 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .423 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Willi Castro has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 92.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.
Compared to his seasonal average of 13.1°, Willi Castro has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 17.4° angle in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .291 rate is quite a bit lower than his .319 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Loperfido in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
Joey Loperfido will hold the platoon advantage over Pablo Lopez in today’s matchup.
The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joey Loperfido can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
In the last 7 days, Joey Loperfido’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.5% up to 13.3%.
Joey Loperfido has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal EV of 92.2-mph.
Joey Loperfido’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (22.3° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 16.1° seasonal figure.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ranks as the 5th-best batter in the majors.
Grading out in the 98th percentile, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has put up a .406 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Blue Jays vs Twins
In the last two weeks, Willi Castro’s 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4, ° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 47.5%.
Placing in the 24th percentile for power, Willi Castro has paced 11.9 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Batting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has a tough challenge today.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 81st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s matchup.
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 84.9-mph in the past 7 days.
There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last year’s 10.2° to 7° this season.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Daulton Varsho in today’s matchup.
Over the last 7 days, Daulton Varsho’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
Daulton Varsho’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 79.2-mph over the last 7 days.
Daulton Varsho has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .309 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .274 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Batting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, George Springer will have a tough matchup in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for George Springer today.
In the last 7 days, George Springer’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.
By putting up a .244 BABIP this year, George Springer is ranked in the 7th percentile.
Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Addison Barger today.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 10.6°, Addison Barger has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.2°) in the past two weeks.
Alejandro Kirk is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Batting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Alejandro Kirk faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alejandro Kirk today.
Alejandro Kirk’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 94.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 82.9-mph in the last week.
Alejandro Kirk’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off recently, going from 40.3% on the season to 13.3% in the last week.
Max Kepler has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (71% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this matchup.
Max Kepler has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 6.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last 7 days.
Max Kepler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 88.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 79.6-mph over the last 7 days.
Max Kepler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off recently, falling from 14.2% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
In terms of power, Max Kepler grades out in the 22nd percentile, having hit 11.4 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Kepler in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Spencer Horwitz has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Spencer Horwitz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.
Despite posting a .338 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has experienced some positive variance given the .019 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .319.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Matt Wallner’s true offensive talent to be a .323, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .104 gap between that mark and his actual .427 wOBA.
Carlos Santana is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will bat from his worse side (0) today against Jose Berrios, In the last week, Carlos Santana’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.1% down to 0%.
Carlos Santana has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .326 figure is a fair amount higher than his .298 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Carlos Santana’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Over the past 7 days, Carlos Santana’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 37.4%.
Ernie Clement is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Pablo Lopez throws from, Ernie Clement will have a disadvantage in today’s game.
Ernie Clement pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Ernie Clement has put up a .265 BABIP this year, ranking in the 17th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Daulton Varsho in the 3rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.
Austin Martin is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card today.
Jose Berrios will have the handedness advantage against Austin Martin in today’s game.
Austin Martin hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 92nd percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Austin Martin’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.9-mph in the past week’s worth of games.
Hitting from the same side that Jose Berrios throws from, Royce Lewis encounters a tough challenge today.
Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.2% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.
Royce Lewis’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 87.9-mph seasonal average has dropped to 85.4-mph over the past week.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (38.3) may lead us to conclude that Royce Lewis has had positive variance on his side this year with his 41.9 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Royce Lewis’s true offensive ability to be a .335, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .020 deviation between that mark and his actual .355 wOBA.
Over the last 14 days, Austin Martin’s 4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.6%.
Willi Castro has been lucky this year, notching a .328 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .024 disparity.
Compared to his seasonal figure of 9.1°, Alejandro Kirk has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.2°) in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
As it relates to his home run ability, Ernie Clement ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Joey Loperfido is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.
This year, Joey Loperfido has been pulled from the game early in 17% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.
In today’s matchup, Joey Loperfido is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39% rate (92nd percentile).
Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Joey Loperfido in today’s game.
When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Joey Loperfido has experienced some positive variance this year. His .290 mark has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .253.
Addison Barger has notched a .196 batting average this year, grading out in the 23rd percentile.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Joey Loperfido ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
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