
PHI @ KC




Positive Match Player Stats for Phillies vs Royals
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
The #2 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Among all stadiums, Kauffman Stadium has the 10th-lowest average fence height.
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is projected to have the hottest temperature on the slate today at 86°.
Batting from the opposite that Taijuan Walker throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Adam Frazier will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Michael Massey is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Michael Massey will have the handedness advantage against Taijuan Walker today.
Kyle Isbel will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today.
Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
The 4th-best projected lineup on the slate today in terms of overall hitting ability belongs to the Philadelphia Phillies.
The #1 venue in the league for boosting walks, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Out of all SPs, Michael Wacha’s fastball spin rate of 2128 rpm ranks in the 19th percentile this year.
Taijuan Walker’s slider percentage has increased by 7.1% from last year to this one (2.8% to 9.9%) .
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 91st percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
Salvador Perez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Nick Castellanos ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Nick Castellanos has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.
Nick Castellanos’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 15% to 18.5%.
Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Michael Wacha in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
MJ Melendez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Vinnie Pasquantino ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
In the last 14 days, Johan Rojas’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 85.9-mph over the course of the season to 90.2-mph of late.
J.T. Realmuto’s BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, J.T. Realmuto has had bad variance on his side this year. His .304 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .330.
The Kansas City Royals have been the 9th-luckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to negatively regress in the future, Placing 4th-least steep in MLB this year, Kansas City Royals bats jointly have compiled a 11.8° launch angle on their hardest-contacted balls (a reliable metric to study power ability).
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in Major League Baseball.
Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
When assessing his BABIP talent, Brandon Marsh is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
When assessing his batting average talent, Trea Turner is projected as the 17th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Trea Turner is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.
Bobby Witt Jr. projects as the 10th-best hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bobby Witt Jr. as the 4th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average ability.
Adam Frazier has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 88-mph average in the past week’s worth of games to his seasonal 84.1-mph average.
The Philadelphia Phillies have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Brandon Marsh, Kyle Schwarber, Weston Wilson).
Michael Wacha was rolling in his last start and posted 9 strikeouts.
Michael Wacha’s fastball velocity has jumped 1.5 mph this season (92.9 mph) over where it was last year (91.4 mph).
This year, Michael Wacha has introduced a new pitch to his repertoire (a slider), mixing it in on 8.7% of his pitches.
Generating 17.3 outs per outing this year on average, Michael Wacha checks in at the 80th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Salvador Perez in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
J.T. Realmuto’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, increasing from 44.7% on the season to 66.7% over the last week.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in MLB.
Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Brandon Marsh will have the upper hand in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.
Trea Turner has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 97.1-mph in the past 7 days.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, MJ Melendez ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Over the last week, Brandon Marsh’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.5% up to 33.3%.
Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Maikel Garcia will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
Maikel Garcia’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.5% to 16.5%.
Negative Match Player Stats with Phillies vs Royals
In today’s game, Bryson Stott is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 41% rate (98th percentile).
Among every team on the slate today, the 4th-best infield defense is that of the Kansas City Royals.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Bryson Stott in today’s game.
Bryson Stott’s average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls in recent games (4.8° over the last two weeks) is significantly worse than his 11.7° seasonal figure.
Utilizing Statcast metrics, Bryson Stott grades out in the 15th percentile for power via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year at 10.000.
As it relates to his home run skill, Adam Frazier ranks in the 4th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Adam Frazier is penciled in 7th in the lineup in this game.
When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Adam Frazier has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 31% of the time.
The deepest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Kauffman Stadium.
Adam Frazier’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 18.9% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Massey in the 19th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.
Michael Massey pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Michael Massey has struggled with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.9% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
Michael Massey has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .317 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .301 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Michael Massey has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.56 K/BB rate.
Kyle Isbel’s BABIP skill is projected in the 22nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Kyle Isbel is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this game.
Kyle Isbel has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 17% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.
Kyle Isbel has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph dropping to 77.4-mph over the past 7 days.
The #6 stadium in the game for suppressing home runs to lefties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.6% — 98th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kyle Schwarber in today’s matchup.
Kyle Schwarber’s launch angle of late (1.9° over the past 7 days) is considerably worse than his 15.6° seasonal mark.
Kyle Schwarber’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off from last season to this one, decreasing from 17.5% to 13.1%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Michael Wacha’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 78th percentile out of all starting pitchers in the game currently.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Michael Wacha will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In his previous start, Michael Wacha performed well and gave up 0 ER.
When assessing his strikeout ability, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Taijuan Walker in the 15th percentile among all starting pitchers in Major League Baseball.
Via the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Kansas City Royals with a 20.3% underlying K%.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), J.T. Realmuto (the Phillies’s expected catcher in today’s game) is considered to be a weak pitch framer.
The #1 ballpark in the game for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.
Kauffman Stadium projects as the #25 ballpark in the game for RHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Salvador Perez encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.
Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 93rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Over the past 7 days, Salvador Perez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.4% down to 5.9%.
Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest fences among all major league stadiums — generally bad for HRs.
Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Nick Castellanos will not have the upper hand today.
Nick Castellanos will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Nick Castellanos has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 7.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.
When it comes to his home run talent, Bryson Stott ranks in the 22nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
This year, MJ Melendez has been pinch hit for in 16% of his appearances when starting against righty hurler.
MJ Melendez pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s deepest RF fences in today’s matchup.
In the past 7 days, MJ Melendez’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.5% down to 0%.
MJ Melendez’s average exit velocity has fallen off this year; his 93.2-mph figure last season has fallen off to 90.8-mph.
In the last week, MJ Melendez’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.2%.
Vinnie Pasquantino pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s deepest RF fences in today’s game.
Compared to his seasonal mark of 15.4°, Vinnie Pasquantino has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-0.5°) over the last 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adam Frazier in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
Maikel Garcia has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (83% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in today’s game.
Hitting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Maikel Garcia faces a tough challenge in today’s game.
In today’s matchup, Maikel Garcia is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 39% rate (96th percentile).
Maikel Garcia’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 92.7-mph average last year has dropped off to 90-mph.
Maikel Garcia has paced 8.1 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, checking in at the 10th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Sporting a .262 BABIP this year, Vinnie Pasquantino is positioned in the 17th percentile.
When it comes to his home run ability, Johan Rojas ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Johan Rojas is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
Hitting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, Johan Rojas will not have the upper hand today.
Johan Rojas hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 80th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 4th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
Batting from the same side that Michael Wacha throws from, J.T. Realmuto will not have the upper hand today.
J.T. Realmuto has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will be challenged by the game’s deepest RF fences today.
Playing on the road typically lessens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for J.T. Realmuto in today’s matchup.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s assessment, Taijuan Walker’s overall pitching talent is in the 24th percentile out of all SPs in the majors right now.
Bryce Harper has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) but may find it hard to clear the game’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
In the last week’s worth of games, Bryce Harper’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.6% down to 0%.
Bryce Harper’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 94.1-mph seasonal mark has lowered to 83.7-mph in the last week.
Brandon Marsh is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Brandon Marsh has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Marsh in today’s matchup.
In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Brandon Marsh’s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 19.4%.
Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage over Trea Turner in today’s game.
Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
This season, there has been a decline in Trea Turner’s footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 30.23 ft/sec last year to 29.35 ft/sec currently.
Batting from the same side that Taijuan Walker throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will be in a tough position today.
In today’s game, Bobby Witt Jr. is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 35.8% rate (88th percentile).
Bobby Witt Jr. has been lucky this year, posting a .424 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .377 — a .047 difference.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johan Rojas in the 16th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.
In terms of his batting average, Salvador Perez has experienced some positive variance this year. His .276 BA has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.
Trea Turner has been cold recently, posting a 2.7% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power) over the past two weeks.
With a .256 BABIP this year, Bryson Stott grades out in the 13th percentile.
When it comes to his home run ability, Maikel Garcia ranks in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ranking in the 10th percentile, Maikel Garcia sits with a .267 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) this year.
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