Marlins @ Twins Series Game 3 Matchup Details

Positives for the Miami Marlins Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

,Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.

,The weather report expects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

,Otto Lopez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year’s 88.5-mph figure.

,Target Field grades out as the #10 park in Major League Baseball for righty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Batting from the opposite that Robby Snelling throws from, Royce Lewis will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Royce Lewis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball’s 6th-best home run batter.

,Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Robby Snelling throws from, Byron Buxton will have the upper hand today.

,Byron Buxton will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

,Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Joe Mack faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Austin Martin is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.

,Target Field ranks as the #8 park in the majors for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Austin Martin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robby Snelling today.

,Connor Prielipp will have the handedness advantage over Jakob Marsee today.

,The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst among every team playing today.

,Jakob Marsee’s launch angle this season (20.5°) is a significant increase over his 10.9° angle last year.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Liam Hicks ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Liam Hicks is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

,Connor Prielipp will have the handedness advantage over Liam Hicks in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,Connor Norby is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Austin Martin will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

,Xavier Edwards is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Xavier Edwards will bat from his worse side against Connor Prielipp in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Liam Hicks in the 84th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Owen Caissie as the 11th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.

,Connor Prielipp will have the handedness advantage against Owen Caissie today.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

,Luke Keaschall is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Keaschall in the 83rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Luke Keaschall will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robby Snelling today.

,Matt Wallner projects as the 19th-best home run batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Despite posting a .259 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Matt Wallner has been unlucky given the .058 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .317.

,In terms of his home runs, Connor Norby has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His 13.8 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 20.6.

,Connor Norby and his 21.3° launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls rank in 97th percentile, among the highest in the game since the start of last season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez as the 16th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his batting average skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Leo Jimenez in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

,Leo Jimenez’s footspeed has improved this season. His 26.87 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.98 ft/sec now.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Kyle Stowers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.

,Hitting from the same side that Connor Prielipp throws from, Kyle Stowers will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

,When estimating his batting average ability, Xavier Edwards is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Target Field as the 10th-best field in the game for lefty BABIP.

,Despite posting a .258 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck given the .050 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .308.

,Despite posting a .250 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Owen Caissie has been unlucky given the .047 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .297.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

,Josh Bell is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Josh Bell will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

,Josh Bell’s launch angle this season (15.9°) is a significant increase over his 10.7° figure last season.

,Based on Statcast metrics, Jakob Marsee ranks in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .354.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

,Xavier Edwards has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 0.9% rate last season to 7% this season.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

,Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 15.3% to 20%.

,Matt Wallner has paced 31.3 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, placing in the 91st percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

,As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Batting from the opposite that Robby Snelling throws from, Ryan Jeffers will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

,Victor Caratini will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

,Victor Caratini has been unlucky this year, notching a .247 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .306 — a .059 deviation.

,Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (36.9) implies that Kyle Stowers has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his 28.9 actual HR/600.

,According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Byron Buxton ranks as the 12th-best batter in baseball.

,Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Negatives with the Minnesota Twins Series Game 3 Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Target Field as the 9th-worst park in the game for RHB home runs.

,Target Field has the 5th-tallest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.

,Otto Lopez will have the handedness advantage over Connor Prielipp in today’s matchup.

,Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Otto Lopez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

,Royce Lewis’s BABIP talent is projected in the 13th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Royce Lewis is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Among all parks, Target Field’s CF dimensions are the 10th-deepest.

,Royce Lewis’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 89.8-mph figure last season has decreased to 87.8-mph.

,From last year to this one, Royce Lewis’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 41.5% to 33.3%.

,Byron Buxton’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 96.9-mph EV last year has lowered to 94.2-mph.

,Joe Mack is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

,Target Field grades out as the #21 venue in the majors for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Joe Mack in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 5th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,Austin Martin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Martin’s true offensive ability to be a .325, suggesting that he has been lucky this year given the .061 disparity between that figure and his actual .386 wOBA.

,Austin Martin’s 4.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) ranks in the 15th percentile since the start of last season.

,Jakob Marsee is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 93% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.

,Jakob Marsee will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

,Jakob Marsee has taken a step back with his Barrel%; his 8.1% rate last season has dropped off to 3% this season.

,Liam Hicks hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 83rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Liam Hicks today.

,Liam Hicks’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last year to this one, decreasing from 21.5% to 17.9%.

,Connor Norby will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Connor Prielipp in today’s game.

,Connor Norby will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

,Connor Norby’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 48% to 39.2%.

,Connor Norby’s speed has fallen off this year. His 28.79 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.14 ft/sec now.

,As it relates to his home run talent, Xavier Edwards ranks in the 2nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Xavier Edwards hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (37.9% — 75th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Xavier Edwards’s true offensive talent to be a .316, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .062 difference between that figure and his actual .378 wOBA.

,Liam Hicks’s footspeed has declined this season. His 26.21 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.72 ft/sec now.

,Owen Caissie is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this game.

,In today’s game, Owen Caissie is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.5% rate (88th percentile).

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Owen Caissie in today’s matchup.

,Posting a .240 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Owen Caissie finds himself in the 15th percentile for offensive skills.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brooks Lee in the 15th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Brooks Lee is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this matchup.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Robby Snelling in this game.

,Luke Keaschall hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 90th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

,From last season to this one, Luke Keaschall’s ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 44.4% to 38.7%.

,Luke Keaschall’s 3.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) is in the 13th percentile this year.

,Luke Keaschall has averaged 2.5 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 10th percentile for power.

,Matt Wallner is projected to hit 8th in the lineup today.

,Hitting from the same side that Robby Snelling throws from, Matt Wallner will be in a tough position today.

,Matt Wallner’s average exit velocity has decreased this season; his 91-mph EV last season has decreased to 88.4-mph.

,When estimating his home run talent, Leo Jimenez ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Leo Jimenez is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Otto Lopez’s launch angle this season (5.3°) is a significant dropoff from his 8.4° figure last year.

,Batting from the opposite that Connor Prielipp throws from, Leo Jimenez will have an advantage today.

,Leo Jimenez will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Stowers in today’s game.

,This season, Kyle Stowers’s Barrel% has decreased significantly, dropping from 19.5% last year to just 4% this year.

,Kyle Stowers’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, decreasing from 19.2% to 10%.

,Xavier Edwards and his 5.1° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 6th percentile, among the lowest in baseball since the start of last season.

,As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Josh Bell will bat from his worse side against Robby Snelling in today’s game.

,With a .268 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games, Josh Bell has been struggling at the plate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Liam Hicks’s true offensive talent to be a .322, indicating that he has been lucky this year given the .055 disparity between that mark and his actual .377 wOBA.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Otto Lopez’s true offensive talent to be a .326, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .047 disparity between that mark and his actual .373 wOBA.

,This season, there has been a decline in Byron Buxton’s quickness with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.16 ft/sec last year to 29.68 ft/sec currently.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joe Mack in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

,With a .269 wOBA in the last week’s worth of games, Leo Jimenez has been struggling at the plate.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

,Ranking in the 3rd percentile, the hardest ball Austin Martin has hit since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 106.8 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power skill.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ryan Jeffers’s true offensive ability to be a .339, suggesting that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .064 disparity between that mark and his actual .403 wOBA.

,Victor Caratini is penciled in 7th on the lineup card today.

,The switch-hitting Victor Caratini will bat from his weak side (0) today against Robby Snelling,Victor Caratini hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

,Victor Caratini has been cold lately, posting a .247 wOBA in the past week.

,Grading out in the 3rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 24.17 ft/sec this year, Victor Caratini is notably slow.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 13th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

,Checking in at the 9th percentile for Sprint Speed at 25.06 ft/sec this year, Josh Bell is not very toolsy.

,This year, Jakob Marsee’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced metric to study power) ranks in the 24th percentile at 90 mph.

,Byron Buxton has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 19th percentile with a 3.84 K/BB rate.

,In notching a .270 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Josh Bell finds himself in the 21st percentile.

,With a .259 wOBA in the last 14 days, Joe Mack has been struggling at the plate.

,Brooks Lee’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 16.6% to 13.2%.

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