Rangers @ Athletics Matchup Details

Positives for the Texas Rangers Game Today

The Athletics (25% K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-most strikeout-prone team of batters of the day.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Kyle Higashioka (the Rangers’s expected catcher today) profiles as a good pitch framer.

Jack Leiter’s 96.6-mph fastball velocity this year grades out in the 94th percentile out of all starting pitchers.

Jack Leiter’s 2419-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 78th percentile out of all SPs.

It may be wise to expect weaker performance for the Athletics offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in the league this year.

Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest left field fences among all major league stadiums.

The Texas Rangers infield defense grades out as the 3rd-strongest out of every team today.

Jack Leiter was rolling in his previous start and allowed 1 ER.

Considering the 0.99 deviation between Jack Leiter’s 3.81 ERA and his 4.80 estimated true talent ERA (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball this year and figures to perform worse in the future.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 5th-best stadium in the game for run-scoring.

Cody Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s matchup.

The Athletics outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-weakest out of every team playing today.

Sutter Health Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in baseball for right-handed base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Cody Freeman has been hot of late, compiling a a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) in the last week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.

Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Darell Hernaiz will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Darell Hernaiz’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 41.3% on the season to 50% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Darell Hernaiz’s launch angle of late (9° over the last week) is a considerable increase over his 4.6° seasonal mark.

Posting a 1.78 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Darell Hernaiz has displayed strong plate discipline, ranking in the 87th percentile.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an advantage in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nicholas Kurtz as the league’s 14th-best home run batter.

Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Nicholas Kurtz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #8 venue in the majors for boosting BABIP to lefties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Sutter Health Park.

Nicholas Kurtz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jack Leiter today.

Jeffrey Springs will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his metrics across the board.

Jeffrey Springs was in good form in his last GS and put up 9 strikeouts.

Given the 0.83 disparity between Jeffrey Springs’s 7.25 K/9 and his 8.08 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in the league this year as it relates to strikeouts and figures to positively regress in future games.

Jeffrey Springs was rolling in his last start and gave up 0 ER.

Texas has performed as the #27 squad in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (42.5% rate this year).

The Texas Rangers collectively rank 27th- overall in the league this year as it relates to the maximum exit velocity of all of the baseballs their [HITTER}s have hit.

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jeffrey Springs.

Jonah Heim has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 90.9-mph.

Jonah Heim’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.1% to 16%.

When estimating his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Adolis Garcia will have the upper hand in today’s game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.

Brent Rooker is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage today.

Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Kyle Higashioka is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Sacramento (#2-worst of all teams on the slate today).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 79th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Over the past two weeks, Kyle Higashioka has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-hit balls: 20.3° compared to his seasonal mark of 14.8°.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Tyler Soderstrom is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Tyler Soderstrom will have the upper hand today.

Josh Jung is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.

Josh Jung will hold the platoon advantage over Jeffrey Springs today.

Josh Jung has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 88.6-mph average to last season’s 86.2-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Shea Langeliers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Shea Langeliers is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Shea Langeliers will hold that advantage today.

Shea Langeliers projects as the 20th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ezequiel Duran in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Ezequiel Duran has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (94% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Ezequiel Duran will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in today’s matchup.

Ezequiel Duran has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 88.4-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.3-mph average.

Michael Helman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs in today’s game.

Michael Helman’s footspeed has increased this season. His 28.55 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.03 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zack Gelof in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Zack Gelof will hold that advantage today.

Zack Gelof has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.1° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (89th percentile).

As it relates to his home run skill, Zack Gelof ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his home run talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today’s matchup.

Lawrence Butler will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Negatives with the Athletics Game Today

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jack Leiter is projected to throw 84 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of all pitchers on the slate today.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate today at 92°.

Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jack Leiter in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Sutter Health Park as the 2nd-best stadium in the majors for walks.

Sutter Health Park has the 4th-shortest fences among all major league stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Freeman in the 11th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

Cody Freeman is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Cody Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Cody Freeman has shown some bad exit velocity statistics in recent games, averaging just 89.1-mph on his flyballs in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

With a .200 wOBA over the last two weeks, Cody Freeman has been struggling at the plate.

Darell Hernaiz is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Darell Hernaiz will have a tough matchup today.

Darell Hernaiz hits many of his flyballs to center field (41.1% — 99th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Darell Hernaiz has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Darell Hernaiz in the 6th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

In today’s game, Wyatt Langford is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35% rate (88th percentile).

Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Wyatt Langford in today’s matchup.

Nicholas Kurtz has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

In the past week’s worth of games, Nicholas Kurtz’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.4% down to 8.3%.

Nicholas Kurtz’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 92.8-mph seasonal average has fallen to 90.6-mph in the past week.

Despite posting a .433 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Nicholas Kurtz has experienced some positive variance given the .080 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .353.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Jeffrey Springs is projected to throw 85 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least on the slate today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Shea Langeliers (the Athletics’s expected catcher in today’s game) grades out as a weak pitch framer.

The Texas Rangers have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage over Jeffrey Springs in this game.

Out of all starters, Jeffrey Springs’s fastball velocity of 90 mph is in the 8th percentile this year.

The Texas Rangers have been the 8th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress going forward,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonah Heim in the 4th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.

Jonah Heim is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Jonah Heim has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a lefty on the mound this year.

In today’s game, Jonah Heim is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.8% rate (84th percentile).

Jonah Heim will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Jonah Heim’s launch angle lately (2.3° in the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 13.7° seasonal angle.

Adolis Garcia will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Adolis Garcia’s launch angle recently (4.8° in the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 17.5° seasonal mark.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Adolis Garcia grades out in the 19th percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .232.

By putting up a 4.68 K/BB rate this year, Adolis Garcia has shown weak plate discipline, grading out in the 10th percentile.

Adolis Garcia has notched a .298 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 21st percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jack Leiter will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker today.

Brent Rooker pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Brent Rooker’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 94.8-mph seasonal EV has decreased to 90.7-mph in the last two weeks.

Brent Rooker’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (14.6°) is a considerable dropoff from his 18.3° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Higashioka in the 7th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.

Kyle Higashioka is projected to bat 7th in the batting order today.

This year, Kyle Higashioka has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 16% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Kyle Higashioka pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, batters like Kyle Higashioka who hit a lot of groundballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jeffrey Springs.

Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Kyle Higashioka in today’s game.

Tyler Soderstrom has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Tyler Soderstrom is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of Texas (#3-best of the day).

Tyler Soderstrom’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 98.2-mph average last season has fallen off to 94.6-mph.

Tyler Soderstrom’s launch angle of late (4.6° in the past two weeks’ worth of games) is quite a bit worse than his 8.6° seasonal figure.

Despite posting a .354 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Soderstrom has had some very good luck given the .022 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

Josh Jung has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time when starting against a southpaw this year.

In today’s game, Josh Jung is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.2% rate (98th percentile).

Josh Jung will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

Josh Jung has shown weak plate discipline this year, ranking in the 14th percentile with a 4.3 K/BB rate.

Batting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Shea Langeliers meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Shea Langeliers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.

Over the last week, Shea Langeliers’s 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Shea Langeliers’s true offensive ability to be a .344, indicating that he has been very fortunate this year given the .019 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .363 wOBA.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (28.9) provides evidence that Shea Langeliers has experienced some positive variance this year with his 40.7 actual HR/600.

This year, Ezequiel Duran has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 45% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ezequiel Duran today.

Posting a .261 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Ezequiel Duran finds himself in the 21st percentile for offensive skills.

Power-wise, Ezequiel Duran has performed in the 0th percentile, having paced 0 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.

Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.6°, Ezequiel Duran has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.8°) in the past two weeks.

As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Duran’s talent is quite weak, sporting a 6.2 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 17th percentile.

Michael Helman’s BABIP ability is projected in the 2nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Michael Helman is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Michael Helman pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 6th-deepest LF fences today.

Michael Helman will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Helman in the 7th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Zack Gelof is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Jack Leiter throws from, Zack Gelof meets a tough challenge today.

Zack Gelof hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.

Zack Gelof’s quickness has fallen off this season. His 28.72 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.22 ft/sec now.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.5) may lead us to conclude that Zack Gelof has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his 18.4 actual HR/600.

Zack Gelof has recorded a .257 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, placing in the 4th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and will be challenged by the league’s 6th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

When it comes to his home runs, Lawrence Butler has been very fortunate this year. His 19.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.3.

Lawrence Butler has recorded a .238 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 25th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Lawrence Butler has notched a .230 batting average this year, placing in the 23rd percentile.

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