
ATL @ CIN






Todays Series Game 3 Matchup Details
Series Game 3
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Braves vs Reds Series Game 3 Matchup Today
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
Michael Harris II has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (57% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 85°.
Michael Harris II will have the handedness advantage over Julian Aguiar in today’s matchup… and even better, Aguiar has a large platoon split.
The Cincinnati Reds outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Marcell Ozuna as the majors’s 19th-best home run batter.
Marcell Ozuna is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
Marcell Ozuna pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Marcell Ozuna’s average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (19°) is significantly better than his 15.9° figure last year.
Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
Orlando Arcia’s launch angle this year (8.8°) is significantly better than his 5.5° figure last year.
Because of Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Santiago Espinal will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Santiago Espinal has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the league’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Santiago Espinal will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Santiago Espinal’s launch angle this year (15.1°) is quite a bit better than his 11.3° mark last season.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.
Ty France is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today’s game.
Ty France will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.
Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Whit Merrifield has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
As it relates to plate discipline, Whit Merrifield’s talent is quite impressive, sporting a 1.4 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 94th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.
Ramon Laureano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year’s 88-mph mark.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game’s 8th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Matt Olson ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today’s game.
Given Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Matt Olson will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today’s game.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.
Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.
Given Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Jonathan India will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.
Jonathan India will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.
Tyler Stephenson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today’s game.
Considering Chris Sale’s large platoon split, Tyler Stephenson will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today’s game.
Tyler Stephenson has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.
Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.
Elly De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Elly De La Cruz’s launch angle this season (10.4°) is a significant increase over his 3.4° figure last year.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Elly De La Cruz ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his BABIP skill, Amed Rosario is projected as the 16th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Amed Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today’s game… and moreover, Sale has a large platoon split.
Amed Rosario will hold the home field advantage in today’s game, which should boost all of his stats.
Ranking in the 98th percentile, Amed Rosario sits with a .357 BABIP this year.
Given his large platoon split, Julian Aguiar will be at an advantage facing 7 hitters in the projected offense who bat from the same side in this matchup.
Julian Aguiar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which figures to boost all of his metrics across the board.
Jake Fraley pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Jake Fraley will hold that advantage today.
In notching a .329 BABIP this year, Jake Fraley is positioned in the 88th percentile.
When it comes to his batting average, Whit Merrifield has been unlucky this year. His .224 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.
When it comes to his strikeout skill, Chris Sale projects as the 8th-best starting pitcher in Major League Baseball currently, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Chris Sale has been granted a longer leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying 7.5 more adjusted pitches-per-outing than the average starting pitcher.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.3% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
TJ Friedl will hold the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Last season, TJ Friedl had an average launch angle of 5.8° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 10.9°.
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Ty France ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Gio Urshela has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them out towards the game’s 8th-shallowest RF fences today.
Gio Urshela has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.7-mph average to last year’s 87.4-mph mark.
When it comes to his batting average, Gio Urshela has experienced some negative variance this year. His .238 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Steer ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Spencer Steer is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.
Spencer Steer will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today… and the cherry on top, Sale has a large platoon split.
Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest LF fences today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Harris II in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.
As it relates to his home runs, Michael Harris II has had some very poor luck this year. His 16.0 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been significantly deflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 22.0.
Whit Merrifield’s batting average ability is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Matt Olson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 23.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 26.9 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Amed Rosario has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 5.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is considerably lower than his 8.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (24.8) implies that Jorge Soler has suffered from bad luck this year with his 20.4 actual HR/600.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.
As it relates to his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Ramon Laureano has strong power (82nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that’s never a guarantee (28.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Julian Aguiar is a pitch-to-contact type (23rd percentile K%) — great news for Laureano.
Jake Fraley has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs this year; his 8.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is considerably lower than his 12.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gio Urshela in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 82nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
Negative Match Player Stats with Braves vs Reds Series Game 3
Michael Harris II hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% , — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by baseball’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Michael Harris II today.
Michael Harris II grades out in the 5th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (10.7% rate this year).
In terms of plate discipline, Michael Harris II’s ability is quite bad, putting up a 4.24 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 13th percentile.
Julian Aguiar will have the handedness advantage over Marcell Ozuna in today’s matchup… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.
Marcell Ozuna will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s game.
Orlando Arcia’s BABIP ability is projected in the 9th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Orlando Arcia is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Orlando Arcia will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate today.
Orlando Arcia will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
This year, the hardest ball Orlando Arcia has hit reached a maximum exit velocity of 107.8 mph (an advanced metric to evaluate power), checking in at the 11th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 8th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.
Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (6.1) implies that Santiago Espinal has experienced some positive variance this year with his 15.0 actual HR/600.
Santiago Espinal’s 2.1% Barrel% (an advanced metric to evaluate power) is in the 4th percentile this year.
Ranking in the 2nd percentile, the hardest ball Santiago Espinal has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 105.9 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Whit Merrifield in the 9th percentile when estimating his home run skill.
Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Julian Aguiar will hold the platoon advantage against Whit Merrifield in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Whit Merrifield in today’s game.
Whit Merrifield’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (11.5°) is quite a bit lower than his 15.1° mark last year.
Given Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Ramon Laureano will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate in this game.
Playing on the road generally lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Ramon Laureano today.
In terms of his batting average, Ramon Laureano has experienced some positive variance this year. His .250 mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.
Ramon Laureano has exhibited weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 18th percentile with a 5.88 K/BB rate.
Julian Aguiar will have the handedness advantage against Jorge Soler in today’s matchup… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Aguiar’s large platoon split.
Jorge Soler will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today’s matchup.
Jorge Soler’s exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 94.9-mph EV last year has decreased to 92.1-mph.
Jorge Soler’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, falling from 19.6% to 16.6%.
Matt Olson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today’s game.
Matt Olson’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 93.7-mph average last year has dropped off to 91.2-mph.
In today’s matchup, Jonathan India is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 11th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38% rate (76th percentile).
Jonathan India’s average exit velocity has dropped off this season; his 89.3-mph EV last season has dropped off to 87.2-mph.
Tyler Stephenson’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last season to this one, going from 48.3% to 42%.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.237) implies that Tyler Stephenson has been very fortunate this year with his .259 actual batting average.
The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side (0) today against Chris Sale… and it’s an over-sized mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
Elly De La Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.1% — 78th percentile) and will be challenged by the game’s 11th-deepest CF fences today.
In terms of his batting average, Marcell Ozuna has experienced some positive variance this year. His .302 BA has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.
Amed Rosario has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th on the lineup card today.
Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 97th percentile) and will be challenged by MLB’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s matchup.
Amed Rosario’s launch angle this season (4.1°) is considerably lower than his 7.5° figure last season.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.266) provides evidence that Amed Rosario has had positive variance on his side this year with his .286 actual batting average.
Amed Rosario’s 4.7% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 22nd percentile this year.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (16.4) implies that Tyler Stephenson has had some very good luck this year with his 22.8 actual HR/600.
When it comes to his strikeout skill, the leading projection system (THE BAT) forecasts Julian Aguiar in the 9th percentile among all SPs in the league.
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Julian Aguiar is projected to throw 78 pitches in today’s outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 2nd-least on the slate today.
It is anticipated that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Derek Thomas) calling pitches in today’s game.
When it comes to his home run skill, Jake Fraley ranks in the 14th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jake Fraley has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (54% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today’s game.
Chris Sale will have the handedness advantage over Jake Fraley in today’s game… and it’s an even bigger mismatch considering Sale’s large platoon split.
There has been a significant decline in Jake Fraley’s launch angle from last year’s 16.3° to 10.3° this year.
Jake Fraley has been lucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .275 mark is considerably higher than his .233 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
Due to his large platoon split, Chris Sale will have a tough challenge squaring off against 7 batters in the projected batting order who bat from the opposite side in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically weakens pitcher stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Chris Sale in today’s matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects TJ Friedl in the 8th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.
TJ Friedl has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (84% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.
Given Chris Sale’s large platoon split, TJ Friedl will be at an enormous disadvantage hitting from the same side of the plate today.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (14.8) suggests that TJ Friedl has had positive variance on his side this year with his 25.8 actual HR/600.
TJ Friedl’s 3.8% Barrel% (an advanced standard to study power) is in the 14th percentile this year.
When it comes to his home run ability, Gio Urshela ranks in the 13th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Gio Urshela is projected to bat 9th in the lineup today.
Considering Julian Aguiar’s large platoon split, Gio Urshela will be at an enormous disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in this game.
Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gio Urshela in today’s matchup.
This year, Gio Urshela’s 4.3% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 19th percentile among his peers.
Ranking in the 3rd percentile, the hardest ball TJ Friedl has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 106 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power ability.
Spencer Steer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, decreasing from 18.6% to 15.1%.
Checking in at the 13th percentile, the hardest ball Spencer Steer has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 108 mph — an advanced indication of underlying power skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Chris Sale as the 8th-best SP in Major League Baseball right now.
This year, Jake Fraley’s 3.2% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 10th percentile among his peers.
By putting up a .263 BABIP this year, Spencer Steer has performed in the 15th percentile.
Whit Merrifield’s 2.6% Barrel% (a reliable stat to measure power) ranks in the 6th percentile this year.
When it comes to his home run talent, Amed Rosario ranks in the 9th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Tyler Stephenson is in the 24th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (13.5% rate this year).
Gio Urshela’s 9.4° launch angle (an advanced metric to measure a hitter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most groundball-inducing in baseball: 18th percentile.
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