
STL @ NYY






Todays Matchup Details
Todays Game is on Friday, August 30th
30/08/24 19:05:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Yankees Matchup Today
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league.
Juan Soto is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.
Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Juan Soto will have an edge today.
Juan Soto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Juan Soto has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an advantage in today’s game.
Lars Nootbaar has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last season’s 89.1-mph figure.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Lars Nootbaar’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.5-mph over the course of the season to 101.4-mph lately.
In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Lars Nootbaar’s 57.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.9%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray today.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Over the last 14 days, Aaron Judge has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 27.4% to 33.3%.
Aaron Judge’s launch angle of late (24.6° in the last two weeks) is considerably higher than his 18.5° seasonal angle.
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.3) implies that Ivan Herrera has suffered from bad luck this year with his 9.0 actual HR/600.
This year, the hardest ball Ivan Herrera has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.4 mph (a reliable stat to assess power), grading out in the 85th percentile.
Victor Scott will hold the platoon advantage over Marcus Stroman today.
Victor Scott’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 37.8% on the season to 45.8% in the last 14 days.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.263) implies that Victor Scott has experienced some negative variance this year with his .204 actual wOBA.
Victor Scott is quite quick, ranking in the 100th percentile in Sprint Speed at 30.14 ft/sec this year.
Brendan Donovan’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.
Batting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an advantage in today’s matchup.
Over the last week, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 15.8%.
Brendan Donovan’s launch angle in recent games (20.4° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 13.1° seasonal angle.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Paul Goldschmidt’s true offensive talent to be a .333, providing some evidence that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .298 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Verdugo in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.
Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Alex Verdugo will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
Alex Verdugo will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats.
In terms of his batting average, Alex Verdugo has been unlucky this year. His .233 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .268.
By putting up a 1.81 K/BB rate this year, Alex Verdugo has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 84th percentile.
Nolan Arenado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Extreme groundball bats like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.
Compared to his seasonal average of 17.4°, Nolan Arenado has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 22.6° mark over the past two weeks.
As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s skill is quite impressive, putting up a 2.09 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 75th percentile.
Sporting a .267 batting average this year, Nolan Arenado has performed in the 78th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.
Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Benjamin Rice will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Benjamin Rice will hold that advantage today.
Benjamin Rice has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .277 figure is quite a bit lower than his .321 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Sporting a 2.2 K/BB rate this year, Benjamin Rice has demonstrated good plate discipline, checking in at the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
Gleyber Torres has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Gleyber Torres has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Despite posting a .302 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Gleyber Torres has suffered from bad luck given the .025 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .327.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alex Verdugo ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Alex Verdugo’s true offensive skill to be a .318, suggesting that he has been unlucky this year given the .032 deviation between that mark and his actual .286 wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Anthony Volpe in the 84th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Anthony Volpe will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Anthony Volpe has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 94.2-mph over the last week.
In the last 7 days, Anthony Volpe’s 60% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.8%.
Anthony Volpe has compiled a .315 BABIP this year, ranking in the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Wells in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
Austin Wells is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 67% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.
Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge today.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Wells will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Austin Wells has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.8% seasonal rate to 16.7% in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.
Ivan Herrera has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last season’s 26.72 ft/sec to 27.35 ft/sec now (according to Statcast’s Sprint Speed metric).
By putting up a .292 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , Ivan Herrera grades out in the 95th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.
Alec Burleson is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.
Alec Burleson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Marcus Stroman today.
Alec Burleson’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 47.4% on the season to 54.5% in the past two weeks.
Alec Burleson has put up a .286 Expected Batting Average this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Masyn Winn is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.
Masyn Winn has recorded a .278 Expected Batting Average this year, placing in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Ranking in the 87th percentile, Masyn Winn has posted a .281 batting average this year.
Placing in the 75th percentile for power, Benjamin Rice has paced 21.2 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Lars Nootbaar has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luken Baker in the 87th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Luken Baker is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Luken Baker has strong power (87th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Marcus Stroman has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Baker.
Hitters such as Luken Baker with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Marcus Stroman who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.
Over the last week, Luken Baker has displayed impressive power, recording a a 25% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power).
Recording 93.3 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Marcus Stroman places in the 80th percentile.
Austin Wells, the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and Marcus Stroman will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Rice in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
St. Louis grades out as the #4 group of hitters in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (44.1% rate this year).
Victor Scott’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (12.5° in the past 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 8° seasonal mark.
Luken Baker has been hot lately, notching a 93.1-mph average exit velocity over the last week.
As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Ivan Herrera has had some very poor luck this year. His .312 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .350.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Luken Baker has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs lately, hitting balls between 23° and 34° 50% of the time in the past week’s worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Alec Burleson has averaged 26.8 homers per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 85th percentile for power.
Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Yankees
In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report expects the 2nd-best pitching conditions of all games today.
Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 5th-strongest out of every team on the slate today.
Juan Soto has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 20.5% seasonal rate has fallen off to 13.8% in the past 14 days.
Over the last two weeks, Juan Soto’s 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 43.6%.
Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.
Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Typically, bats like Lars Nootbaar who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Marcus Stroman.
Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
Last season, Jazz Chisholm Jr. had a launch angle of 17.6° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this season he experienced a significant decline to just 13.4°.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.311) implies that Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had some very good luck this year with his .327 actual wOBA.
Sonny Gray will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Judge in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Aaron Judge’s true offensive ability to be a .430, indicating that he has had some very good luck this year given the .056 difference between that mark and his actual .486 wOBA.
Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Marcus Stroman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ivan Herrera today.
Ivan Herrera hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 77th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott in the 18th percentile when assessing his home run talent.
Victor Scott is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Extreme groundball batters like Victor Scott generally hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.
Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Scott today.
In today’s game, Brendan Donovan is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35% rate (83rd percentile).
Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brendan Donovan today.
Brendan Donovan’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (9.2°) is considerably worse than his 12.3° mark last season.
Paul Goldschmidt has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in this game.
Marcus Stroman will hold the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Paul Goldschmidt in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks, Paul Goldschmidt’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.4% down to 0%.
Alex Verdugo has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (64% of the time), but he is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Alex Verdugo is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 37.9% rate (94th percentile).
Alex Verdugo’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off lately; his 89.9-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.7-mph in the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.
Marcus Stroman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nolan Arenado today.
Nolan Arenado pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences today.
Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Benjamin Rice is penciled in 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Benjamin Rice hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by the league’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Benjamin Rice has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 16.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the past 7 days.
Hitting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Gleyber Torres faces a tough challenge today.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined this season; his 92.9-mph average last year has lowered to 90.6-mph.
Gleyber Torres’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 90.6-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 87.5-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.
Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.9°, Alex Verdugo has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (6.5°) over the last 14 days.
Anthony Volpe is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in today’s game.
Batting from the same side that Sonny Gray throws from, Anthony Volpe has a tough challenge today.
Anthony Volpe hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Despite posting a .336 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Austin Wells has had positive variance on his side given the .015 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .321.
Alec Burleson has been pinch hit for 10% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.
In today’s matchup, Alec Burleson is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 7th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (79th percentile).
Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Alec Burleson has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 7.3% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the past week.
When estimating his home run ability, Masyn Winn ranks in the 16th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Marcus Stroman will have the handedness advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.
Masyn Winn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 79th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 5th-deepest CF fences today.
Playing on the road generally reduces hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s game.
Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 88.8-mph average last year has dropped to 85.8-mph.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) suggests that Jazz Chisholm Jr. has been lucky this year with his .253 actual batting average.
Over the last week, Benjamin Rice’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 92.8 mph to 86.1 mph.
Grading out in the 22nd percentile for power, Brendan Donovan has hit 11.6 HRs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Hitting from the same side that Marcus Stroman throws from, Luken Baker will have a disadvantage today.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luken Baker today.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) places Marcus Stroman in the 15th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the team with the 4th-least strikeout-heavy lineup in today’s games is the St. Louis Cardinals with a 20.5% underlying K%.
There has been a significant decline in Anthony Volpe’s launch angle from last season’s 14.1° to 7° this season.
Marcus Stroman is an extreme groundball pitcher (50.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT), which should make him somewhat immune to the dangers of pitching in Yankee Stadium — the #5 HR venue among all stadiums — in this game.
St. Louis’s 88.4-mph average exit velocity this year is one of the worst in the game: #22 overall.
Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 89.7-mph EV last year has fallen to 87.4-mph.
Gleyber Torres’s launch angle of late (7.3° in the past two weeks) is a considerable dropoff from his 16.1° seasonal angle.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luken Baker in the 10th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Victor Scott ranks in the 24th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
In the last 14 days, Juan Soto’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 98.9 mph to 96.6 mph.
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