Mariners vs Astros match player stats | 2026 Series Game 4 Thursday, May 14th

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SEA @ HOU

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Mariners @ Astros Series Game 4 Matchup Details

Teams : Seattle Mariners at Houston Astros
Series Game 4
Date : Todays Game is on Thursday, May 14th
Time : 14/05/26 14:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the Seattle Mariners Series Game 4 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Jose Altuve is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the 5th-best ballpark in the majors for righty home runs.

,The Minute Maid Park roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 7° hotter than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for offense.

,Jose Altuve pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.9% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order today.

,In the league, Minute Maid Park’s LF fences are the 2nd-shallowest.

,Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.

,The #5 park in the majors for boosting home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Cal Raleigh will get to bat from his better side against Michael Burrows in this game.

,When assessing his home run skill, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Minute Maid Park has the least fair ground among all major league parks — generally good for homers.

,Dominic Canzone will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today’s game.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Cole Young will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Cole Young’s 18.4° launch angle (an advanced standard to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the steepest in Major League Baseball: 82nd percentile.

,Among every team in action today, the worst infield defense is that of the the Seattle Mariners.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,J.P. Crawford has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows today.

,Josh Naylor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows today.

,Josh Naylor has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season’s 90.3-mph average.

,Brice Matthews pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.2% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Brice Matthews will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.

,Cal Raleigh has been unlucky this year, notching a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .088 difference.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Cole in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

,Zach Cole will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s matchup… and the cherry on top, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,Zach Cole is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.

,Cole Young’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 39.2% to 45.4%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.

,Julio Rodriguez has been hot lately, hitting 5 long-balls in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,When assessing his home run ability, Zach Cole ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his home run ability, Brice Matthews ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 94th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

,Hitting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Luke Raley will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

,Yordan Alvarez projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Yordan Alvarez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.

,Christian Walker is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.

,Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences today.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Isaac Paredes ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

,Isaac Paredes pulls a lot of his flyballs (47.3% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

,When it comes to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best batter in MLB by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Braden Shewmake will have the handedness advantage against Luis Castillo in today’s game… and even more favorably, Castillo has a large platoon split.

,The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Braden Shewmake has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.

,Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Christian Walker will hold that advantage today.

,J.P. Crawford has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,Compared to the average starter, Luis Castillo has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.3 adjusted pitches each outing.

,The underlying talent of the Houston Astros projected lineup today (.315 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be a good deal worse than their .326 wOBA this year.

,It may be best to expect negative regression for the Houston Astros offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

,It is anticipated that we will see a Huge Pitchers Umpire (Alex MacKay) in charge of the strike zone in this game.

,Cal Raleigh, the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, projects as an elite pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Because of Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Yordan Alvarez will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.

,Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

,Julio Rodriguez has posted a .347 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 81st percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Luke Raley has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 10.7% rate last season to 22.4% this year.

,Since the start of last season, Brice Matthews’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to measure power) grades out in the 80th percentile at 94.4 mph.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

,The Houston Astros have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zach Dezenzo, Zach Cole, Brice Matthews).

,The #1 park in the game for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Minute Maid Park as the worst field in the league for walks.

,Home field advantage generally boosts pitcher metrics across the board, and Mike Burrows will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Mike Burrows has gone to his four-seamer 10.9% less often this season (28.2%) than he did last season (39.1%).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Negatives with the Houston Astros Series Game 4 Game Today

Among all stadiums, the 3rd-tallest average fence height are at Minute Maid Park.

,Built just 20 feet above sea level, Minute Maid Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.

,Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Jose Altuve will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.

,Jose Altuve’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, falling from 14.6% to 9.5%.

,Using Statcast data, Jose Altuve is in the 13th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .284.

,Michael Burrows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena today.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

,This year, Randy Arozarena’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 11.6% last year to just 5.5% this year.

,Randy Arozarena’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 94.7-mph average last season has dropped to 92.4-mph.

,Cal Raleigh pulls a lot of his flyballs (43.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Cal Raleigh has struggled with his Barrel%; his 19% rate last season has decreased to 11.9% this season.

,Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th in the lineup today.

,When starting against a northpaw this year, Dominic Canzone has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 44% of the time.

,Dominic Canzone will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

,Cole Young is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

,Today, Cole Young is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 36.7% rate (90th percentile).

,Cole Young will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

,Minute Maid Park ranks as the #28 stadium in the league for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,J.P. Crawford’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19% to 12%.

,This season, there has been a decline in J.P. Crawford’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 26.7 ft/sec last year to 25.52 ft/sec currently.

,Josh Naylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 90th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Josh Naylor in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Matthews in the 14th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.

,Brice Matthews is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,16% of the time that Brice Matthews has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 2nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

,The #1 venue in the game for suppressing batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Minute Maid Park.

,Zach Cole is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,18% of the time that Zach Cole has started against a righty hurler since the start of last season, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Zach Cole pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 80th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Josh Naylor’s BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Michael Burrows will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Julio Rodriguez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38% — 78th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 8th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Julio Rodriguez in today’s matchup.

,Considering Luis Castillo’s large platoon split, Brice Matthews will be at a colossal disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today’s matchup.

,Luke Raley is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Luke Raley has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 35% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.

,Luke Raley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 9th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

,Yordan Alvarez’s quickness has dropped off this year. His 26.19 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.63 ft/sec now.

,Luis Castillo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Walker today… and it’s an even larger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,There has been a significant decline in Christian Walker’s launch angle from last season’s 16.9° to 13.6° this season.

,Christian Walker has been lucky this year, notching a .369 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .038 difference.

,Luis Castillo will hold the platoon advantage against Isaac Paredes today… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Castillo’s large platoon split.

,Isaac Paredes’s 3.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) ranks in the 18th percentile this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,This year, there has been a decline in Isaac Paredes’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 25.64 ft/sec last year to 25.05 ft/sec currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Shewmake in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.

,Braden Shewmake is projected to hit 6th in the batting order today.

,Braden Shewmake is not very quick, grading out in the 25th percentile in Sprint Speed at 26.16 ft/sec this year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 13th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

,Playing on the road typically lessens pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Luis Castillo today.

,As a team, Houston Astros batters have shined when it comes to hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 8th-best in MLB.

,By putting up a 9.500 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , J.P. Crawford grades out in the 15th percentile for power.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Braden Shewmake in the 3rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,In his previous game started, Mike Burrows gave up a staggering 5 earned runs.

,Seattle Mariners hitters as a group rank 7th- in the majors for power this year when assessing with their 93.2-mph exit velocity on flyballs.

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