
CHC @ PHI


Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Wednesday, June 11th
11/06/25 13:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 3 Matchup Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s estimation, Ben Brown’s overall pitching skill ranks in the 89th percentile out of all starters in the league right now.
Citizens Bank Park’s elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to less offense.
Given the 2.11 gap between Ben Brown’s 5.37 ERA and his 3.26 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the least fortunate pitchers in baseball this year and ought to positively regress going forward.
Ben Brown has compiled a 3.26 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching, an estimator of ERA that deals with the variables most within a pitcher’s control) this year, placing in the 86th percentile.
Ben Brown has posted a .379 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest hurlers in MLB on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Ben Brown in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his strikeout talent.
Grading out in the 87th percentile, Ben Brown posted a 12.8% Swinging Strike% this year.
Ranking in the 89th percentile, Ben Brown has put up a 28.1% strikeout rate this year.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cubs vs Phillies Series Game 3
The 9th-shallowest left field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Citizens Bank Park.
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°.
Ben Brown’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.5 mph this season (95 mph) below where it was last year (96.5 mph).
Among all starters, Ben Brown’s fastball spin rate of 2216 rpm is in the 22nd percentile this year.
Ben Brown’s high usage percentage of his fastball (59.3% this year) is likely hurting his results, consider they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Ben Brown has been very fortunate when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching an 11.03 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 10.21 — a 0.81 K/9 difference.
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