Cardinals vs Reds match player stats | 2026 Saturday, May 23rd

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STL @ CIN

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Cardinals @ Reds Matchup Details

Teams : St. Louis Cardinals at Cincinnati Reds

Date : Todays Game is on Saturday, May 23rd
Time : 23/05/26 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positives for the St. Louis Cardinals Game Today

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jordan Walker, Pedro Pages, Nolan Gorman).

,Home field advantage typically improves pitcher metrics across the board, and Chris Paddack will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

,Chris Paddack’s higher utilization rate of his secondary pitches this year (58.4% vs. 50.9% last season) ought to work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.

,JJ Bleday is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.

,Great American Ball Park profiles as the #1 field in the game for lefty home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, JJ Bleday will have the upper hand in today’s game.

,JJ Bleday pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

,The Cincinnati Reds have 5 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz, Will Benson, Blake Dunn).

,Pedro Pages, the Cardinals’s expected catcher in today’s game, projects as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

,Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Andre Pallante has gone to his secondary offerings 7.5% more often this year (50.3%) than he did last season (42.8%).

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average.

Negatives with the Cincinnati Reds Game Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Paddack in the 15th percentile when estimating his strikeout talent.

,According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-most suitable for hitting of all games today.

,Chris Paddack’s 92.2-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 22nd percentile among all starting pitchers.

,Chris Paddack’s 2192-rpm fastball spin rate this year is in the 19th percentile among all starters.

,Chris Paddack has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, compiling a 7.57 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 6.80 — a 0.77 K/9 deviation.

,JJ Bleday’s BABIP skill is projected in the 10th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

,JJ Bleday has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 18% of the time when starting against a righty hurler this year.

,When it comes to his batting average, JJ Bleday has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .229 rate has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .176.

,Based on Statcast metrics, JJ Bleday is in the 5th percentile for hitting ability via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .263.

,By putting up a .263 BABIP since the start of last season, JJ Bleday grades out in the 14th percentile.

,The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Andre Pallante in the 19th percentile when estimating his strikeout ability.

,Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andre Pallante in today’s matchup.

,With a 0.45 disparity between Andre Pallante’s 7.35 K/9 and his 6.90 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year as it relates to strikeouts and should see negative regression in the future.

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