D-Backs @ Dodgers Matchup Details

Positives for the Arizona Diamondbacks Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the game for right-handed home runs.

Among all major league parks, Dodger Stadium’s centerfield dimensions are the 9th-shallowest.

Dodger Stadium has the shortest average fence height among all major league parks.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report projects for the 3rd-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.

Tyler Locklear will have the handedness advantage over Blake Snell today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Locklear in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Dodger Stadium as the 6th-best ballpark in the majors for righty batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best field in MLB for LHB home runs.

As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Alexander Freeland will get to bat from his good side against Zac Gallen today.

Alexander Freeland will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the 6th-best ballpark in the majors for left-handed batting average.

Alexander Freeland has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 9.5% seasonal rate to 30.8% over the last 7 days.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Shohei Ohtani will have the handedness advantage against Zac Gallen in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

Tallying 94.9 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Zac Gallen falls in the 92nd percentile.

Zac Gallen has been unlucky this year, posting a 5.13 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.33 — a 0.8 gap.

Ildemaro Vargas has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year’s 86.7-mph EV.

The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-weakest among every team in action today.

Enrique Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

Enrique Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The Barrel% of Enrique Hernandez has significantly improved, with an increase from 4.9% last year to 10.7% this season.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 9th-shallowest CF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Will Smith ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Will Smith is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Will Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Zac Gallen in today’s game.

Michael Conforto will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run ability, Michael Conforto ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When estimating his strikeout skill, Blake Snell projects as the 12th-best pitcher in the majors currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Recording 91.9 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Blake Snell falls in the 78th percentile.

Blake Snell will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his metrics in all categories.

Out of all starters, Blake Snell’s fastball spin rate of 2455 rpm grades out in the 87th percentile this year.

Considering the 2.78 discrepancy between Blake Snell’s 8.44 K/9 and his 11.21 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to positively regress the rest of the season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Blake Snell’s overall pitching ability grades out in the 92nd percentile among all SPs in the majors currently.

The underlying talent of the Arizona Diamondbacks projected batting order today (.319 projected wOBA via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) figures to be significantly weaker than their .330 wOBA this year.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been the luckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse the rest of the season,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

As it relates to his home run talent, Teoscar Hernandez ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Freddie Freeman ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 17th-best hitter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.

Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

Gabriel Moreno’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 90% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Moreno in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Batting from the opposite that Blake Snell throws from, Gabriel Moreno will have an advantage today.

Andy Pages’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Andy Pages will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Blaze Alexander’s BABIP skill is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Blaze Alexander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell in today’s game.

As it relates to his home runs, Alek Thomas has been unlucky this year. His 12.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.2.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Corbin Carroll in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Corbin Carroll is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.

Negatives with the Los Angeles Dodgers Game Today

Tyler Locklear is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

Since the start of last season, Tyler Locklear has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 19% of his appearances when starting against left-handed starter.

Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Tyler Locklear in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Tyler Locklear’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13%.

Tyler Locklear has been cold recently, putting up a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to evaluate power) over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alexander Freeland in the 19th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.

Alexander Freeland is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Alexander Freeland has been pinch hit for 18% of the time.

Alexander Freeland pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best out of every team in action today.

Alexander Freeland has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .294 rate is a fair amount higher than his .276 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 44.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a good deal higher than his 38.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.391) suggests that Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year with his .412 actual wOBA.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ketel Marte in today’s matchup.

Ketel Marte has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 14.7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last week.

In the past week, Ketel Marte’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 93.2 mph to 79 mph.

Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .290 BA is significantly inflated relative to his .259 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.369) provides evidence that Ketel Marte has experienced some positive variance this year with his .390 actual wOBA.

The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup projects as the 2nd-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting ability.

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Los Angeles Dodgers offense in future games, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 10th-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.

The #1 venue in baseball for boosting home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.

As it relates to his home run ability, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 3rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ildemaro Vargas is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ildemaro Vargas in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, Ildemaro Vargas grades out in the 8th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .268.

Utilizing Statcast data, Ildemaro Vargas is in the 5th percentile for power per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season at 4.700.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ildemaro Vargas ranks in the 5th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Since the start of last season, Ildemaro Vargas’s 1.5% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 3rd percentile among his peers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Enrique Hernandez in the 9th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Enrique Hernandez is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Enrique Hernandez has a tough challenge in today’s game.

When it comes to his home runs, Enrique Hernandez has experienced some positive variance this year. His 24.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 21.5.

By putting up a .248 BABIP since the start of last season, Enrique Hernandez has performed in the 6th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Mookie Betts meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Mookie Betts’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined in recent games; his 90.1-mph seasonal average has fallen to 86.3-mph in the last two weeks.

There has been a significant decline in Mookie Betts’s launch angle from last year’s 21.4° to 17.4° this season.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 17.4°, Mookie Betts has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) in the past 14 days.

Checking in at the 16th percentile, Mookie Betts sports a .175 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year.

Grading out in the 6th percentile, Mookie Betts has put up a .250 BABIP this year.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage against Will Smith in today’s matchup.

Will Smith’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 48.7% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.

Despite posting a .388 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Will Smith has been very fortunate given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Last season, Will Smith had a launch angle of 21.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 16.4°.

Over the last 14 days, Will Smith’s 5.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.7%.

Michael Conforto’s BABIP talent is projected in the 18th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Michael Conforto has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 20% of the time.

Sporting a .327 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year, Michael Conforto is positioned in the 9th percentile.

Michael Conforto has put up a .280 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, placing in the 10th percentile.

Michael Conforto’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 94.4-mph mark last season has dropped to 92.4-mph.

Michael Conforto’s launch angle lately (7.6° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is considerably lower than his 14.1° seasonal figure.

Will Smith, the Dodgers’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In his previous outing, Blake Snell wasn’t on when it came to striking hitters out and only managed to post 2 Ks.

Blake Snell’s 94.8-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a notable 1-mph decline from last season’s 95.8-mph mark.

Blake Snell’s curveball usage has dropped by 5.8% from last year to this one (26.1% to 20.3%) .

In his last game started, Blake Snell was on point and conceded 2 ER.

Hitting from the same side that Zac Gallen throws from, Teoscar Hernandez faces a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will be challenged by the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences today.

Teoscar Hernandez’s launch angle in recent games (-4.5° over the last week) is considerably lower than his 8.5° seasonal angle.

Teoscar Hernandez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 43.8% to 38.6%.

Teoscar Hernandez’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.3-mph average last year has decreased to 93.2-mph.

Teoscar Hernandez has shown poor plate discipline this year, grading out in the 4th percentile with a 5.53 K/BB rate.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in today’s game.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 87.8-mph dropping to 85-mph over the past two weeks.

Placing in the 3rd percentile, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. sports a .240 BABIP this year.

Freddie Freeman has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .373 rate is quite a bit higher than his .334 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Geraldo Perdomo’s BABIP talent is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Geraldo Perdomo in today’s game.

In the past two weeks, Geraldo Perdomo’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal EV of 89.8 mph to 83.7 mph.

Compared to his seasonal mark of 12.3°, Geraldo Perdomo’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls has dropped significantly in recent games (4.4° in the past 14 days).

Geraldo Perdomo has been lucky this year, notching a .370 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .314 — a .056 deviation.

When estimating his home run talent, Geraldo Perdomo ranks in the 15th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Gabriel Moreno has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Gabriel Moreno in today’s game.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.320) implies that Gabriel Moreno has been very fortunate this year with his .337 actual wOBA.

Andy Pages is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Zac Gallen will hold the platoon advantage over Andy Pages in today’s matchup.

Arizona’s #2-ranked outfield defense of all teams today poses a formidable challenge for Andy Pages, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Andy Pages’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 90.9 mph to 87.2 mph.

Andy Pages has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 26.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a good deal higher than his 21.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

As it relates to plate discipline, Andy Pages’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.12 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 16th percentile.

Blaze Alexander is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this game.

Blaze Alexander will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Despite posting a .318 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Blaze Alexander has been lucky given the .024 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .294.

Alek Thomas is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.

Blake Snell will hold the platoon advantage against Alek Thomas in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alek Thomas in today’s matchup.

Over the past 7 days, Alek Thomas’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%.

Over the past week, Alek Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 91.1 mph to 75.6 mph.

Batting from the same side that Blake Snell throws from, Corbin Carroll meets a tough challenge today.

In today’s matchup, Corbin Carroll is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 8th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 33.4% rate (78th percentile).

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Corbin Carroll today.

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