Cardinals vs Blue Jays match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3

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Cardinals vs Blue Jays match player stats Sunday, September 15th 2024. St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays Series Game 3

STL @ TOR

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Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details

St. Louis Cardinals at Toronto Blue Jays
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Sunday, September 15th
15/09/24 13:37:00 PM EST First Pitch

Positive Match Player Stats for Cardinals vs Blue Jays Series Game 3 Matchup Today

Rogers Centre grades out as the #7 venue in MLB for lefty home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Rogers Centre has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in MLB.

Addison Barger will hold the platoon advantage over Miles Mikolas in today’s game.

Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Addison Barger will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Addison Barger has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 94-mph average in the past two weeks’ worth of games to his seasonal 88.3-mph EV.

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.

Rogers Centre projects as the #7 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Over the last week, Nolan Arenado’s exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.9-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph lately.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased of late, going from 14.2% on the season to 30% over the last week.

Jordan Walker’s BABIP talent is projected in the 86th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences today.

Jordan Walker has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal average of 93.2-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Jordan Walker’s true offensive talent to be a .309, implying that he has been unlucky this year given the .079 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .230 wOBA.

Thomas Saggese hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the last 7 days, Thomas Saggese’s maximum exit velocity (a good indicator of recent form and raw power) has been 108.4-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB.

Thomas Saggese has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 62.5% of the time in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his batting average talent.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 94.1-mph average to last year’s 92.1-mph mark.

Thomas Saggese has been zeroed in on the ideal launch angle for home runs recently, striking balls between 23° and 34° 25% of the time over the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects George Springer in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.

George Springer is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today’s game.

George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 94th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.

Hitting from the opposite that Chris Bassitt throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have an edge in today’s matchup.

Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.

Over the past week, Lars Nootbaar’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.1% up to 22.2%.

Nolan Arenado’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, rising from 45.3% on the season to 64.3% over the last two weeks.

Masyn Winn is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.

In the past week, Masyn Winn’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.3% up to 11.1%.

Masyn Winn has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.1-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 86.7-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Paul Goldschmidt ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Paul Goldschmidt has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.

Alec Burleson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.

Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Bassitt today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alejandro Kirk in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.

Alejandro Kirk will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 8.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 17.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

In the last week, Masyn Winn’s 44.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.3%.

Spencer Horwitz’s batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game.

Spencer Horwitz will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today’s matchup.

Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.

Phil Cuzzi projects as a Huge Pitchers Umpire and is likely to be behind the plate in this game.

With 6 hitters who share the same handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Yariel Rodriguez ought to benefit from holding the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this outing.

Alec Burleson’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Utilizing Statcast metrics, Jordan Walker grades out in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .265.

In the past 7 days, Pedro Pages’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 20%.

Pedro Pages has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 98.5-mph in the last week.

Over the past two weeks, Pedro Pages’s 38.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.7%.

When assessing his overall offensive skill, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 95th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.

Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.

Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage against Chris Bassitt in today’s matchup.

In the past week, Brendan Donovan’s Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.1% up to 14.3%.

George Springer has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 96-mph average in the last week’s worth of games to his seasonal average of 93.3-mph.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ernie Clement’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).

Ernie Clement is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.

Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ernie Clement will hold that advantage in today’s game.

When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Ernie Clement and his 19.8% rank in the 93rd percentile this year.

Despite posting a .288 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky given the .030 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .318.

By putting up a 1.47 K/BB rate this year, Alejandro Kirk has displayed impressive plate discipline, placing in the 94th percentile.

In notching a .278 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Alec Burleson finds himself in the 88th percentile.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Brendan Donovan ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).

The #9 park in Major League Baseball for boosting strikeouts, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Yariel Rodriguez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Horwitz in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.

Paul Goldschmidt has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.7-mph to 98.7-mph over the last two weeks.

In his last game started, Miles Mikolas allowed a monstrous 6 earned runs.

Toronto ranks as the #6 club in MLB when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (16.3% rate this year).

Lars Nootbaar’s average exit velocity has dropped off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 86.6-mph over the past 7 days.

Addison Barger has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .208 figure is deflated compared to his .248 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.

Negative Match Player Stats with Cardinals vs Blue Jays Series Game 3

Addison Barger is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.

This year, Addison Barger has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 12% of his appearances when starting against northpaw.

The league’s 8th-highest fences can be found at Rogers Centre.

This contest is expected to have the 3rd-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Addison Barger has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week’s worth of games.

Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Nolan Arenado will have a tough matchup in today’s game.

Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.

Nolan Arenado’s average exit velocity has decreased this year; his 88.8-mph figure last season has decreased to 86.1-mph.

Jordan Walker is projected to hit 9th on the lineup card in today’s game.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Jordan Walker has been pulled from the game early 21% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Jordan Walker will be in a tough position today.

Thomas Saggese is projected to bat 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Chris Bassitt will have the handedness advantage over Thomas Saggese in today’s matchup.

The Toronto Blue Jays outfield defense profiles as the 4th-strongest out of all the teams playing today.

Rogers Centre profiles as the #21 stadium in the majors for righty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).

Miles Mikolas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Vladimir Guerrero Jr. in today’s game.

There has been a significant decline in Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s launch angle from last season’s 10.2° to 6.9° this season.

Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Thomas Saggese today.

Miles Mikolas will have the handedness advantage over George Springer in today’s game.

George Springer’s launch angle this season (8.7°) is significantly worse than his 11.8° figure last season.

George Springer has recorded a .247 BABIP this year, grading out in the 7th percentile.

Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in this game.

Lars Nootbaar will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 6th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.

Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Masyn Winn encounters a tough challenge in today’s game.

Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.

Chris Bassitt will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Goldschmidt in today’s game.

Paul Goldschmidt will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s matchup.

As it relates to plate discipline, Paul Goldschmidt’s talent is quite weak, posting a 3.8 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 20th percentile.

George Springer has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.5% seasonal rate has decreased to 3.7% in the past 14 days.

Alec Burleson has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year.

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson in today’s matchup.

Alec Burleson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 7% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days.

Alejandro Kirk is projected to hit 6th in the batting order in today’s game.

Hitting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Alejandro Kirk will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.

Alejandro Kirk has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days.

Despite posting a .356 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Horwitz has had some very good luck given the .033 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .323.

The #9 field in the game for suppressing batting average to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Rogers Centre.

Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Yariel Rodriguez is projected to throw 80 pitches in today’s game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 7th-least of the day.

Yariel Rodriguez’s fastball spin rate over his last 3 outings (2277 rpm) has been quite a bit worse than than his seasonal rate (2370 rpm).

Yariel Rodriguez has displayed weak control this year, posting a 16th percentile Walk% of 11.1%.

Collectively, St. Louis Cardinals hitters have excelled when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (between -4° and 26°), rating 2nd-best in Major League Baseball.

Pedro Pages is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in this matchup.

When starting against a right-handed starter this year, Pedro Pages has been pinch hit for 13% of the time.

Batting from the same side that Chris Bassitt throws from, Pedro Pages will have a tough challenge today.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan in today’s matchup.

Batting from the same side that Miles Mikolas throws from, Ernie Clement has a tough challenge in today’s game.

In the last week’s worth of games, Ernie Clement’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off from his seasonal average of 90 mph to 85 mph.

Ernie Clement’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 41% on the season to 35.1% in the past two weeks.

Brendan Donovan’s launch angle in recent games (6.7° in the past two weeks) is considerably worse than his 13.1° seasonal mark.

When it comes to power, Brendan Donovan has performed in the 25th percentile, having paced 12.6 dingers per 600 plate appearances this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Miles Mikolas in the 17th percentile when it comes to his strikeout skill.

Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 20.2% underlying K%.

Miles Mikolas will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.

Miles Mikolas has relied on his curveball 8.1% less often this year (11.9%) than he did last season (20%).

Grading out in the 2nd percentile, Miles Mikolas notched a 7% Swinging Strike percentage this year.

Compared to his seasonal angle of 5°, Lars Nootbaar has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (-1.5°) in the past 14 days.

The St. Louis Cardinals (20.9 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 5th-least strikeout-prone set of hitters of all teams today.

Given the 0.28 discrepancy between Yariel Rodriguez’s 9.20 K/9 and his 8.92 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it’s safe to say he’s been one of the luckiest pitchers in the majors this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression the rest of the season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ernie Clement in the 18th percentile when estimating his home run skill.

Given the 1.32 deviation between Miles Mikolas’s 5.55 ERA and his 4.23 FIP, it’s safe to say he’s been one of the unluckiest pitchers in baseball this year and should positively regress in the future.

Miles Mikolas has put up a .315 BABIP this year, a sign that he has been one of the unluckiest pitchers in Major League Baseball on balls in play with better performance likely coming.

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