Cardinals vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 World Series Game 2 Sunday, April 6th

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Cardinals vs Red Sox match player stats | 2025 World Series Game 2 Sunday, April 6th

STL @ BOS

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World Series Game 2 Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at Boston Red Sox
Series Game 2
Todays Game is on Sunday, April 6th
06/04/25 13:35:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Red Sox Series Game 2 Matchup Today

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

Fenway Park profiles as the #10 park in MLB for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Hitting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have an advantage in today’s game.

Wilyer Abreu pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Extreme groundball bats like Wilyer Abreu usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 8th-best field in the game for lefty batting average.

Fenway Park ranks as the #3 ballpark in Major League Baseball for run-scoring, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park projects as the #10 venue in baseball for right-handed home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences among all parks.

Ceddanne Rafaela will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.7) provides evidence that Ceddanne Rafaela has been unlucky since the start of last season with his 15.0 actual HR/600.

Ceddanne Rafaela has done a strong job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.2° angle is among the highest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (90th percentile).

The #8 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The 2nd-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Fenway Park.

Victor Scott has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs in recent games, striking balls between 23° and 34° 28.6% of the time in the last 7 days.

Victor Scott has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .243 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .286 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Projected catcher Connor Wong profiles as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Fenway Park as the 2nd-best field in the game for batting average.

St. Louis has been the #2 team in the game when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle span that tends to best-produce base hits (44.5% rate since the start of last season).

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Kristian Campbell ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Kristian Campbell will possess the home field advantage in today’s game, which should bolster all of his stats.

In the past 7 days, Kristian Campbell has displayed impressive power, recording a a 14.3% Barrel% (a reliable standard to assess power).

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Kristian Campbell is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.

Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante today.

Rafael Devers has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.2%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Willson Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Willson Contreras will have the upper hand in today’s game.

Willson Contreras has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.

Nolan Arenado will have the handedness advantage over Sean Newcomb today.

Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

In terms of plate discipline, Nolan Arenado’s talent is quite good, putting up a 1.95 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 77th percentile.

Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.

Bats such as Trevor Story with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Andre Pallante who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Alex Bregman is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.

Alex Bregman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Extreme groundball batters like Alex Bregman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Andre Pallante.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Rob Refsnyder will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Rob Refsnyder’s BABIP talent is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher stats across the board, and Sean Newcomb will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today’s game.

Connor Wong has been lifting the ball well of late, putting up a 38° launch angle in the past week’s worth of games.

Connor Wong has been unlucky in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.4 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is significantly deflated relative to his 18.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Connor Wong has compiled a .331 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Ivan Herrera will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb in today’s matchup.

When estimating his home run talent, Triston Casas ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Triston Casas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.

Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andre Pallante in today’s game.

Triston Casas has strong power (90th percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (27.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Andre Pallante has a pitch-to-contact profile (24th percentile K%) — great news for Casas.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Triston Casas in the 77th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.

Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today.

Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest LF fences today.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jarren Duran ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today.

Lars Nootbaar hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last week’s worth of games, Lars Nootbaar’s maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 112.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luken Baker in the 88th percentile when assessing his home run talent.

Luken Baker is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.

Luken Baker will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sean Newcomb today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Luken Baker are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sean Newcomb.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand today.

Placing in the 78th percentile for power, Pedro Pages has hit 21.8 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.

Pedro Pages has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (an important talent for batting average), placing in the 97th percentile in THE BAT X’s Spray Score since the start of last season.

Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, David Hamilton will have the upper hand in today’s game.

David Hamilton has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences today.

David Hamilton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

David Hamilton has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .298 rate is quite a bit lower than his .314 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Considering that flyball hitters have a substantial advantage over groundball pitchers, Andre Pallante and his 59.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard spot today matching up with 0 opposing GB hitters.

Playing on the road generally lowers pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Andre Pallante in today’s game.

Checking in at the 7th percentile, Andre Pallante has posted a 1.57 K/BB rate since the start of last season.

The Boston Red Sox have 3 hitters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Trevor Story, Triston Casas, Connor Wong).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 78th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.

Alec Burleson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.

Alec Burleson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s shallowest LF fences today.

Alec Burleson’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Alec Burleson is positioned in the 87th percentile.

Brendan Donovan’s batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s shallowest LF fences in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .332 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .353 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Brendan Donovan grades out in the 80th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (45.7% rate since the start of last season).

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Brendan Donovan has been hot recently, compiling a a 15.8% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Batting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Jordan Walker will have an advantage in today’s matchup.

Jordan Walker hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

In the last week, Jordan Walker’s maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 115.8-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Since the start of last season, the hardest ball Jordan Walker has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 116.5 mph (a reliable metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 98th percentile.

Hitting from the opposite that Sean Newcomb throws from, Masyn Winn will have an edge today.

Masyn Winn hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game’s 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Compiling a 95.2-mph average exit velocity over the past 7 days, Masyn Winn has been in great form recently.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.280) implies that Masyn Winn has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .263 actual batting average.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Red Sox Series Game 2

Wilyer Abreu is penciled in 6th in the lineup in this game.

The league’s 2nd-tallest average fence height can be found at Fenway Park.

Fenway Park’s altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which tends to lead to worse offense.

Wilyer Abreu has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .355 rate is inflated compared to his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.232) implies that Wilyer Abreu has been lucky since the start of last season with his .266 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Ceddanne Rafaela ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Ceddanne Rafaela is penciled in 9th in the lineup in today’s game.

Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ceddanne Rafaela today.

Putting up a 3° launch angle over the past week suggests that Ceddanne Rafaela has been finding it challenging to lift the ball in recent games, which is a key component of hitting for power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Scott in the 18th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.

Victor Scott is penciled in 8th in the batting order in this game.

Sean Newcomb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Victor Scott in today’s matchup.

Typically, bats like Victor Scott who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Sean Newcomb.

It may be best to expect worse results for the St. Louis Cardinals offense going forward, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 7th-luckiest offense in MLB since the start of last season.

The Boston Red Sox outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-best among all the teams today.

St. Louis Cardinals bats as a group rank 27th- in MLB for power since the start of last season when judging by their 7% Barrel%.

Kristian Campbell is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game.

Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kristian Campbell in today’s game.

In the last two weeks’ worth of games, Kristian Campbell has been exhibiting poor exit velocity numbers, with an average of only 79.7-mph on his flyballs.

Kristian Campbell has struggled to lift the ball of late, notching a 2.3° launch angle in the last two weeks.

Rafael Devers’s footspeed has dropped off this season. His 26.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.43 ft/sec now.

Rafael Devers has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly of late, putting up a -5.8° angle on such balls over the last 14 days.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Rafael Devers has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season. His .358 figure has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .341.

Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (23.4) provides evidence that Rafael Devers has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his 26.3 actual HR/600.

Playing on the road typically reduces hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Willson Contreras today.

Willson Contreras has been cold lately, posting a 0% Barrel% (a reliable standard to evaluate power) in the past 7 days.

Willson Contreras has had some very good luck with his home runs since the start of last season; his 23.2 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 19.3 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Nolan Arenado has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to assess power).

Over the past week, Nolan Arenado’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 0% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 8th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.

Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Story in today’s game.

Over the past 14 days, Trevor Story’s swing has not been well optimized for home runs, hitting a mere 7.1% of his balls with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Trevor Story has been lucky in regards to with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .318 rate is quite a bit higher than his .272 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Alex Bregman will have a tough matchup today.

Alex Bregman has experienced some positive variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 24.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is significantly inflated relative to his 19.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Alex Bregman’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 109.1 mph since the start of last season, placing in the 23rd percentile.

Andre Pallante will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rob Refsnyder today.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.339) provides evidence that Rob Refsnyder has experienced some positive variance since the start of last season with his .360 actual wOBA.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Rob Refsnyder and his 11.7% rank in the 21st percentile since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.265) provides evidence that Rob Refsnyder has been very fortunate since the start of last season with his .287 actual batting average.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Sean Newcomb’s overall pitching ability ranks in the 16th percentile among all starters in the game right now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Sean Newcomb to be on a bit of a short leash today, projecting a maximum of 79 pitches.

The #8 ballpark in the majors for suppressing strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.

The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the handedness advantage over Sean Newcomb in this game.

Connor Wong is projected to bat 8th in the batting order in this game.

Hitting from the same side that Andre Pallante throws from, Connor Wong meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Connor Wong’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 94.7-mph seasonal average has fallen to 77.8-mph in the last week’s worth of games.

Connor Wong has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) over the last 7 days.

Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ivan Herrera today.

This season, there has been a decline in Triston Casas’s speed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 24.07 ft/sec last year to 22.99 ft/sec currently.

Putting up a lowly an 81.9-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days, Triston Casas has been in a slump recently.

When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Triston Casas has been very fortunate since the start of last season. His .331 rate has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .282.

Jarren Duran’s speed has dropped off this season. His 29.6 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.6 ft/sec now.

In the last 14 days, Jarren Duran has not been doing well in optimizing the launch angle on his hardest hit balls to generate power, managing a mere a 4.3° angle.

Hitting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Lars Nootbaar meets a tough challenge in today’s game.

Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s game.

In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Lars Nootbaar ranks in just the 8th percentile with a 7.2° launch angle, which is one of the lowest angles in the game.

Luken Baker will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.

Luken Baker’s BABIP ability is projected in the 11th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Luken Baker is an extreme flyball batter and squares off against the strong outfield defense of Boston (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 7th in the batting order today.

Pedro Pages will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

Pedro Pages has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 21.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is inflated compared to his 10.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Pedro Pages really struggles to hit the ball hard. If you were to take the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (102 mph) rate him as one of the league’s worst: in the 19th percentile since the start of last season.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected wOBA (.255) provides evidence that Pedro Pages has had some very good luck since the start of last season with his .296 actual wOBA.

David Hamilton’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 21st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

David Hamilton is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a righty on the mound since the start of last season, David Hamilton has been pinch hit for 23% of the time.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects David Hamilton in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.

Since the start of last season, David Hamilton’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to assess power) ranks in the 5th percentile at 87.6 mph.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT)’s appraisal, Andre Pallante’s overall pitching ability is in the 76th percentile among all starting pitchers in the majors right now.

The Boston Red Sox have been the 7th-luckiest offense in the game since the start of last season, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to perform worse in future games,Andre Pallante has recorded an 8.7% Swinging Strike rate since the start of last season, placing in the 13th percentile.

As it relates to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) puts Andre Pallante in the 9th percentile among all starters in MLB.

Sean Newcomb will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alec Burleson today.

Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Over the past week, Alec Burleson has failed to produce much power, posting a mere a 0% Barrel% (a reliable metric to study power).

Alec Burleson’s speed has declined this season. His 25.48 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 22.58 ft/sec now.

Brendan Donovan has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (71% of the time), but he is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.

Batting from the same side that Sean Newcomb throws from, Brendan Donovan has a tough challenge in today’s game.

Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.

Jordan Walker is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

Jordan Walker will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.

Jordan Walker has not been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° just 26.7% of the time over the past 14 days.

Jordan Walker has been optimizing his launch angle on his hardest hit balls quite poorly lately, compiling a 4.8° angle on such balls in the past 14 days.

Masyn Winn is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

Masyn Winn’s 88.3-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) grades out in the 8th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 24th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.

Latest Boston Red Sox Match Player Stats

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