Matchup Details

Positive Match Player Stats for Mariners vs Angels Matchup Today

It may be best to expect stronger performance for the Los Angeles Angels offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 7th-unluckiest offense in the league this year.

Among all stadiums, Angel Stadium has the 3rd-lowest average fence height.

Bryce Miller is an extreme flyball pitcher (37.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is stuck pitching in the #9 HR venue among all major league stadiums today.

The Seattle Mariners infield defense profiles as the 5th-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Bryce Miller will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

The Los Angeles Angels have 4 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Chris Taylor, Jo Adell, Logan O’Hoppe, Mike Trout).

Angel Stadium profiles as the #3 park in the league for strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Zach Neto in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Zach Neto is penciled in 1st in the batting order today.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Zach Neto will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The Barrel% of Zach Neto has significantly improved, with an increase from 8.5% last year to 17.3% this year.

Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Among every team playing today, the 3rd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Angels.

Nolan Schanuel is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the opposite that Bryce Miller throws from, Nolan Schanuel will have the upper hand in today’s game.

The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Schanuel has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Nolan Schanuel will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Nolan Schanuel’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Mike Trout ranks as the 10th-best hitter in the league.

Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Mike Trout will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Mike Trout has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.6-mph to 96.4-mph in the past two weeks.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.

Taylor Ward will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

Taylor Ward has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last year’s 93.1-mph mark.

When assessing his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Jo Adell will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Jo Adell’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 25%.

Jo Adell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.1-mph average to last year’s 94.1-mph average.

In the last 14 days, Jo Adell’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 100.1-mph in recent games.

Given his reverse platoon split, Kyle Hendricks will be in a good position squaring off against 7 hitters in the projected lineup who bat from the other side in today’s outing.

Because groundball hitters are less effective against groundball pitchers, Kyle Hendricks (35% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in the opposing team’s projected batting order.

Home field advantage generally improves pitcher metrics in all categories, and Kyle Hendricks will hold that advantage today.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Kyle Hendricks’s overall pitching talent ranks in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers in the game currently.

Kyle Hendricks is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #9 HR venue in the league in today’s game.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jorge Soler is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jorge Soler will hold that advantage today.

Jorge Soler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .295 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .338 — a .043 disparity.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jorge Soler ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Chris Taylor will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Chris Taylor’s launch angle this year (23.5°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.8° mark last year.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (13.5) may lead us to conclude that Chris Taylor has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his 8.0 actual HR/600.

Chris Taylor has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .255 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .281 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The standard deviation of Chris Taylor’s launch angle since the start of last season (25.5°) is in the 84th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

J.P. Crawford will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.

In the last two weeks, J.P. Crawford has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 19.4° compared to his seasonal mark of 13.1°.

Compared to last year, J.P. Crawford has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.6% to 21.1% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.

Randy Arozarena has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11.5% seasonal rate to 19.2% in the last two weeks.

Randy Arozarena’s launch angle in recent games (21.7° in the past two weeks) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Randy Arozarena’s 57.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.9%.

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Kyle Hendricks.

Leody Taveras has been unlucky this year, posting a .240 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .061 difference.

Rowdy Tellez will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks today.

Rowdy Tellez has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, upping his 8.1% rate last year to 15.9% this year.

Rowdy Tellez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 12% to 18.7%.

When it comes to his home run ability, Rowdy Tellez ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .204 figure is a good deal lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 80th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.

Jorge Polanco is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

Using Statcast metrics, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .349.

Jorge Polanco has paced 35.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Polanco in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Jorge Polanco has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .253 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .284 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Cal Raleigh projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today’s game.

Cal Raleigh has big-time power (99th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (26.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Hendricks is a pitch-to-contact type (25th percentile K%) — great news for Raleigh.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Cal Raleigh is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#3-worst of the day).

Cal Raleigh has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.5% rate last season to 22.4% this year.

As it relates to his batting average skill, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 8th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez’s true offensive skill to be a .363, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .044 deviation between that figure and his actual .319 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Julio Rodriguez ranks as the 19th-best batter in baseball.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Logan O’Hoppe will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Logan O’Hoppe has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, improving his 12% rate last season to 20.2% this year.

Logan O’Hoppe has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 98.2-mph average to last season’s 94.6-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O’Hoppe in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Negative Match Player Stats with Mariners vs Angels

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Cal Raleigh (the Mariners’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) projects as an elite pitch framer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Angel Stadium as the 7th-worst venue in Major League Baseball for batting average.

With 8 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Bryce Miller should benefit from having the platoon advantage in most plate appearances today.

Considering that flyball batters face a disadvantage against flyball pitchers, Bryce Miller (37.6% GB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) is well-situated in today’s game with 2 FB hitters in the opposition’s projected offense.

Bryce Miller’s curveball percentage has increased by 8.1% from last season to this one (4.4% to 12.5%) .

Bryce Miller’s fastball velocity has fallen 1.3 mph this season (93.8 mph) below where it was last year (95.1 mph).

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Zach Neto will have a disadvantage today.

Zach Neto’s average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 92.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 82.1-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Zach Neto’s true offensive skill to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .024 discrepancy between that figure and his actual .351 wOBA.

When it comes to plate discipline, Zach Neto’s ability is quite weak, posting a 6.12 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 7th percentile.

In the past 14 days, Zach Neto’s 7.7% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 16.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cole Young in the 11th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Cole Young is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in this game.

Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Cole Young in today’s matchup.

Cole Young has been cold recently, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced metric to assess power) over the past week.

Compiling a lowly an 81-mph average exit velocity in the last week, Cole Young has been in a slump lately.

Cole Young has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, lifting balls between 23° and 34° just 0% of the time in the past week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his home run ability, Nolan Schanuel ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Over the past two weeks, Nolan Schanuel’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.5% down to 0%.

Nolan Schanuel’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off lately, falling from 13.1% on the season to 7.7% over the last 14 days.

Utilizing Statcast data, Nolan Schanuel grades out in the 15th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 11.300.

Checking in at the 14th percentile for power, Nolan Schanuel has paced 5.7 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Mike Trout encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Extreme flyball batters like Mike Trout usually hit worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Miller.

Mike Trout has put up a .215 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 13th percentile.

Mike Trout has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 44.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 32.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Over the past two weeks, Mike Trout’s 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 28.4%.

Hitting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Taylor Ward will be at a disadvantage today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Taylor Ward tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Bryce Miller.

Taylor Ward’s average exit velocity has declined of late; his 90.8-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 86-mph over the last two weeks.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (30.1) suggests that Taylor Ward has had positive variance on his side this year with his 39.7 actual HR/600.

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Taylor Ward has notched a .217 BABIP this year.

Sporting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year, Taylor Ward has demonstrated weak plate discipline, checking in at the 22nd percentile.

Jo Adell is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this matchup.

Bryce Miller will have the handedness advantage against Jo Adell today.

Posting a .242 BABIP since the start of last season, Jo Adell has performed in the 5th percentile.

Jo Adell has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 21st percentile with a 3.82 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kyle Hendricks in the 4th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Projected catcher Logan O’Hoppe grades out as a weak pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Kyle Hendricks’s 85.7-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.8-mph fall off from last season’s 87.5-mph figure.

Kyle Hendricks’s 2040-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 6th percentile among all starting pitchers.

Kyle Hendricks has compiled a 7% Swinging Strike rate this year, checking in at the 7th percentile.

It may be sensible to expect worse results for the Seattle Mariners offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 9th-luckiest offense in the game this year.

Batting from the same side that Bryce Miller throws from, Jorge Soler meets a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 92.1-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 89.7-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

Jorge Soler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 16.6% to 11.8%.

Over the last 7 days, Jorge Soler’s 18.8% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.8%.

Jorge Soler has notched a .201 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 5th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last 14 days, Jorge Soler’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (1.7°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 8.2°.

Using Statcast data, Jorge Soler is in the 12th percentile for offensive ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .279.

Chris Taylor is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.

Bryce Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Taylor in today’s game.

Chris Taylor’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 85.9-mph EV last year has fallen off to 81.4-mph.

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Chris Taylor has notched a .249 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Chris Taylor has compiled a .274 Slugging Percentage (SLG) since the start of last season, grading out in the 2nd percentile.

Chris Taylor’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 12th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

J.P. Crawford will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

J.P. Crawford has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph dropping to 79.7-mph in the past 14 days.

J.P. Crawford has been lucky this year, posting a .353 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .027 discrepancy.

Kyle Hendricks will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Randy Arozarena in today’s game.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Randy Arozarena today.

Randy Arozarena’s average exit velocity has fallen off of late; his 92.3-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 88.3-mph in the past 7 days.

Leody Taveras is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Leody Taveras will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

Leody Taveras has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 7 days.

Leody Taveras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 7.6%.

Leody Taveras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, decreasing from 7.6% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Rowdy Tellez’s BABIP ability is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Rowdy Tellez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card today.

This year, Rowdy Tellez has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 47% of his appearances when starting against righty on the mound.

Rowdy Tellez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Rowdy Tellez’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (4.6° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.6° seasonal angle.

Jorge Polanco has been pulled from the game early 29% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

The switch-hitting Jorge Polanco will be less advantaged while batting from his weak side (0) today against Kyle Hendricks,Extreme flyball batters like Jorge Polanco are generally less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

Jorge Polanco will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

Jorge Polanco has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 12.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks.

As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Cal Raleigh will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Kyle Hendricks in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Cal Raleigh generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Kyle Hendricks.

Cal Raleigh will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Cal Raleigh’s true offensive talent to be a .349, suggesting that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .068 disparity between that figure and his actual .417 wOBA.

Kyle Hendricks will hold the platoon advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today’s game.

Julio Rodriguez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Julio Rodriguez has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 8.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

In the past week, Julio Rodriguez’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal figure of 95 mph to 88.6 mph.

Julio Rodriguez’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, falling from 15.5% on the season to 0% in the last 7 days.

Logan O’Hoppe is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Bryce Miller will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan O’Hoppe today.

In the last week, Logan O’Hoppe’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 20.2% down to 0%.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (34.6) implies that Logan O’Hoppe has experienced some positive variance this year with his 42.6 actual HR/600.

In terms of plate discipline, Logan O’Hoppe’s ability is quite poor, putting up a 7.99 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 3rd percentile.

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