Cardinals vs Twins match player stats Friday, August 23rd 2024. St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins

|
Cardinals vs Twins match player stats Friday, August 23rd 2024. St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins

STL @ MIN

St. Louis Cardinals at Minnesota Twins Cardinals vs TwinsCardinals vs TwinsCardinals vs TwinsCardinals vs TwinsCardinals vs TwinsCardinals vs Twins

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Twins

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Brendan Donovan is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest elevation in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The weather report predicts the 2nd-best hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Brendan Donovan will have an edge in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.

Alec Burleson is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Target Field as the 6th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 84th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Trevor Larnach will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.

The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest out of all the teams today.

Masyn Winn has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 3.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week’s worth of games.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Royce Lewis is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.

Royce Lewis will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

Willson Contreras is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the majors’s 18th-best home run batter.

Matt Wallner has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Matt Wallner will have the upper hand today.

Willi Castro is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Willi Castro will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Last season, Willi Castro had an average launch angle of 11.1° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 14.1°.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, rising from 17.5% on the season to 28.6% in the past week’s worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Alec Burleson will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Trevor Larnach will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edouard Julien as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Edouard Julien will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Edouard Julien will hold that advantage in today’s game.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Nolan Arenado is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage in today’s game.

In the last week, Ryan Jeffers’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.5% up to 25%.

Ryan Jeffers has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 98.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph average.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Victor Scott will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.

Victor Scott has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, upping his 4.3% seasonal rate to 10% in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Alec Burleson ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.

Hitting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge today.

Lars Nootbaar has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.9-mph average to last year’s 89.1-mph EV.

Over the last 14 days, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 94.5-mph of late.

When it comes to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s talent is quite strong, sporting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 76th percentile.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Austin Martin will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Austin Martin has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.7-mph to 91-mph in the past 7 days.

Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, going from 15.1% on the season to 26.7% in the last week.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s judgement, Andre Pallante’s overall pitching talent is in the 76th percentile among all SPs in the game right now.

It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Minnesota Twins offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.

In his previous outing, Andre Pallante performed well and allowed 2 ER.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.

Carlos Santana is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

In the last 7 days, Carlos Santana’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.4% up to 23.5%.

When estimating his home run talent, Ryan Jeffers ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.

As a team, St. Louis Cardinals batters have performed well in regard to hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (between -4° and 26°), placing 5th-best in the majors.

Willson Contreras’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (12°) is significantly higher than his 8.1° figure last year.

Willson Contreras’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, rising from 15% on the season to 31% in the last 14 days.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Matt Wallner has a ton of pop (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (35.3% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Wallner.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Victor Scott has had bad variance on his side this year. His .159 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .264.

Carlos Santana has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

Edouard Julien’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (19.9°) is a significant increase over his 16.9° figure last season.

When it comes to plate discipline, Austin Martin’s skill is quite impressive, posting a 1.74 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 88th percentile.

In terms of his home runs, Tommy Pham has suffered from bad luck this year. His 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been considerably lower than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 15.5.

With a .321 BABIP this year, Tommy Pham grades out in the 79th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts David Festa in the 87th percentile when assessing his strikeout skill.

Among all starters, David Festa’s fastball velocity of 94.4 mph ranks in the 77th percentile this year.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Twins

Among all parks, the 5th-highest fence height (on average) are at Target Field.

Brendan Donovan has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Last season, Brendan Donovan had a launch angle of 12.3° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 8.8°.

Over the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to measure power).

Alec Burleson has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson today.

Alec Burleson has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph dropping to 87.5-mph over the last 7 days.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (19.0) may lead us to conclude that Alec Burleson has had some very good luck this year with his 27.9 actual HR/600.

When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Trevor Larnach has been pulled from the game early 41% of the time.

The 10th-deepest centerfield fences in the league are found in Target Field.

In the last 14 days, Trevor Larnach’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (2.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 11.7°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 19th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Masyn Winn will have a disadvantage in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Royce Lewis in today’s game.

Royce Lewis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 96th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Royce Lewis’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.9-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 87.1-mph in the past week’s worth of games.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (40.3) suggests that Royce Lewis has had some very good luck this year with his 47.1 actual HR/600.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Willson Contreras will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Willson Contreras’s exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 87.5-mph in the last 7 days.

Willson Contreras has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .365 rate is a good deal higher than his .342 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

This year, Matt Wallner has been pinch hit for in 31% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

In the past week, Matt Wallner’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 27.1% down to 0%.

In the past 7 days, Matt Wallner’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Willi Castro’s average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 87.2-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 82.6-mph in the last 7 days.

Willi Castro has averaged 11.3 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 21st percentile for power.

Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, going from 48.3% on the season to 21.4% over the last week.

Edouard Julien is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Edouard Julien has been pulled from the game early 33% of the time.

Edouard Julien has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Edouard Julien grades out in the 22nd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .210.

Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (93% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this game.

Hitting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Tommy Pham will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Tommy Pham will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

When estimating his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Andre Pallante in the 10th percentile among all SPs in Major League Baseball.

Willson Contreras, the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game, grades out as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andre Pallante will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 5th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

Batting from the same side that David Festa throws from, Nolan Arenado faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 11th-deepest LF fences today.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.

Ryan Jeffers’s BABIP ability is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ryan Jeffers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (64% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.

Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Jeffers in today’s game.

Today, Ryan Jeffers is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.4% rate (89th percentile).

Over the last week, Ryan Jeffers’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17.1%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott in the 17th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Victor Scott is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

Victor Scott hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 82nd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences today.

Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Victor Scott in today’s game.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Victor Scott ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Victor Scott’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.2-mph seasonal average has dropped off to 87.2-mph in the last 14 days.

Lars Nootbaar is penciled in 6th in the lineup today.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 98th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Lars Nootbaar in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar’s 5.6° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the lowest in the league: 5th percentile.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has declined this season; his 88.8-mph figure last year has fallen to 85.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Martin in the 5th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Austin Martin is projected to bat 9th in the batting order in this game.

Austin Martin has been pulled from the game early 12% of the time when starting against a right-handed starter this year.

Andre Pallante will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Martin today.

Target Field ranks as the #7 field in the league for BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Andre Pallante’s high usage percentage of his fastball (68.9% this year) is likely weakening his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.

Royce Lewis has been lucky this year, putting up a .380 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .041 difference.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.4) may lead us to conclude that Edouard Julien has been lucky this year with his 19.1 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Andre Pallante, Carlos Santana has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .329 figure is considerably higher than his .303 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Austin Martin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 89th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 10th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.

In the last 7 days, Austin Martin’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 17%.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, David Festa’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 76th percentile among all starters in Major League Baseball currently.

Home field advantage generally bolsters pitcher metrics across the board, and David Festa will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

David Festa was rolling in his last game started and allowed 2 ER.

Despite posting a .322 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Willi Castro has had some very good luck given the .021 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .301.

By putting up a .255 BABIP this year, Carlos Santana grades out in the 13th percentile.

In terms of his batting average, Matt Wallner has had positive variance on his side since the start of last season. His .252 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .220.

Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 89.7-mph mark last season has lowered to 87.5-mph.

Masyn Winn has been lucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .292 — a .029 discrepancy.

Over the last two weeks, Tommy Pham’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, David Festa is projected to throw 79 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least of all pitchers on the slate today.

The St. Louis Cardinals (20.5 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) project to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone group of batters on the slate today.

Considering the 1.12 gap between David Festa’s 10.74 K/9 and his 9.62 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in the majors this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see worse results going forward.

Latest Minnesota Twins Match Player Stats

Latest St. Louis Cardinals Match Player Stats