Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Tigers Matchup Today

Built 602 feet above sea level, Comerica Park has the 9th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.

Trey Sweeney will hold the platoon advantage over Ben Brown in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Trey Sweeney will hold that advantage today.

Among all parks, Comerica Park has the 4th-lowest average fence height.

Compared to his seasonal average of 8.9°, Trey Sweeney has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 25.4° angle in the past two weeks.

The #8 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.

Ben Brown will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Ben Brown’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.7 mph this year (94.8 mph) below where it was last season (96.5 mph).

Ben Brown’s 2213-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 22nd percentile among all SPs.

When estimating his strikeout talent, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Ben Brown in the 93rd percentile among all SPs in MLB.

Ben Brown has posted a 12.5% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 84th percentile.

Ben Brown has put up a 28.7% Strikeout% this year, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Matt Shaw will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal in today’s matchup.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 3rd-worst out of every team playing today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Carson Kelly ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today’s game.

Carson Kelly has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.4-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 96.2-mph.

Nico Hoerner will hold the platoon advantage over Tarik Skubal today.

In the last 7 days, Nico Hoerner’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 1.9% up to 9.1%.

Nico Hoerner has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 89.3-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal average of 86.9-mph.

When assessing his batting average skill, Nico Hoerner is projected as the 20th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ian Happ ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ian Happ is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.6) may lead us to conclude that Ian Happ has had some very poor luck this year with his 7.3 actual HR/600.

Ian Happ has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .312 mark is a good deal lower than his .332 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Tarik Skubal projects as the best SP in the league right now as it relates to his strikeout talent, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Tarik Skubal will hold that advantage today.

Tarik Skubal’s 2329-rpm spin rate on his fastball this year is a significant 103-rpm increase from last season’s 2226-rpm mark.

Among all starters, Tarik Skubal’s fastball velocity of 97 mph ranks in the 98th percentile this year.

Checking in at the 100th percentile, Tarik Skubal notched an 18.1% Swinging Strike% this year.

Chicago Cubs batters collectively grade out 7th- in MLB for power this year when judging by their 9.9% Barrel%.

Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Justin Turner will have an edge today.

Extreme groundball bats like Justin Turner are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Tarik Skubal.

Justin Turner’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 19.1% to 28.2%.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Justin Turner has had some very poor luck this year. His .260 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319.

Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage in today’s game.

Zach McKinstry will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Zach McKinstry’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44.5% to 52.3%.

Zach McKinstry has recorded a .276 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Dansby Swanson will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.

Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.

Gleyber Torres will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Gleyber Torres has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 11.9% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage today.

Spencer Torkelson has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.1% this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Dillon Dingler’s BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Dillon Dingler will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

In the past 7 days, Dillon Dingler’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.2% up to 20%.

Dillon Dingler has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 105.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 93.3-mph.

Dillon Dingler’s launch angle in recent games (23° over the past 7 days) is significantly better than his 15.6° seasonal figure.

When assessing his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Pete Crow-Armstrong is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 18th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.

Hitting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Parker Meadows is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Parker Meadows will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Parker Meadows will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Parker Meadows ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20% rate since the start of last season).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.

Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.

Kerry Carpenter will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ben Brown in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kerry Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Tigers

Trey Sweeney’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Trey Sweeney is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Comerica Park profiles as the #21 stadium in the majors for left-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

In today’s game, Trey Sweeney is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.6% rate (94th percentile).

Trey Sweeney has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 5.8% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Comerica Park as the 5th-worst ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trey Sweeney in the 25th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Comerica Park projects as the #22 stadium in the majors for LHB home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Ben Brown’s overall pitching skill grades out in the 89th percentile among all starting pitchers in the game currently.

It may be sensible to expect weaker performance for the Detroit Tigers offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 3rd-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

The 2nd-deepest CF fences in the majors are found in Comerica Park.

Ben Brown is an extreme flyball pitcher (33.7% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and should be aided by pitching in the #23 HR venue among all parks today.

Considering that groundball pitchers hold a substantial advantage over groundball hitters, Ben Brown and his 33.7% underlying GB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a strong position in today’s matchup squaring off against 2 opposing GB hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ben Brown to throw 85 pitches today (9th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.

When estimating his home run ability, Matt Shaw ranks in the 19th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Matt Shaw is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Matt Shaw has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Matt Shaw will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Comerica Park projects as the #21 field in the majors for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Matt Shaw has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 81.5-mph dropping to 78.4-mph in the past 14 days.

Comerica Park grades out as the #22 ballpark in the league for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Carson Kelly will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Carson Kelly’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 14.6% down to 0%.

Carson Kelly’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 19.4% on the season to 0% in the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carson Kelly in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 2nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Nico Hoerner is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in today’s game.

Nico Hoerner has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences in today’s game.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nico Hoerner in today’s matchup.

In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Nico Hoerner’s 5.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%.

As a switch-hitter who performs worse from the 0 side of the plate, Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Tarik Skubal in this game.

Ian Happ has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Ian Happ will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Ian Happ has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 6.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Tarik Skubal struggled when it came to striking batters out in his previous start and notched 2 Ks.

Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Tarik Skubal has used his fastball a lot this year, though: 53.9% of the time, placing in the 100th percentile.

Tarik Skubal projects as the best starting pitcher in MLB right now, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

It may be smart to expect worse results for the Chicago Cubs offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the luckiest offense in baseball this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Justin Turner in the 19th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.

Justin Turner has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (52% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Justin Turner in today’s game.

Over the past 7 days, Justin Turner’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 28.2%.

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today.

This year, Zach McKinstry has been pinch hit for in 15% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

Zach McKinstry hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Zach McKinstry has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.4-mph dropping to 84.2-mph in the past two weeks.

Today, Dansby Swanson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 2nd-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 40.3% rate (98th percentile).

Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Dansby Swanson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.6% down to 0%.

In the last week’s worth of games, Dansby Swanson’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18%.

Ben Brown will hold the platoon advantage over Gleyber Torres today.

Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 92.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 83.3-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Spencer Torkelson will have a tough matchup today.

Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 5th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Ben Brown.

Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has been lucky given the .031 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .324.

Dillon Dingler is projected to bat 9th in the lineup in this matchup.

Ben Brown will have the handedness advantage against Dillon Dingler in today’s matchup.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.251) may lead us to conclude that Dillon Dingler has been lucky this year with his .296 actual batting average.

Despite posting a .343 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Dillon Dingler has been lucky given the .045 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .298.

Tarik Skubal will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Crow-Armstrong in today’s matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 10th-deepest RF fences today.

Pete Crow-Armstrong will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Pete Crow-Armstrong’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.

Seiya Suzuki hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (42.8% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear baseball’s 2nd-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Seiya Suzuki in today’s game.

In the past week’s worth of games, Seiya Suzuki’s 11.1% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 49.7%.

Since the start of last season, Parker Meadows has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.

Parker Meadows hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 2nd-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Parker Meadows tend to be less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Brown.

In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Parker Meadows has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .325 rate has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Kerry Carpenter has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 24% of the time.

In today’s matchup, Kerry Carpenter is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).

Kerry Carpenter’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (17.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 21.2° mark last season.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.313) implies that Kerry Carpenter has had positive variance on his side this year with his .345 actual wOBA.

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