Cardinals @ Reds Series Game 2 Matchup Details

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Series Game 2 Game Today

Alec Burleson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Alec Burleson is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The #9 field in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,Alec Burleson will have the handedness advantage over Chase Petty in today’s matchup.

,Alec Burleson has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

,The #1 park in Major League Baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best field in baseball for right-handed batting average.

,Pedro Pages has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past week’s worth of games, Pedro Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability.

,Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.

,The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Kyle Leahy.

,Elly De La Cruz has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.5% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy doesn’t generate many whiffs (21st percentile K%) — great news for De La Cruz.

,The #1 park in the majors for boosting home runs to RHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

,Tyler Stephenson has big-time power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy doesn’t generate many whiffs (18th percentile K%) — great news for Stephenson.

,Tyler Stephenson has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Stephenson will hold that advantage today.

,When assessing his home run skill, Jordan Walker ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,The 8th-shallowest left field dimensions among all stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park.

,Jordan Walker has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s always far from assured (27.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty struggles to strike batters out (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Walker.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sal Stewart in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.

,Sal Stewart is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

,Sal Stewart has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,Sal Stewart will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run ability.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, JJ Bleday will have an edge today.

,JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Wetherholt in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,JJ Wetherholt is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball are found in Great American Ball Park.

,JJ Wetherholt will have the handedness advantage over Chase Petty in today’s matchup.

,When assessing his home run ability, Nolan Gorman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Nolan Gorman is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.

,Batting from the opposite that Chase Petty throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (94th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (31.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Chase Petty is a pitch-to-contact type (7th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.

,When estimating his overall offensive skill, Sal Stewart ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Over the past week, Masyn Winn’s 70% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 48%.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.

,Tyler Stephenson’s launch angle this season (20.6°) is quite a bit better than his 12.8° mark last season.

,JJ Bleday will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

,Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.

,Ivan Herrera has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

,Using Statcast metrics, Ivan Herrera ranks in the 92nd percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .367.

,When assessing his overall offensive ability, Spencer Steer ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today’s game.

,Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Elly De La Cruz has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

,When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jordan Walker ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

,Jordan Walker has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 11.2% rate last year to 16.4% this year.

,Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Leahy throws from, Will Benson will have an edge in today’s game.

,Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today’s game.

,Will Benson has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 13.3% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Will Benson in the 89th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

,Will Benson has strong power (89th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (30.4% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Kyle Leahy struggles to strike batters out (9th percentile K%) — great news for Benson.

,Matt McLain is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Matt McLain will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Compared to last year, Matt McLain has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16% to 22.1% this season.

,Victor Scott II will hold the platoon advantage against Chase Petty today.

,Victor Scott II has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.

,In the past two weeks, Victor Scott II’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.1-mph of late.

,Victor Scott II’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 47.4% on the season to 72.7% over the last 7 days.

,Victor Scott II has been unlucky this year, posting a .225 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .274 — a .049 gap.

,Nolan Gorman pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 100-mph over the last 7 days.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Series Game 2 Game Today

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pedro Pages in the 11th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

,Pedro Pages is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in this matchup.

,Pedro Pages has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 11% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,Chase Petty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Pedro Pages in today’s matchup.

,Elly De La Cruz has been lucky this year, posting a .376 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .046 disparity.

,Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Hitting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Tyler Stephenson faces a tough challenge in today’s game.

,Over the past 7 days, Tyler Stephenson’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 12.3% down to 0%.

,Tyler Stephenson’s average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 89.9-mph seasonal mark has fallen to 83.4-mph in the past two weeks’ worth of games.

,Hitting from the same side that Chase Petty throws from, Jordan Walker will be in a tough position in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jordan Walker in today’s game.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive skill to be a .334, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .061 gap between that mark and his actual .395 wOBA.

,Posting a .208 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Jordan Walker is ranked in the 7th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 23rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.

,Masyn Winn is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game.

,Chase Petty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Masyn Winn in today’s game.

,Playing on the road typically diminishes batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Masyn Winn in today’s matchup.

,Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 89.6-mph figure last season has dropped to 84.5-mph.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Sal Stewart has a tough challenge in today’s matchup.

,Over the last 7 days, Sal Stewart’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 17.1% down to 10%.

,JJ Bleday has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a righty on the mound this year.

,JJ Bleday has been lucky this year, putting up a .430 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .097 difference.

,Based on Statcast data, JJ Bleday is in the 5th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

,Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for JJ Wetherholt in today’s matchup.

,Ranking in the 22nd percentile, JJ Wetherholt sports a .259 BABIP this year.

,Playing on the road generally lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Nolan Gorman in today’s game.

,Nolan Gorman’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 18.9% to 14.7%.

,Nolan Gorman has recorded a .288 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 16th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Based on Statcast data, Tyler Stephenson ranks in the 24th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .230.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects JJ Bleday in the 10th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.

,When it comes to his batting average, JJ Bleday has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His .229 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .176.

,Grading out in the 14th percentile, JJ Bleday sports a .263 BABIP since the start of last season.

,Posting a .199 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Nolan Gorman finds himself in the 3rd percentile.

,Chase Petty will hold the platoon advantage over Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

,Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ivan Herrera in today’s matchup.

,In the past 14 days, Ivan Herrera’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 90.7 mph to 88.1 mph.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 7.5°, Ivan Herrera has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,Ivan Herrera’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 13.1% to 8.3%.

,Batting from the same side that Kyle Leahy throws from, Spencer Steer will be in a tough position in today’s game.

,Spencer Steer has been lucky this year, posting a .342 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .318 — a .024 gap.

,In notching a .218 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season , Spencer Steer is ranked in the 12th percentile.

,Will Benson’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 20th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,Will Benson is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

,When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Will Benson has been pulled from the game early 52% of the time.

,In the past two weeks’ worth of games, Will Benson’s 27.3% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 33.3%.

,Grading out in the 15th percentile, Will Benson has put up a .282 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) since the start of last season.

,In notching a .206 batting average since the start of last season, Will Benson finds himself in the 6th percentile.

,Kyle Leahy will hold the platoon advantage over Matt McLain in today’s matchup.

,In the past week, Matt McLain’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.9% down to 0%.

,With a .286 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt McLain has performed in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

,Matt McLain has put up a .216 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Ranking in the 21st percentile, Matt McLain sports a .256 BABIP this year.

,Posting a .298 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) since the start of last season, Spencer Steer grades out in the 23rd percentile for offensive skills.

,In notching a .273 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season, Jordan Walker finds himself in the 8th percentile for offensive skills.

,Masyn Winn’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.8% to 11.4%.

,Compared to his seasonal figure of 15.7°, JJ Wetherholt has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (12.3°) in the last two weeks’ worth of games.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott II in the 11th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.

,Victor Scott II is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

,26% of the time that Victor Scott II has started against a righty on the mound this year, he has been pulled from the game early.

,Victor Scott II will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.

,Victor Scott II’s launch angle this year (5.6°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.8° angle last year.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 8th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

,Matt McLain has averaged 12.4 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, checking in at the 22nd percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

,Placing in the 25th percentile, Matt McLain has put up a .333 Slugging Percentage (SLG) this year.

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