
MIN @ CLE






Todays Series Game 4 Matchup Details
Series Game 4
Todays Game is on Thursday, September 19th
19/09/24 13:10:00 PM EST First Pitch
Positive Match Player Stats for Twins vs Guardians Series Game 4 Matchup Today
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Royce Lewis is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game.
Royce Lewis will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo in today’s matchup.
Royce Lewis pulls many of his flyballs (39.3% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Compared to last year, Royce Lewis has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 12.3% to 22.2% this season.
Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Kyle Farmer will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Kyle Farmer’s ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.9% to 21.8%.
The standard deviation of Kyle Farmer’s launch angle this year (24.3°) is in the 88th percentile. A low figure like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.
Jose Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.
Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (41.6% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jose Ramirez will hold that advantage today.
Last season, Jose Ramirez had an average launch angle of 8.6° on his hardest-hit balls, while this year it has significantly increased to 12.5°.
Willi Castro’s BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Willi Castro pulls many of his flyballs (33.4% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Willi Castro’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 41.9% to 48.2%.
Willi Castro has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 11.2 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is deflated compared to his 18.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and Willi Castro’s 26.4° mark (85th percentile) this year indicates a strong hitting profile.
It is expected that we will see a Hitters Umpire (Ryan Wills) behind the plate today.
The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of every team on the slate today.
Brayan Rocchio will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs), Brayan Rocchio and his 20.1% rank in the 94th percentile this year.
Carlos Santana has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today’s game.
The switch-hitting Carlos Santana will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Joey Cantillo.
Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
There has been a significant improvement in Carlos Santana’s launch angle from last year’s 12.5° to 15.8° this season.
Carlos Santana’s maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to measure power) has been 113.6 mph this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 89th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.
Andres Gimenez will hold the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard today.
Andres Gimenez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today’s game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
In terms of his batting average, Andres Gimenez has suffered from bad luck this year. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .274.
Angel Martinez is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today’s game.
Angel Martinez pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the game’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.
Angel Martinez will possess the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
David Fry is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today’s game.
David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards baseball’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
David Fry will benefit from the home field advantage in today’s matchup, which should boost all of his stats.
David Fry’s 19.3° launch angle (a reliable standard to measure a batter’s ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the highest in Major League Baseball: 92nd percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manuel Margot in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.
Manuel Margot is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.
Manuel Margot will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Cantillo in today’s game.
There has been a significant improvement in Manuel Margot’s launch angle from last season’s 10.6° to 13.7° this season.
Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his home runs this year; his 7.6 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 12.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Lane Thomas ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Lane Thomas is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today’s game.
Lane Thomas pulls many of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Lane Thomas will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
In terms of plate discipline, David Fry’s skill is quite good, posting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 76th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Jeffers in the 88th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.
Ryan Jeffers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.
Ryan Jeffers will have the handedness advantage against Joey Cantillo in today’s matchup.
Ryan Jeffers pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Power-wise, Ryan Jeffers is ranked in the 87th percentile, having paced 28.6 long-balls per 600 plate appearances this year.
When it comes to his batting average, Willi Castro has experienced some negative variance this year. His .249 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272.
Lane Thomas’s launch angle this season (16.8°) is a considerable increase over his 10.6° mark last year.
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Josh Naylor ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Josh Naylor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.
Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Josh Naylor will have an edge in today’s matchup.
Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Naylor will hold that advantage in today’s game.
Josh Naylor has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season’s 91.3-mph figure.
Byron Buxton projects as the 11th-best home run hitter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Hitting from the opposite that Joey Cantillo throws from, Byron Buxton will have an advantage today.
Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (42.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (36.3) provides evidence that Byron Buxton has been unlucky this year with his 29.6 actual HR/600.
This year, Byron Buxton’s 14.3% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 92nd percentile among his peers.
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Carlos Correa is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today’s game.
Carlos Correa will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Cantillo in today’s matchup.
Grading out in the 86th percentile, the hardest ball Carlos Correa has hit this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 113.9 mph — a reliable indication of underlying power ability.
Carlos Correa has notched a .326 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 86th percentile.
Posting a 2.03 K/BB rate this year, Brayan Rocchio has shown strong plate discipline, checking in at the 76th percentile.
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).
Byron Buxton’s 95.4-mph exit velocity on flyballs (an advanced standard to evaluate power) is in the 90th percentile this year.
In terms of plate discipline, Carlos Correa’s talent is quite good, sporting a 1.77 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 86th percentile.
Willi Castro grades out in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (17.1% rate this year).
Negative Match Player Stats with Twins vs Guardians Series Game 4
The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers.
Among every team on the slate today, the strongest infield defense belongs to the Cleveland Guardians.
Royce Lewis will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today’s matchup.
Royce Lewis’s average exit velocity has declined this year; his 90.2-mph average last season has dropped off to 87.2-mph.
Kyle Farmer is penciled in 7th in the lineup in today’s game.
Kyle Farmer will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today.
This year, Kyle Farmer’s flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) is in the 25th percentile at 90.4 mph.
As it relates to his home runs, Jose Ramirez has had positive variance on his side this year. His 32.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 28.9.
Willi Castro is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in today’s game.
Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Willi Castro in today’s game.
Willi Castro’s 87.4-mph average exit velocity is among the worst in Major League Baseball this year: 24th percentile.
Bo Naylor, the Guardians’s expected catcher today, profiles as a good pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Joey Cantillo has a reverse platoon split and has the benefit of facing 9 opposite-handed batters in today’s game.
Home field advantage typically boosts pitcher metrics in all categories, and Joey Cantillo will hold that advantage in today’s matchup.
When assessing his home run talent, Brayan Rocchio ranks in the 7th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Brayan Rocchio is penciled in 9th in the batting order in this game.
As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Brayan Rocchio will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side against Simeon Woods Richard in this game.
As it relates to his home runs, Brayan Rocchio has had positive variance on his side this year. His 11.7 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.9.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Santana in the 1st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.
Carlos Santana will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.
As it relates to his batting average, Carlos Santana has had some very good luck this year. His .243 BA has been a fair amount higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .216.
Andres Gimenez is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.
Andres Gimenez’s launch angle this year (9.1°) is a significant dropoff from his 12.9° figure last year.
This year, Andres Gimenez’s 2.9% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 7th percentile among his peers.
This year, Andres Gimenez’s flyball exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) grades out in the 10th percentile at 88.7 mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Angel Martinez in the 18th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.
The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will bat from his weak side (0) today against Simeon Woods Richard, Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Joey Cantillo is projected to throw 82 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 5th-least of all pitchers today.
The Minnesota Twins (20.7 K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) are forecasted to have the 4th-least strikeout-heavy set of batters on the slate today.
Batting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, David Fry will have a tough matchup in today’s matchup.
Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected Batting Average (.234) implies that David Fry has had some very good luck this year with his .262 actual batting average.
This year, the hardest ball David Fry has made contact with reached a maximum exit velocity of 108.5 mph (a reliable stat to evaluate power), ranking in the 18th percentile.
Manuel Margot hits many of his flyballs to center field (42% — 100th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest CF fences today.
Manuel Margot will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.
Manuel Margot’s 89-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 13th percentile this year.
Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Lane Thomas will be at a disadvantage today.
Lane Thomas’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this year; his 94.8-mph mark last year has dropped off to 89.2-mph.
The standard deviation of Lane Thomas’s launch angle this year (30°) is in the 15th percentile. A high figure like this tends to lead to a lower rate of base hits.
As it relates to his home runs, David Fry has had positive variance on his side this year. His 22.0 HR per 600 plate appearances rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 18.9.
Ryan Jeffers will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s game.
There has been a decrease in Ryan Jeffers’s average exit velocity this year, from 90.5 mph last year to 86.8 mph now, Ryan Jeffers’s ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 46.6% to 38.8%.
Checking in at the 8th percentile for power, Manuel Margot has hit 7.5 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
Jose Ramirez’s ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased from last year to this one, falling from 44.3% to 38.9%.
When it comes to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has been lucky this year. His .273 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .249.
Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (22.6) suggests that Josh Naylor has been very fortunate this year with his 29.3 actual HR/600.
Byron Buxton is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.
Byron Buxton will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.
Byron Buxton’s average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (17.4°) is quite a bit worse than his 21.4° figure last year.
In terms of plate discipline, Byron Buxton’s skill is quite poor, putting up a 5.07 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 6th percentile.
Josh Naylor is in the 25th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce base hits (40.8% rate this year).
The standard deviation of Josh Naylor’s launch angle this year (30°) is in the 15th percentile. A high mark like this tends to lead to a lower BABIP.
Posting a .247 BABIP this year, Josh Naylor grades out in the 6th percentile.
Carlos Correa will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today’s matchup.
Carlos Correa and his 8.5° launch angle on his hardest-hit balls rank in 19th percentile, among the lowest in MLB this year.
A high launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a lower batting average on balls in play, and Carlos Correa’s 29.4° mark (24th percentile) this year indicates a weak hitting profile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brayan Rocchio in the 23rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.
This year, Brayan Rocchio’s 4.4% Barrel%, an advanced standard for measuring power, places him in the 20th percentile among his peers.
Ryan Jeffers’s BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Jose Ramirez has recorded a .259 BABIP this year, grading out in the 13th percentile.
Last season, Ryan Jeffers had a launch angle of 17.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, but this year he experienced a significant decline to just 13°.
Ryan Jeffers has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs this year; his 27.6 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a fair amount higher than his 23.6 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
When it comes to power, Willi Castro is positioned in the 17th percentile, having hit 10.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
When it comes to his home run ability, Andres Gimenez ranks in the 17th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
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